Germany – Peru Tip
What a lot has been said about the national team after the failed World Cup finals in Qatar. Now, however, it’s time to make a new capital and for me to give a Germany-Peru tip that hits the bull’s eye!
Others will have to deal with the European Championship qualifiers, but I expect Hansi Flick’s team to get off to a good start in the post-World Cup era on Saturday in Mainz at prime time, without being able to generate excessive enthusiasm in the stands.
It’s only been four months since Germany’s abject exit from the World Cup finals in Qatar. National coach Hans Flick seems to have drawn some conclusions for the upcoming test matches.
There are signs of a small upheaval. At the first glance at the squad called up for the two friendly matches against Peru and Belgium, the German football fan was amazed.
Five newcomers were nominated, including Mergim Berisha, Kevin Schade, Marius Wolf, Josha Vagnoman and Felix Nmecha. Established regulars like Thomas Müller, Ilkay Gündogan, Antonio Rüdiger and Niklas Süle, on the other hand, stayed at home.
In the end, I expect the DFB team to win, but it will be in the tradition of their previous victories over the South Americans.
In their only two international encounters, at the 1970 World Cup and in a test match in September 2018, the four-time world champions came out on top, 3:1 and 2:1, but only by narrow margins.
The Bookmaker Prediction
The sports bookmakers are currently trading great free bets on the markets, but at the same time less thrilling Germany Peru odds – at least if you are convinced of a favourites win like I am.
The odds on the DFB team to win are currently around 1.35 and thus lead to a payout equal to the stake plus a third of it.
For a success of the South Americans, on the other hand, even the profit factor of 10x beckons to courageous lucky players within the framework of Sportingbet sports bets.
Analysis: Germany vs. Peru
The match against the South Americans should serve as preparation for the clash against the stubborn Belgians a few days later, who represent the “real touchstone” of this international break for the DFB eleven.
But meanwhile, what can we expect from the Peruvians? Indeed, this is a squad of manageable quality – at least on paper – but one that is nevertheless capable of standing up to even much better-stocked teams.
For example, La Bicolor only missed out on the 2022 World Cup because they lost the penalty lottery in the decisive play-off match against Australia. Thus, the red and whites must inevitably be counted among the better teams in the CONMEBOL association.
Some will probably be disappointed that the absolute superstars of the DFB selection will be missing. But even so, the squad is sufficiently well-stocked to keep the opponent off the pitch for long stretches of the match.
Florian Wirtz, Jamal Musiala and Kai Havertz, along with experienced players like Joshua Kimmich and Leon Goretzka, are part of an outstanding midfield that should hold its own in terms of possession.
Sure, the World Cup ignominy still reverberates in the minds of some players, but the upheaval in the squad could also create space for a young and hungry generation to approach the task at hand with complete impartiality.
Germany Peru Tip: Odds Analysis
For a successful start to the post-World Cup era, a success for Hansi-Flick’s eleven – as already mentioned – is assigned odds of just 1.35.
I would accept this as it is, but if I were after a higher betting odds, I would prefer a half-time/finish 1/1 bet to a handicap bet on the home side.
Conversely, it might make more sense to rather give the Peruvians a “goal advantage” to go with, as even a conventional surprise win for the visitors will result in a payout that is in double figures with many bookmakers.
Finally, I expect a narrow win for the DFB eleven, which could go hand in hand with a likely lacklustre result such as 1-0 or 2-1.
Peru is a serious opponent!
Since the start of 2022, the Peruvians have lost only one international match within the regular season – and that was against the Mexican national football team, which is known to be one of the best nations in the world (0:1).
Consequently, I expect a more successful performance from the stubborn underdogs than many would initially give them credit for. Nevertheless, it cannot be denied that, compared to the Germans, they have the most obvious deficits in midfield.
Here, the South Americans are weak in terms of personnel. Only Renato Tapia of Celta Vigo is under contract with a well-known European club, but no matter with whom coach Juan Reynoso teams him up, the DFB team should call the shots in midfield.
Goal bet? Eyes on Niclas Füllkrug!
Some players are hotter for their call-up than others and one who arguably came up far short at the 2022 World Cup is certainly Niclas Füllkrug.
The Werder bomber is a top candidate for a goal bet! After all, he has already scored in three of his last four international appearances for Germany.
A win for the DFB team is also the only real betting option, because statistically, a draw with the points hardly promises any chance of success.
After all, the South Americans – who will meet a European nation for the first time in four years on Saturday – have not played to a draw since June 2021 (4 wins, 7 losses).
Further, the home advantage for Hansi Flick’s eleven is certainly an advantage not to be underestimated.
After all, the four-time world champions have not lost any of their last 10 friendly matches within their own borders (6 wins, 4 draws).
My Germany Peru tip:
Everyone naturally expects Germany to put in a strong performance to shake off the ignominy of the last World Cup finals.
In fact, the young squad that Hansi Flick has assembled should be unbiased enough and still have enough quality to cope with the South Americans.
Nevertheless, one should be aware that La Bicolor is a really tough opponent who is clearly better than a sober look at the squad would initially suggest.
My Germany Peru tip: Half time/Final score 1/1.
