NBA Regular Season 2023/24, Saturday, 25.11.2023
The home Timberwolves and the Kings face off at the Target Center in Minneapolis on Friday night (CET). Minnesota leads the Western Conference with an 11-3 record.
Sacramento follows in sixth place at 8-6. The match is part of the In-Season Tournament (IST) in the 2023/24 NBA season, where both teams have a 2-0 record after the first two games.
With a home win, the Wolves could wrap up victory in West Group C. If you believe the betting odds, there is not much standing in the way of a win for the hosts. I come to the same conclusion in my Timberwolves vs Kings betting tip.
In the end, I play the bet “Minnesota win” with odds of 1.57 at provider Bwin.
In the Timberwolves vs Kings prediction, the home side are the slight favorites with a spread of -3.5 points. The over/under is 230 points.
The bookies with a German license offer average odds of 1.55 for a home win, while the odds for a win by the visitors average 2.51.
In the last ten meetings, the Wolves have won seven times. Sacramento also lost out in the preseason. The team from California lost both home games against Minnesota.
However, the Kings were able to win one of the two games away from home
In the preseason, the Wolves reached the playoffs for the second time in a row despite a turbulent season with many injuries and noise. There they held their own against Denver for a long time, but were defeated 1-4.
This year, Minnesota has set its sights even higher and can probably achieve this. The expensive trade of Frenchman Rudy Gobert is finally paying off.
Together with Karl-Anthony Towns, Gobert now forms the hoped-for “Twin Towers”. In addition, the team has been built around the clear number one Anthony Edwards, who is one of the best two-guards in the league.
As a result, the Timberwolves have the best defense in the NBA and have improved from 26th in defensive rebounding in the previous season to eleventh this season.
Coach Chris Finch’s team is only allowing 49.7 percent of field goals. That is also the best value. Thanks in particular to the size of the two “Towers”, every opponent has a hard time on offense.
The offense can’t quite keep up here. 113.1 PPG is enough for 18th place. 112:99 during the week against the Philadelphia 76ers was the tenth win from the last eleven games.
They lead the Western Conference 11-3 and have an unblemished record of 7-0 at home. The Celtics are the only team that has not had to overcome a deficit of at least 21 points when visiting the Wolves.
The franchise has never started a season so well. Only the turnovers are still causing the team major problems. With a value of 15 per game, they only rank 21st here
Last year, Sacramento had the best offense in the NBA with 120.2 points per game. The Kings made the playoffs for the first time since 2006 and gave reigning champions Golden State a tough fight (3-4).
This year, the core of the team was able to hold together. They want to make the postseason again and not be eliminated in round 1. However, the defense has not really been strengthened.
Nevertheless, the team from the capital has been playing at the top so far. After a run of six wins in a row, coach Mike Brown’s men even finished in the top four in the West.
They had won against winning record teams such as the Thunder, Cavs, Lakers and Mavs. Then a double duel against New Orleans was on the program in the last few days
The two matches against the Pelicans were lost. The first by 36 points (93:123) and the second by five points (112:117). This year, the offense is only ranked 11th (114.9 PPG).
Especially without De’Aaron Fox, who has missed five games in between due to injury, the offense is a bit bumpy. They are also hitting fewer 3-pointers than last year.
The team from California has slipped from ninth place to 23rd. The defense ranks 20th with 115.6 points per game.
Sacramento’s record away from home is 4-5. Keegan Murray, who averages 13.2 points and 6.2 rebounds, is still out injured.
Conclusion: The Timberwolves are currently the most in-form team in the league and extremely strong at home. The visitors from Sacramento should certainly not be underestimated.
However, the Kings have been away from home since November 15 and are playing their sixth game in the last nine days. They already ran out of steam against New Orleans.
The Wolves will be able to keep Sabonis off the board with their size. The visitors will also be sorely missing Murray. In the end, everything points to a win for the home side.
My Timberwolves Kings tip is therefore: Victory Minnesota