Union Berlin – Frankfurt betting tip
For weeks, Eintracht Frankfurt and Union Berlin have held their own in the top group of our 1. Bundesliga tips, but now both are threatened with a crash. The dance on three weddings, it ended in lockstep.
Both teams have lost ground in recent weeks, even in national competition, so that they are now threatened with being passed through. On Sunday, they have to show in a direct duel who knows the greater stand-up qualities in their ranks.
The home advantage is of course in favour of the Eisernen, as they have only lost two games at the Alte Försterei in the league since September 2020. However, my analysis will show that the SGE is something of a fearful opponent.
How do the bookmakers therefore view this affair? At Bet365, the hosts are ahead, but the average 2.40 to 3.10 already shows that past results have not left the bookies unscathed.
In my Union Berlin Frankfurt betting tip, I will check exactly who has been hurt more by the international exit and who has the more consistent form. I’ll also reveal my betting recommendation at this point: No one will take the three points here!
The betting companies’ forecast?
Whoever trusts Union Berlin to have a strong reaction to the defeat in the Europa League will be rewarded with odds of 2.40. Quite optimistic when you consider that the Eisernen have only won twice against Frankfurt.
The 3.10 that I can find on the Eintracht side is probably also so high because the Hessians are not (any longer) among the best away from home. And, of course, because there was also a painful European result here.
A 3.20 for a draw? There is definitely a conspicuity here, because actually the draw is not to be found below a 3.50. From 0:0 to 3:3, everything has already happened in this duel, appropriately enough.
Analysis: Union Berlin vs Frankfurt
It was a season that looked like a big sensation for a long time. Union Berlin thrilled as league leaders, unnerved the big boys and suddenly found themselves in the last 16 of the Europa League.
The Eisernen didn’t know what hit them when they were celebrated against Ajax Amsterdam. Now, in mid-March, the really hot phase undoubtedly begins and, of all things, the East Berliners could sleep through it.
Gradually, things go downhill, there doesn’t seem to be enough strength left. Internationally it’s over, after the 3:3 of the first leg they went down 0:3 at the Royalen Union in Belgium, unfortunately not undeserved.
Now it’s time to give the right answer in the Bundesliga. There, too, the trend is downwards, with no wins in four games. An extremely tricky situation, because Union had not been without a win for so long before.
0:0 against Schalke, 0:3 at FC Bayern, 0:0 against Cologne and 1:1 against Wolfsburg, coach Urs Fischer’s team has not covered itself with glory. Especially in the offensive, which became clear in Brussels, there is not much going on anymore.
Quote analysis
Of course it is already clear from my introduction that I am calling for a draw here. However, I don’t think that we can expect a shootout, which is why I’m adding an under 2.5 goals. Now the odds come to 3.60 after all.
Of course, you can also just look at the pure under bet and say: Regardless of the result, there will be a maximum of two cheers here. Now the values go down significantly, but still reach a 1.62.
At the same time, the first two tips mean that I have a concrete result in mind.
Fear opponent Eintracht Frankfurt?
Admittedly, a home game is always an advantage for Union, but not everything has worked out at the Alte Försterei in recent weeks either. Against Cologne and Schalke, there were two dismal zeros, here one had expected much more.
Nevertheless, the Berliners are still unbeaten. Since September 2020, they have only lost once in the league against Bayern and Dortmund. In the first half of the season, the supporters had to experience what a goalless result against Frankfurt feels like.
They went home with a 2-0 defeat, their first loss of the season. They don’t really like playing against the Eagles anyway. 14 duels and only two victories? What a poor result!
Frankfurt must catch up
Of course, the six games since Union’s promotion are particularly interesting in a direct comparison. Three home wins for Eintracht, one draw and one home and away win for the Berliners, a balanced record.
With 23 goals, these encounters have been anything but boring, but at the moment it doesn’t really look like Union in particular can match that. Is Eintracht ready for a lot of goals?
While Union Berlin went down 0:3 to the Belgians, Frankfurt suffered an identical result in Naples in the top flight. Granted, Napoli is of course a category above the Royal Union.
Eintracht couldn’t keep up with this overpowering opponent, so now the concentration is on the league. On 40 points, they are in sixth place, with Freiburg, Union Berlin and Leipzig five points away.
With Mainz, Frankfurt and Leverkusen closing in from behind, the Hessians can’t really afford any more slip-ups. Two of the last eight games have been won, so the team is far from a series.
At home, the performance is very stable, but away from home, the SGE has clearly lost ground. They haven’t won in six matches, the last time they did so was in Augsburg at the beginning of November.
Augsburg, Gladbach, Stuttgart and Bremen are not exactly overpowering opponents that the Eagles have been able to defeat away from home. In the second half of the season, however, it was by no means as if there had been one away defeat after the other.
Four of the most recent six matches ended in a draw, three times it was a 1-1 draw. Which, by the way, hasn’t worked out at all yet: Playing to nil away from home! In the last three appearances alone, seven goals have been conceded.
My Union Frankfurt tip:
The decisive weeks are now upon us, which will show how strong Eintracht Frankfurt and Union Berlin really are. Both are currently struggling to stay on their feet and pick up more wins.
After the double international exit, I rate the direct duel on Sunday as one that both could well have done without. Union is unbeaten at home, the SGE is anything but strong away from home. But: That’s why they like playing against the Eisern.
I’ll keep it short: The many draws of the guests away from Frankfurt fit ideally with my view that no one can decisively pull away here in the end. That’s why my tip is also:
Union and Frankfurt split the points!
