Bundesliga matchday 13, Friday, 06.12.2024 at 20:30
Is the path upwards, towards the top places – or rather downwards, where it smells unappetizingly like a relegation battle? There are duels in our Bundesliga tips that are difficult to categorize:
And that’s exactly the case with my VfB Stuttgart Union Berlin betting tip.
After a strong start, the Ironmen have slumped and simply stopped scoring. VfB were inconsistent right from the start and you never really know what the team will do this time.
That’s why I found it difficult to make a betting prediction: the home side will score a maximum of three goals.
This bet naturally has to do with the fact that Union have become really harmless in attack. Since away games are one of the scariest disciplines anyway and Stuttgart had to play in the cup, I don’t necessarily expect offensive fireworks.
Of course, word has gotten around that Berlin are in a crisis. As a result, the VfB Stuttgart Union Berlin odds are based on the runners-up, who are clearly favored with average odds of 1.75 to 4.75.
The Swabians haven’t lost to the Irons often and this duel has rarely been so high-scoring. In my analysis, I will of course also tell you why, historically speaking, there shouldn’t be too many goals!
The oddsmakers’ forecast?
Two home wins in a row for the first time this season? That would be nice! Our ApplePay bookmakers are quite optimistic in this respect, with odds of 1.75 on a three-goal haul for the home side.
For the Berliners, on the other hand, the odds jump up to 4.75. With just two points from the last five matches, that’s perfectly understandable, given that the last three duels against VfB have all gone to pot.
The two teams have drawn nine times between them and six of the 13 head-to-head meetings have ended without a winner. The draw odds, which come to 3.70 on Friday, should therefore not be disregarded.
KI prediction VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin: ChatGPT
How does ChatGPT react to the question of whether Union Berlin or Stuttgart will be the better side on Friday? The AI naturally knows the current table and has incorporated it into its three betting suggestions.
If you want to take a high risk, the AI recommends a result bet, namely a 1:0. Union no longer score, VfB won the last three duels to zero, this suggestion gets the green light from me!
At medium risk we would be at an over 2.5 goals – here I fluctuate strongly. Since the visitors won’t get anything going offensively and VfB could be cup-tired, I would perhaps advise against this.
Should the hosts score the first goal of the match, the bet would be fulfilled with little risk. Since the Berliners haven’t taken the lead in five games and have only managed to do so away from home in Kiel anyway, I’ll go with this tip.
Analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin
Then everything started so well and they finally seemed to be consistent again! Union Berlin simply wanted to play a quiet, relaxed round after such a difficult 2023/24 season and get back to their old strength.
With four wins, two draws and a narrow defeat against Borussia Mönchengladbach, they got off to a really good start. As October slowly drew to a close, however, the good vibes came to an end.
Three defeats and two draws, only two goals of their own – this was not how they had imagined the fall or the transition to winter in the capital! A lot has to improve, especially in attack.
They have only scored ten times, sharing the lowest figure with St. Pauli and Kiel, the two promoted teams. Well, to be fair, I also have to say that the Berliners’ last opponents have been tough
Rating Analysis
It’s already been mentioned a few times: Union haven’t scored, Stuttgart have won the last few times. So why not bet on another home win without conceding a goal? At Interwetten, that would give you odds of 3.50.
At the same time, it is also possible to say: Union will not score. With the same bookmaker, you would now have odds of 2.40 and could also use the Interwetten voucher.
Union have their problems with away games, never taking the lead with one exception. So you might want to risk a bet that Stuttgart will lead after the first 45 minutes – and enjoy odds of 2.35!
VfB Stuttgart vs. Union Berlin: Is there much to expect offensively from the visitors?
Bayern, Leverkusen, Freiburg, Frankfurt and Wolfsburg are all in the top eight of the table. Nevertheless, it is of course striking that the offense has been completely blank five times.
Three times there has been a brace, never before have there been three goals. In addition, Union are (finally) strong at home again, having recently lost for the first time at the Alte Försterei in a narrow 2-1 defeat to Leverkusen.
Now they are traveling again, and the team doesn’t like that at all. They won 2:0 at Kiel, but were unable to take anything away from Wolfsburg (0:1), Gladbach (0:1) and Bayern (0:3).
So perhaps the Eisern should give Interwetten a try – after all, a “takeaway” for new customers is guaranteed here: After all, the Austrian betting pioneer makes up to 100 euros loose for newcomers.
Pure minimalism in Berlin!
The draws against Mainz (1:1) and RB Leipzig (0:0) didn’t yield much either. Let’s read through the results again: 1:1, 0:0, 0:1, 2:0, 0:1, 0:1? Apparently you can’t bet on action here!
Even a “BTS” would only have been correct once. A good keyword to briefly make the historical transition. Union beat VfB in the relegation play-off in 2019, with six of the first eight head-to-head matches not finding a winner back then.
Things are different now. While Union won both games in the 2022-23 season, the last three, all of which went to VfB. Both teams have NOT scored in five games, having previously done so in seven out of eight matches.
Stuttgart have therefore taken control of this tie and will be looking to record their fourth win in a row against the Irons on Friday. The Swabians would do well to take a look at their current situation.
Last Tuesday, the men with the chest ring secured their place in the cup quarter-finals with a 3-0 win at Jahn Regensburg. A commanding victory, of which there have been far too few in the Bundesliga so far.
The reigning runners-up have only won four times, only twice with a clean sheet. There is simply no consistency, not least because the five draws have cost too many points.
0-0, 2-2 or 3-3? The mere fact that the draws are so different shows that the team is not in a rhythm. But at least they can rely on their home strength.
They have scored in all 27 Bundesliga home games under Sebastian Hoeneß, with just two defeats. It is also important not to write VfB off, especially in the closing stages.
They have already scored nine times in the last 15 minutes, but the visitors from the capital have only conceded once in this period.
After a 2-0 win against Bochum in their most recent home game – their first clean sheet of the season – they will now finally be looking to record a second home win in a row.
My VfB Stuttgart Union Berlin tip:
The runners-up are finally looking to get off to a flying start in the 2024/25 season! VfB Stuttgart are still plagued by problems, with many wins simply not coming their way. So it’s a good thing that a team in a serious crisis is coming to Stuttgart.
Union Berlin can’t get anything going, and their offense is now the weakest of the competition. Away games? The Irons don’t like them anyway, with all their games away from home ending with just a few goals.
Based on all these reasons and facts, the picture that emerges for me is that we won’t be in for a spectacle here. As the Swabians are in better shape overall, my tip is:
Stuttgart will score a maximum of three goals!
