Real Madrid – Manchester City Tip
It is the duel that many would have liked to see first in the final of the Champions League: Real Madrid meets Manchester City! It is exactly the two teams that are the absolute favorites among the experts to win the handle pot.
Today, the royals have to present at the Bernabeu stadium from 9 pm! Home games, this is something that the club is very fond of this season, especially in Europe. So it will be about being able to give the rival a mortgage right away.
The guests, on the other hand, know: Away? We really didn’t cover ourselves with glory in 2022/23! But they won’t be focusing solely on the second leg at the Etihad Stadium – the semifinal is far too important for that.
At Betano they are optimistic that there will be a positive result already in the first encounter, not for nothing I recognize an average 2.20 to 3.20 in the winning odds.
Are Pep Guardiola’s men actually stronger away from home? In my Real Madrid Manchester City tip I look at every little detail and finally reveal why my tendency does not go to a victory of the Citizens!
The bookmaker forecast
Although Real Madrid has stood out as very strong at home this season, the best bookmakers don’t really give much confidence to the home side. Otherwise, it is impossible to explain that odds averaging a 3.20 are called.
The opposite is the case with Manchester City. The English do only the most necessary on the international stage away from home, but are still favored. And that is relatively clear, for an away team a 2.20 is quite low.
In the event of a draw, the decision would definitely not be made until the second leg. Although there has never been a draw in a direct duel at the Santiago Bernabeu, so should the premiere now await, the values would offer a 3.65.
Analysis: Real Madrid vs Manchester City
A fair draw with two tournament branches of equal difficulty? Admittedly, that’s not necessarily true in the Champions League this season! While one semi-final features the Milan derby, the second offers the absolute cracker.
Real Madrid, the kings of Europe, want to topple Manchester City! The white ballet is once again the defending champion, had snatched the handle pot a year ago with a 1-0 victory over Liverpool.
Opponents from England? If we look at the CL history of recent years, they catch our eye very often. Four times in the last five seasons, the last match in the competition was against teams from the island!
While they left the pitch as winners against Liverpool twice, there were eliminations against Chelsea and in 2020 just against Manchester City. 2020, 2022 and 2023, for the third time in a short period of time, the paths of both teams crossed in the knockout phase.
Three years ago, the English side prevailed with two 2-1 victories, but recently things got a lot more turbulent. The Skyblues won their first leg 4:3, but a 3:1 after extra time eventually lifted the Royals into the final.
It was an incredible game, as Manchester had led 1-0 until the final minute of regulation time. A brace from Rodrygo in minutes 90 and 90+1 really turned everything on its head, and then Karim Benzema struck in extra time.
Quote analysis
I would go a bit over the bookies regarding the 1×2 bets, because for me Real is hard to beat at home. Whenever you don’t have them on your mind, they shine. Therefore, I recommend using the odds of 3.20.
A tactical masterpiece or a shooting match? In my eyes, both are equally possible here! I rather expect a more offensive affair, so I prefer the Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.72.
Significantly more risk offers the result bet at Bet365. I can’t imagine that there are big qualitative differences, both are incredibly strong offensively. Therefore, the 2:1 seems to me to fit ideally into the picture, which is rewarded with an 11.0.
Will the next Englishman be ditched?
A spectacle that fans have not forgotten. Last Saturday Real secured the Copa del Rey with a narrow 2-1 win, again Rodrygo was the decider with a brace.
Since there is no more chance for the title in the league, the full concentration is now on the royal class. The recent mixed performances in the league should no longer play a role, after all, the horse from Madrid only jumps as high as it has to.
A competitor from England? This is not the first time this year! 5:2 and 1:0 against Liverpool, then twice a 2:0 against Chelsea, the Madrilenians left nothing to chance in the knockout round.
If City tremble, it’s Real!
Although not always with great spectacle, but still: Including the group stage Real has really been able to win all home games. 2:0 against Leipzig, 2:1 against Donetsk and 5:1 against Celtic Glasgow, the vest at home is spotless.
An average of 4.3 goals from the last four direct duels against City? The fans are preparing themselves for a wild ride! The guests from the island will definitely have to help out to make it such a high-scoring affair again.
They have been longing for the trophy for years, the lost final of 2021 still hurts. Twice in CL history, they have been eliminated in the round of the best four; 2016 and 2022. The respective opponent? Real Madrid, of course!
Pep Guadiola’s team is warned, the thin 2:1 at home against the relegation candidates from Leeds last weekend showed that one or the other player was possibly already thinking about Europe.
Is the team strong enough this year to make a big splash? So far, the team has always shown exactly what was needed. Four victories and two draws have seen them through the preliminary round in first place.
German opponents were the order of the day in 2022/23, starting with Borussia Dortmund in the group stage. In the round of 16, it was finally Leipzig’s turn, followed a little later by FC Bayern.
The results: 1:1 and 7:0 as well as 3:0 and 1:1. Once everything was already clear after the first leg, the other time the Skyblues only turned up in the second match. What they had in common was that each of the great performances took place in their own stadium.
Overall, then, I can see: At home, everything was won with many goals, away it runs much more modestly. As recently as September, there was a 4-0 win at Sevilla FC, but the subsequent results were much more mixed.
0:0 in Copenhagen and Dortmund, 1:1 in Leipzig and Munich? Neither in terms of offense nor in terms of the unconditional will to win did City stand out positively. A look at the Premier League reveals: 33 goals away and 59 at home, and here, too, they prefer to compete at the Etihad.
My Real Madrid Man City tip:
Individually both teams are highly ranked, both Real Madrid and Manchester City can play their games the way they want! Tonight, the first thing is to put themselves in a good starting position.
The bookies see the guests in front, but after my analysis I rather side with the Spaniards. They are incredibly strong at home, especially at international level.
With the Skyblues, on the other hand, I could see that the much stronger results in the Champions League have been collected on the island. For this reason, I don’t think we’ll see an away win and thus I’m betting:
Real Madrid will not lose the first leg!
