La Liga, Tuesday, 12/03/2024 at 7:00 PM
Not a sure thing! FC Barcelona are in a bad way. The favorites for the Primera Division title are no longer winning and have already squandered almost their entire lead.
They urgently need to win again on Wednesday, but their next opponent is not an easy team to play against. In my Mallorca Barcelona betting tip, I’ll tell you why I’m thinking defensively and recommend the “Under 2.5 goals” bet.
Eleven wins from the first twelve rounds, plus 40 goals? What a dream start! FC Barcelona got off to an excellent start under new coach Hansi Flick, leaving no doubt about their title ambitions.
Real and Atletico Madrid were clearly distanced, it seemed like it would be a season full of records. But suddenly, and this shortly after the 4-0 in the Clasico against Real Madrid, the team collapsed. 0-1 at Real Sociedad, 2-2 against Celta Vigo (they almost lost here) and 1-2 against relegation candidates Las Palmas: it is inexplicable what the Catalans have achieved, or rather not achieved, in recent weeks.
The lead is gone, the helplessness is great. With three goals from the last three games, the offense, which is actually so strong, has also deteriorated enormously. Two wins from the last five away games?
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It’s hard to explain how you can first win 4-0 at Real Madrid and then lose 1-0 at Real Sociedad. The offense is still the strongest, so does Barca have a strategy for when the goals are scored?
Sometimes they score more often before half-time, sometimes after, but nothing really stands out. There have only been two games that have had fewer than two goals – but both of those were in the last three rounds.
It cannot be denied that the first crisis is taking hold in Barcelona. Robert Lewandowski is also affected by this, having scored only once in the last four games in the Primera Division.
Barca had to learn last season that Mallorca are not easy to play against. 1-0 and 2-2, the four points were more than hard-fought. Nevertheless, Mallorca are somehow a favorite opponent.
14 wins and two draws, there’s really nothing to complain about. 1-0, 2-2, 3-0, 1-0, 2-1, 1-0? Only one of the last six results was clear, and that was on a 37th matchday when the game was already over.
If our German bookmakers have their way, the question of who is favored on Wednesday is still undecided. Barca has average odds of 1.60, while Mallorca has 5.25.
RCD is currently in an upper midfield position in the table, which is an honorable achievement. 13 goals conceded? Barca have conceded three more! 15 goals scored? Only seven teams have scored fewer.
Mallorca were already attracting attention in 2023/24 with strong defensive performances, but at the expense of offense. What Mallorca have done in the last two games is completely new: five goals were scored!
For a team that has been completely without a goal five times and only scored twice with a double pack by matchday 13, this is a great improvement.
3:2 against Las Palmas (that’s how it’s done, Barca!) and 2:1 against Valencia, two wins in a row for the first time since September. Interesting: back then there were even three in a row, which FC Barcelona may have noticed.
Three 1:0, three 2:1, one 3:2? Mallorca won’t care that all the wins had exactly one goal advantage. Three times 0-1, twice 1-2? The same principle applied to the defeats!
With three draws to come, one thing is certain: all the results really do offer a maximum of one goal difference. In the recent 2-1 defeat to Valencia, it was the first time ever that a home game had offered more than two goals.
Mallorca have only twice taken the lead at home, and only against Villarreal did they concede two goals. So is the “Under 1.5 goals Barca” bet worthwhile? At Bet365, you can benefit from odds of 2.10 and also play with Bet365 credits.
FC Barcelona have to be careful! After the last few games, the good starting position is gone, and the offense is no longer getting going. Can RCD Mallorca benefit from this?
The home side are known for their tight results, and they have never lost a game by a clear margin. The defense is very difficult to break down, they are even better than the Catalans.
Of course, this is at the expense of their attacking efforts. Matches in Mallorca usually don’t contain a lot of goals. For these reasons, I have decided to recommend the following bet:
The 2.5 goals will not be exceeded!
