Bundesliga 8th matchday, Saturday, 26/10/2024 at 3:30 pm
Third bankruptcy in the third game for the Red Bulls in the Champions League. On Wednesday, RB Leipzig lost 1-0 to Liverpool. And the rest of the program is also anything but easy, with the team’s chances of reaching the intermediate round at risk.
In the Bundesliga, things are going better. They are currently in second place, tied on points with Bayern in first place. Leipzig against Freiburg is the top game this weekend, with the Breisgauer just behind them.
Second place against third place, but despite the Champions League burden, I see advantages for the hosts, from whom I expect victory. However, at Betway I hedge my bets, combining the “Double Chance 1X” with over 1.5 goals from RB.
Atletico Madrid, Juventus, Liverpool, the opening program for Leipzig was a tough one. At least with a man advantage at home against Juve, the 2-1 should have been possible, but instead Marco Rose’s team came away empty-handed.
Liverpool took the next three points from the Red Bull Arena on Wednesday. Next up is Celtic Park, Inter in Milan and then Aston Villa, who beat Bayern.
Sporting on matchday seven is also anything but a walk-in customer. I only see a sure win against the team from Graz, which is also still without points. So much for the outlook in the premier league, now it’s back to the Bundesliga routine against Freiburg!
The betting tipsters’ prediction
Leipzig are ahead on the odds, but 1.70 is a bit too low for me to bet on the hosts. I would have probably gone for 1.85 or 1.90, but with the Champions League match in my legs and the mental setback, the risk is a bit too high for me.
Freiburg has a win rate of 4.70 at Betano, the draw is priced at 4.00. For the “double chance 1X”, there is still a rate above 1.20, which makes a combination with a goal bet interesting.
KI prediction RB Leipzig vs. Freiburg: That’s what ChatGPT tips
However, I first look at what the AI has in its repertoire, you already know it from our soccer predictions, we asked ChatGPT for a bet with high, medium and low risk.
Recently, my bet has often been covered by the low-risk variant, but this time it is likely that it will not be. The artificial intelligence avoids bet configurator constellations. Nevertheless, there is a certain parallel again.
The AI considers the over 2.5 goals as very realistic, but the difference with my bet is that the 2-0 for the hosts is not covered, but for me it is a result that is very possible. In return, the AI has the hedge for all slightly higher Freiburg victories.
Leipzig recently won three games in a row without conceding a goal, and has kept a club-record five clean sheets in the Bundesliga. With only two goals conceded in seven games in the high-scoring Bundesliga, they have the best defense so far.
Accordingly, the AI has a bet ready that neither team will score on Saturday.
However, conceding a goal is a prerequisite for the high-risk option, where ChatGPT throws Leipzig’s victory after trailing into the room, a whopping odds.
However, Freiburg has yet to lose a game after taking the lead, and Leipzig did pull off a comeback against Leverkusen and Essen in the cup at the start of the season.
Analysis: RB Leipzig vs. Freiburg
In this high odds region, I see more potential for the opposite bet, that Freiburg turns the match when Leipzig is starting to feel the intense week of matches in their legs. Either way, this market is not to my taste.
I can get more excited about Freiburg scoring a goal in the second half. Betano, which now also accepts Apple Pay deposits, offers odds of 2.05 for this. The sports club has scored its last four away goals in the second half.
For me, that would be the only option besides both teams scoring (1.70) to include a Freiburg goal bet. I had already suggested both teams scoring four times this week, all in the Champions League.
In three out of four matches, both teams scored. This time, too, the bet is a very hot one for me.
Odds Analysis
However, my final tip this time is the “double chance 1X” with the addition that the hosts will score twice. That was already the case in the last game in Mainz and there were also some unused, high-quality chances against Liverpool.
In terms of personnel, Rose can also draw on unlimited resources in offense. In any case, the Red Bulls have significantly more quality and individual class in their ranks. Before the 0-1 defeat to the currently very strong Reds, Leipzig scored six times in the Red Bull Arena in the games before that.
A 4-0 win against Augsburg and the 2-3 loss to Juventus. In general, I see a positive trend in terms of attacking play. A goalless match against a team like Liverpool, which is worth billions, is a different matter.
RB Leipzig vs. Freiburg odds: Leipzig is still unbeaten in the Bundesliga
Five wins and two draws in seven games is the statistic for the still unbeaten Leipzig, which is on our side for the “double chance 1X”. Freiburg have also bagged five wins, but have also come away empty-handed twice.
A 0-2 loss in Munich and a surprisingly high 0-3 loss at home to St. Pauli. Freiburg came back from the international break with a 3-1 win over Augsburg. Incidentally, the Breisgauers have never had five wins in seven games.
The personnel situation at Leipzig and Freiburg
I already mentioned that Leipzig can call on all their attacking players. However, the East Germans are not without injury worries. David Raum, Xaver Schlager and Assan Ouedragogo are in the team hospital.
Freiburg currently has to do without central defenders Kenneth Schmidt and Manuel Gulde, and also has to manage without Merlin Röhl and Daniel-Kofi Kyereh.
Freiburg has been a good place for the Red Bulls in recent times, not having lost to the club in the last eleven matches. In 2022, the teams played the cup final, which RBL won on penalties.
So far, Leipzig is still unbeaten at home against Freiburg, with RB scoring a whopping 22 goals in nine home games. The last two meetings at the Red Bull Arena ended 3-1.
Freiburg’s fourth and so far last win was in a home game in the last decade, a 2-1 win in October 2019, exactly five years ago to the day.
Incidentally, if you are looking for higher odds with value, you should take a look at Xavi Simons’ 9.25 to score the first goal in the game.
In the last match against Mainz, he scored the 1-0 for the eighth time, and he did the same in the last home game against Freiburg.
My RB Leipzig Freiburg betting tip:
Freiburg has not won against Leipzig in eleven duels, and they have never managed a win in the Red Bull Arena. The “double chance 1X” is also booked due to the fact that the Red Bulls are still unbeaten and have only conceded two goals.
The third Champions League disappointment on Wednesday was of course a dampener, but on Saturday there is the possibility of taking the lead in the group stage. Besides, I have recently liked the offense of the East Germans better.
There have been seven goals in the last three league games, including a brace against Juventus. Rose has the entire offensive staff at his disposal. I trust RB to score a brace against a favorite opponent!
My RB Leipzig Freiburg prediction: Double chance 1X & over 1.5 RBL goals!
