Real Madrid vs Chelsea Tip
Real Madrid vs Chelsea London will be quite a hairy affair. The Spaniards have already knocked out another beastly Premier League club in the form of the Reds, will the Blues follow suit?
The starting position for the English is certainly not pleasant. In my Real Madrid Chelsea tip, I will also talk about the current vacuum on the Londoners’ bench.
Frank Lampard has been hired as interim coach for the rest of the season. But can that be enough to outdo the savvy and extremely experienced Madrilenians at the Santiago Bernabeu?
The Spaniards have become experts when it comes to mastering knockout stages against English teams. They have survived the last three such tête-à-têtes.
But I can’t shake the feeling that the Blues, littered with world-class players, could surprise football fans on Wednesday.
The Real Madrid Chelsea odds from the bookmakers with PayPal, as well as some of the facts and figures cited in my forecast, provide at least good reasons to speculate on a viable result from the visitors’ point of view.
The bookmaker forecast
The crux of my forecast is definitely the Real Madrid Chelsea odds, which I will talk about in more detail elsewhere.
Because the probability of occurrence and the respective odds must always be in the correct relationship to each other.
But with odds of 1.77 to 4.85 on average, which clearly favour the Spaniards, this elementary bookmaker rule does not seem to have been followed in my opinion. The Londoners have a lot more to offer than they are currently being given credit for!
Analysis: Real Madrid vs Chelsea
A poor position in the Premier League does not automatically mean that you have nothing to play for on the international stage.
In the strongest league in the world, the performance density is higher than anywhere else.
West Ham, for example, are top favourites for the title according to the Conference League winner odds according to the bookmakers, despite the threat of relegation.
And in my Real Madrid Chelsea betting tips, I also give the visitors far greater odds than most experts currently do.
Sure, the situation under interim coach Frank Lampard is suboptimal with regard to Wednesday, but what kind of quality do these Londoners have on the pitch?
With 611 million spent on transfers this year alone, Chelsea have assembled a world-class squad that simply can’t be topped.
Enzo Fernandez arrived on time after the World Cup for 121 million from Lisbon and the transfers of Wesley Fofana and Ukrainian prodigy Mykhaylo Mudyrk are other footballing hotshots who have been lured to Stamford Bridge for well over 50 million each.
Nevertheless, credit must be given to Real Madrid for starting April in an incredibly successful manner.
A 6-0 win in the league was topped only a few days later by a 4-0 victory in the El Clásico against Barcelona, which could even propel Ancelotti’s team to the final of the Coppa de Rey.
Clearly, the Madrilenians’ role as favourites for Wednesday is justified, only I wouldn’t have set the odds quite so low.
Odds analysis
I’m sticking with it: these Real Madrid Chelsea odds are far too one-sided for me. After all, as recently as last year, the betting markets were offering roughly equivalent odds to win the quarter-final edition of this clash at the Santiago Bernabeu.
On paper, London has strengthened considerably compared to last year, so I consider the current away win odds, which even reach 5.00 at Bwin Sportwetten, to be far too high.
I would only recommend a bet on “away win” as a single bet because of the higher risk. However, I personally trust the “Double Chance X2” bet recommended by me enough to include it on my combination ticket for this week’s Champions League matches.
Chelsea rarely lose to Real!
The Londoners will naturally come up against a compact side who should be motivated to the hilt after their 4-0 win over Barcelona.
However, as we all know, a game starts at 0-0 and the stats give my Real Madrid Chelsea London tip plenty of tailwind.
The Blues have lost only one of their seven European Cup duels against the Madrilenians.
This gives the English side a defeat rate of just 14% against this opponent, which is also the lowest figure of all the clubs Chelsea have faced at least 5 times on the international stage!
The Blues have mostly stood firm in visits to Spain!
To the same extent that the bookies are backing the home side in their Real Madrid Chelsea odds, football analysis, on the other hand, seems to be sticking with the visitors.
After all, the Blues have only lost 1 time (3 wins, 5 draws) when visiting Spain in their last nine Champions League away games after the group stage.
Furthermore, I still agree with the bookmakers that the difficult situation on the Blues’ bench could lead to problems. But the guests should really not be underestimated because of that.
After all, Chelsea have not lost any of their last six competitive matches in this competition against the respective defending champions (2 wins, 4 draws). No other club has ever had a longer series of this kind.
Furthermore, while Carlo Ancelotti is a first-class coach, there is no doubt about that, again, statistics to consider for Wednesday do not exactly flatter the Italian.
Ancelotti has lost three of his last four Champions League quarter-finals as a coach, including the first leg against Chelsea exactly one year ago (1:3).
Sure, Benzema was able to cut the deficit to 2:3 in extra time and thus restore the Madrilenians’ advantage in the aggregate.
But the English have already proven to be a more than worthy opponent on that occasion. Their triumph at the Santiago Bernabeu was traded on the markets at odds (2.55) that duly reflected the balance of power at the time.
My Real Madrid Chelsea tip:
Of course it will be a close game. However, as I did in exactly the same place last year, if I were a bookmaker I’d call even odds again to match it.
However, it is the one-sidedness of the Real Madrid Chelsea odds on the betting markets that is, in a sense, driving me into the arms of the English.
The Blues have bought a lot of stars compared to last year and a disappointing position in the league and a new coach are not argument enough for me to trade them as clear underdogs as well.
My Real Madrid Chelsea prediction: Double Chance X2!
