Bundesliga Austria, Saturday, 27.05.2023
There’s one thing you can’t ignore in your Altach Austria Lustenau betting tips: The Vorarlberg derby is always particularly explosive, but on Saturday it will be even more so.
While the hosts are fighting to stay in the league, the promoted team can hope for an international starting place.
I focus on a goal bet and use odds of just under 2.00 for the tip “Over 2.5 goals in the match.
SCR Altach made a breakaway last weekend, but now they have to do it again in the Vorarlberg derby against Austria Lustenau on Saturday (17:00).
With the 1-0 away win in Ried, coach Klaus Schmidt’s team has passed the red lantern of last place in the table to the Upper Austrians.
They now have a three-point lead over SV Ried with two games to go in the season.
In other words, a home win will be enough for Altacher to secure their place in the relegation places on their own merits, because in the event of a points tie, the SCRA will finish ahead of Ried, who rounded off at the Ländle club after splitting the points.
Our top bookmakers, who of course offer PayPal in their payments, have sided with the hosts.
An Altach win brings odds of 2.20 and above, while a Lustenau win comes with a 3.00. A draw that wouldn’t really benefit either side is moving at betting odds around 3.40.
Everything is set for an exciting derby. Altach will do everything in their power to win the derby with a chance of staying in the league.
What could be better than a win against their arch-rivals to secure their place in the league?
But the same is true for the Lustenau team. There is hardly a fan of the Green-Whites who wouldn’t love to see Austria send their rivals deep into the relegation quagmire again.
Altach have only managed two wins in the relegation round so far. They opened with a 1-0 win over WSG Tirol on the debut of Klaus Schmidt, who succeeded the sacked Miroslav Klose.
After that, SCRA fans had to wait six games (3 defeats, 3 draws) for the next win. This one came at the direct competitor against relegation and has sparked new euphoria.
This will also be necessary, because if I look at the most recent derby duels, there should not be much to gain for Altach. The Black and Whites have lost all three season duels so far, the first since the 2013/14 season.
1:2, 0:3 and most recently a 0:1 in April, the derbies have not been under a good star. Although, the last appearance at the Reichshofstadion, just ten kilometres away, was the best to date from Altach’s point of view.
On Saturday, however, an improvement is necessary, a similar performance as in Ried, where a three-game goalless streak could be ended, will be necessary.
The SCRA has a hard time scoring goals anyway. 27 over the course of the season (0.9 per game on average) are only undercut by Ried.
Interestingly, Lustenau Austria are the only team to have conceded more goals (52) than Altach (51). This means that the two most vulnerable defensive lines will meet.
Lustenau have presented themselves much better up front. 44 own goals are the second best value in the relegation group.
The squad of coach Markus Mader will certainly not stand guard and congratulate the arch-rival in the derby for staying in the relegation zone. For the Lustenau team, it is more about the chance of a place in the UEFA Conference League.
The first two teams in the qualifying group will play a play-off match before the fifth-placed team in the champions’ group will play for the final place in the ECL qualifiers.
So there is still a lot of explosiveness outside of the derby character. However, Lustenau seem to be running out of steam in the season finale.
The green-white Austria have not won their last four games in a row, but the 2:4 last time out against Wattens was also the first defeat in the last five games (1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat).
The Mader eleven has done very well away from home recently. For five league games, Lustenau have not had to travel home without points and have picked up three wins and two draws in this period.
Even though it was not enough for a Lustenau win in the last four games and Altach want to keep their place in the league in front of their own fans at all costs, I do not want to write off the guests.
Since the SCRA has recently rediscovered goal-scoring and games of Lustenau were usually very high-scoring, especially in the qualifying round, I expect that we will see several goals.
There have been 36 goals in Austria’s eight matches so far after the basic round, which corresponds to an average of 4.5 goals per match. In Altach appearances, there were significantly fewer goal celebrations (12 in eight games, i.e. 1.5 per game).
However, the starting position before this derby promises pure tension and the hosts absolutely have to score. Since Austria goals almost go without saying anyway, my Altach Austria Lustenau tip is: We see over 2.5 goals.
