Bundesliga 21st matchday, Friday, 07/02/2025 at 8:30 p.m.
Do you remember the first leg? Bremen had an xG value of 0.00 – as smooth as a freshly wiped floor. No shot on the hop, nothing, nada.
Tonight is the second clash of the 2024/25 season – and my Bayern Werder Bremen betting tip gives you the answer to the question of whether the Hanseatic team can hope for more than just damage limitation this time.
Not to be forgotten is that the Werder team won their last away trip to the Allianz Arena, which subsequently prompted betting providers with Apple Pay as a payment method to pay out an impressive away win rate of 23.00 on average.
Hardly any Bundesliga duel has made as much history as this one! Because when Bayern meet Werder, it’s not just any game – it’s the most-played duel in league history! The two teams have faced each other 116 times.
Although Bremen is one of the few teams against whom Munich have conceded more than 25 defeats, the green-whites have hardly had much success in the last 30 meetings.
Whether the sensational 1-0 from January 2024 can be repeated? Rather unlikely – in my Bayern Werder Bremen prediction, I give you my very personal assessme
After the Munich team dominated the first-leg duel at will, you can’t hope that Bayern’s Werder Bremen odds will be fundamentally different this time than they were on Matchday 4.
As expected, FCB’s win rate is therefore around 1.10, which clearly indicates that the German betting providers have complete confidence in the league leaders.
KI-Prognose Bayern vs Werder Bremen: Darauf tippt ChatGPT
Die Bayern Werder Bremen KI-Prognose lieferte mir einige interessante Wettoptionen, die unterschiedlich riskant, aber allesamt gut durchdacht sind. Daran will ich euch teilhaben lassen!
For the high-risk option, ChatGPT recommends “Kane scores the 1st goal”. A promising tip, because the Englishman was recently substituted early and is therefore more likely to score the first goal than the last in the game.
For the medium-risk tip, I also like “Bayern win with Asian Handicap -2.5” at just under 2.00.
The Munich team should be warned after the Kiel game and not afford another drop in tension shortly before the end – so a clear victory with at least a three-goal lead is quite conceivable.
According to ChatGPT, the safe option is “Over 3.5 goals”. A logical choice, since I firmly assume that Bayern will contribute at least three goals themselves, which at the same time increases the probability of success of this tip.
Analysis: Bayern vs Werder Bremen
Bayern had a bit of a hard time towards the end against Kiel last week, but in the end it was the victory that counted – and that could be more important than you think.
Because maybe Munich has now found the right rhythm to keep Leverkusen at bay in the long term.
Six Bundesliga wins in a row under Vincent Kompany – that’s unprecedented. And if you remember: the last really long winning streak was under Hansi Flick, when they won 14 games in a row.
Another fun fact: Bayern has the best win rate of any team in Europe’s top five leagues this season (80%). So anyone who believes in a changing of the guard should perhaps think again.
Werder Bremen, on the other hand, finally got their first Bundesliga win of the year! The 1-0 win over Mainz ended a four-game losing streak and also brought the Hanseatic club to within one point of the European cup places.
With 30 points from 20 matches, they are enjoying their best season since 2011/12 – but even then, they just missed out on a top-six finish.
They are also doing well away from home: Werder have picked up the third-most away points and scored at least twice in seven of ten games. However, they are prone to conceding early goals, as shown by four goals behind in the last six away games.
Odds Analysis
In good sports betting apps, I have identified two additional offers that are equally worthwhile. Because these Bayern Werder Bremen tips have the potential for interesting value bets.
“Jamal Musiala scores” at odds of 2.00 is undoubtedly a solid tip, after all, he already scored against Bremen in the first leg.
“Bayern to win 1st half with handicap -1” at odds of around 2.40 is also worth considering. After all, the record champions should start strongly again in the game.
Bayern vs. Werder Bremen: Kane is in the spotlight!
Last week, I placed a hat-trick bet on Kane, and it was extremely annoying! Two goals after 60 minutes, and then the Englishman was simply taken off? He could easily have scored a third!
But okay, new week, new luck – and hopefully he’ll stay on longer this time.
Because if anyone is predestined for hat-tricks in the Bundesliga, it’s him: Harry Kane has scored an incredible 55 goals in his first 50 Bundesliga appearances – more than any other player in that time.
His start in Germany was a statement in itself when he scored against Bremen in his very first game. A truly good omen for next Friday, don’t you think?
Bremen is missing important personnel!
It’s an open secret that Bayern slow down towards the end, but that shouldn’t stop them from beating SVW.
Nevertheless: Bayern Munich have already conceded six goals in the first three games of the second half of the season – they have only done that once before this century, in 2006/07.
In addition, no team has conceded more goals in the last 15 minutes than Munich (3) since the 18th matchday – exactly as many as in the entire first half during this period.
Another advantage for the record champions is that the guests have to do without several key players, which could have serious consequences.
Because Werder Bremen will have to do without coach Ole Werner, Niklas Stark and captain Marco Friedl (all sent off against Mainz).
But now comes the devastating part: without Friedl, Werder have only won one of their last nine Bundesliga games, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game – including the 5-0 defeat to Bayern on matchday 4.
Incidentally, you can place just about any Bayern Werder Bremen tip you can imagine at betting providers with fast payouts – unfortunately, only template bets are not included. Otherwise, I would have two absolute top candidates for you here.
Because Bayern’s Michael Olise and Werder’s Marvin Ducksch have already provided seven assists each in this Bundesliga season. Only Florian Wirtz has set up more, with nine assists.
Olise, in particular, has already shown what he is capable of against Werder: in the 5-0 win about half a year ago, he directly contributed to four goals (2 goals, 2 assists) – a personal best in his career in England and Germany so far.
My Bayern Werder Bremen Tip:
Bayern will be much more dominant in this game than against Kiel and will not let up towards the end.
Bremen could pose a real threat with a full squad, but without several key players, it will probably end in a clear win for Munich, as it did in the first half of the season.
FCB will take the reins early on and not let go until the final whistle.
My Bayern Werder Bremen tip: The record champions win both halves of the game!
