AC Milan – Borussia Dortmund betting tip

Superb starting position for Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League. BVB have won both direct duels against Newcastle and are now top of the table ahead of the fifth matchday.

On Tuesday, the Yellow and Blacks travel to Milan. Everything is still wide open in Group F. With a win in the fashionable city, Dortmund can secure their ticket to the round of 16 ahead of time.

In my AC Milan Borussia Dortmund betting tip, I give you an assessment and give you suitable odds

In the Bundesliga, Dortmund have lost touch with the top of the table. Borussia are already ten points behind the high-flyers from Leverkusen. BVB bounced back from the international break with a 4:2 win against Mönchengladbach.

The team showed morale in the process, as Niclas Füllkrug and Co. had to come back from 2-0 down. Based on the course of the game, a deserved success for the runners-up

The bookmakers’ forecast

The task on Tuesday against AC Milan will by no means be any easier. Especially as Dortmund do not have the yellow wall behind them, but have to travel to the legendary San Siro.

There, AC celebrated a narrow 1:0 victory against Fiorentina on Saturday. A penalty from Theo Hernandez decided the game. AC withstood the constant pressure in the second half.

Betano expects a very close game on Tuesday evening. However, the Milanese are favorites at 2.02 odds. Bettors who back Borussia to win away will receive odds of 3.65. Sports betting fans will find 3.55 for a draw.

Analysis: AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund

The Italians, who could overtake Dortmund by two points and would put themselves in a good starting position ahead of the tough away game at Newcastle with a win, are definitely in greater demand.

Dortmund will host PSG on the final matchday. Depending on how the other games end, two draws could be enough for Dortmund to progress. There is a lot at stake.

Therefore, the bookmakers are not expecting too many goals. Betano, one of the top sports betting providers in the over-goal market, is offering 1.87 odds for over 2.5 goals

The 1.70 for both teams to score is lucrative. No goals were scored in the first duel, but both teams had their chances, with a total of 32 shots on goal.

The starting position also favors goals. AC Milan will have to take risks to have a good chance of reaching the round of 16 with a win. Dortmund’s defense has also been shaky in the league recently.

Gregor Kobel had to fish two balls out of the net against Gladbach and Stuttgart. He also found the net more often against Bayern (0:4) and Frankfurt (3:3). The Bayern match was also the only one of the last nine competitive matches in which Dortmund failed to score.

Quota analysis

AC Milan returned to the race for a place in the round of 16 with a 2:1 win over PSG. Prior to that, Zlatan Ibrahimovic’s former club drew 0-0 against Dortmund and Newcastle and conceded a 3-0 defeat in Paris.

So far, Dortmund have shown a different face in the Champions League than in the Bundesliga. In the so-called “Group of Death”, the Black & Yellows conceded just two goals in their opening match against PSG.

This was followed by three games without conceding a goal. Meanwhile, Dortmund conceded 1.58 goals per game in the Bundesliga. Away from home, the average is even 1.80.

Betano has 1.95 on offer for over 1.5 Milan goals. However, since BVB are also adept at scoring goals, the 1.70 for both teams to score is a strong bet.

The Bet Builder combination of the Dortmund goal and over 1.5 goals in total offers a safety option at 1.57. This would also cover the 2:0, 3:0, 4:0 etc. for Dortmund

Grave failures at the AC

I would definitely prefer this option. After all, AC Milan are struggling with numerous injuries in the squad. Four out of six central defenders are out on Tuesday.

With Fikayo Tomori and Malick Thiaw, however, two important pillars in the center are ready for action. But it’s not just the central defense that is weakened.

The Rossoneri will also be without Ismael Bennacer and Noah Okafor. It remains to be seen whether Rafael Leao will be able to play following his leg flexor injury

Top odds for Füllkrug goal

Important players are also missing at BVB, but not to this extent. In addition to Niklas Süle, Felix Nmecha and Julien Duranville are also currently sidelined.

Niclas Füllkrug, on the other hand, has been in top form in recent matches, scoring a goal in each. Betting enthusiasts can get odds of 3.80 for at least one goal against AC.

According to Betano, Milan’s hot favourites include veteran Olivier Giroud (2.62), Rafael Leao and Luka Jovic.

AC Milan and Borussia Dortmund have already celebrated great success in international business. This season will be the fourth time the traditional clubs have met.

In the 1950s, Milan prevailed in the Champions League quarter-finals (then known as the European Cup of Champions). In 2002, the two sides met in the UEFA Cup semi-finals, with BVB coming out on top.

Just one season later, the teams met in the Champions League group stage, with both teams winning their away game 1:0. The 0:0 in the first leg was the only goalless match between Milan and Dortmund to date.

There were no goals in the first half three times in a row. The corresponding under-0.5 goal tip for the first half was assigned 2.65 odds at Bet3000.

My tip:

Dortmund and AC Milan have already fought out several duels in international business. The last match ended goalless, with both teams having some top-class opportunities, 32 goals in total!

The hosts are more challenged than Dortmund in their last home game, but have also conceded at least one goal in six of their last seven matches. The three white vests in a row at BVB read better than the games actually were.

Keeping a clean sheet at the San Siro will be a mammoth task. Dortmund’s defense was already shaky at PSG and United missed several 100% chances in Newcastle. I expect both teams to score, but I’m hedging my bets with the following combination.

My AC Milan Borussia Dortmund prediction: Over 1.5 goals & Dortmund to score!