ATP Finals in Turin, Final, Sunday, 19.11.2023
He gets his revenge! In the group stage of the ATP Finals, Jannik Sinner handed Novak Djokovic his first defeat in 19 matches. The two tennis stars will play for the ATP Finals title on Sunday.
After his mega-match against Carlos Alcaraz in the semi-finals, Novak Djokovic is the favorite to win the title in Turin, which would be his seventh ATP Finals triumph. In my Sinner Djokovic prediction, I give you strong odds for the final
At 36, he made Alcaraz, who only shed his teenager status this year, look old. Djokovic delivered an impressive match against his Spanish rival. Especially when he was under pressure, he presented a flawless game at the highest level.
He managed to fend off a total of four break chances both in the second set and in the difficult opening phase and remained without losing a service game against the defensively strong man from El Palmar.
In the press conference after the match, Alcaraz was impressed, as he did not play a bad semi-final, but also made too many careless mistakes, which allowed Djokovic to win breaks easily
Will he get them against Sinner? I highly doubt it. The lively South Tyrolean is playing an extremely strong tournament in Turin and has the vociferous Italian crowd in Turin on his side.
He has won all four matches against Djokovic, Holger Rune, Stefanos Tsitsipas and Daniil Medvedev. Hard court is the 22-year-old’s favorite surface, having won 18 of his 19 matches indoors.
Despite his strong form in Turin, his underdog position with the betting providers is pretty clear. Bwin assigns Sinner odds of 2.55, Djokovic stands at 1.55. Therefore, a lucrative 1.57 odds beckon for a Sinner set win.
Definitely a very hot bet for the Sunday evening match. After all, he feels extremely comfortable in the current conditions and has already defeated two big names in the finals, Djokovic and Medvedev.
He has only lost two service games in his four matches, one of them in a match against Rune, which no longer had any great relevance for Sinner with regard to the next round. After all, he had already qualified for the semi-finals before the match against the Dane.
He conceded the second break against Djokovic. In the semi-final, he allowed Medvedev just two break chances, both of which he was able to fend off. He even took three service games from the 2021 US Open champion himself
In addition to his commanding service games, the former giant slalom pro impresses with his defense. Hardly any other player moves as well on the court as Sinner. He always manages to neutralize the rally on the return and then go on the offensive.
His opponents have to take high risks with their shots to finally bag the point. Djokovic will also have to nibble at this again on Sunday. He has a commanding 4:1 lead in the duel statistics.
In the indoor hard court, however, the score is 1:0 for the Italian. It was generally only the second match on hard court between these two greats. In the first Turin match, Djokovic and Sinner played out two tiebreaks, Bet365 is offering 1.72 for at least one tiebreak in the final.
Given the course of the tournament so far, 3.00 for Sinner to win the first set and the match is also a good choice. After all, the South Tyrolean is still unbeaten in his home country
My Sinner Djokovic tip
Djokovic put in a strong performance against Alcaraz, he was on another level, especially when he came under pressure. Nevertheless, it must also be mentioned that the number two player in the world made it extremely easy for him in some phases.
While Alcaraz has lacked consistency in recent weeks, Sinner has played at an extremely high level, losing only one of his 19 indoor hard court matches this year.
Given his current top form and confidence in Turin, I expect him to defeat the “Djoker” again in northern Italy and be carried to the title by the Italian fans.
My Sinner Djokovic tip: Sinner wins the ATP Finals!