Serie A, Saturday, 08/02/2025 at 3:00 pm
Similar to a thrilling mountain stage of the Giro d’Italia, the Bergamasque team lost contact with the two escapees by last weekend at the latest.
According to my Hellas Verona Atalanta Bergamo betting tip, they will have to continue pedaling hard on Saturday. That’s because the relegation candidate from the city of Romeo and Juliet will fight with all its might to avoid that.
Atalanta are going through a tricky patch. They are facing personnel shortages as both Ademola Lookman and Odilon Kossounou are still out. In addition, Nicolo Zaniolo has left, which further limits their attacking options.
Although Gianluca Scamacca recently made his long-awaited comeback in his team’s disappointing 1-1 draw with Torino, it will take weeks before he returns to his best form.
At least “La Dea” has just strengthened with Stefan Posch to stabilize the defense on the wing.
But will that be enough? The glorious weeks with twelve consecutive wins are long gone – instead, there was only one win to celebrate in the last six Serie A matchdays.
Bergamo have also had a hard time recently against more manageable opponents such as Udinese (0-0) and Torino (1-1). That’s why Verona is a rival not to be underestimated.
The relegation candidates have also been given a shot in the arm by drawing 1-1 with Venezia before beating Monza 1-0. The Gialloblù have picked up some important points in their direct duels with the teams in the bottom three, and the four points from those games feel like twice as many.
While a home win against Bergamo is not exactly likely, the home side should not be underestimated. It is well known that teams that regularly face the spectre of relegation often fight with the courage of despair.
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For a successful Hellas Verona Atalanta Bergamo tip, I think a goal bet is more expedient than a classic 1X2 bet. Bergamo’s offense is currently not in top form, while the hosts can stand stable defensively.
“Under 3.5 goals” therefore seems to be a better choice, especially since the satisfactory odds are trading just below the 1.50 mark at most football betting providers.
But if you like it a bit riskier, you can also look at ‘Under 2.5 goals’. Don’t expect a spectacle, but rather a tough struggle for every free meter of lawn.
In six of the last seven Serie A games, the Veronese have scored fewer than 3.5 goals – even against high-flying opponents such as Milan (0:1), Napoli (0:2) and Lazio (0:3), the defense held up reasonably.
Without Lookman and the departed Zaniolo, Atalanta lack offensive momentum, which was already evident in the recent 1-1 draw against Torino. The Bergamasque team found it extremely difficult to find creative solutions – and that could well be the case again.
If the “Toro” has already shone against Bergamo away from home, then the Verona team should also do well in their own stadium. The home side could certainly annoy the favorites more than the Hellas Verona Atalanta Bergamo odds suggest.
Since a betting provider with fast payouts should ultimately pay out, I will limit myself to the possibility of the Bergamasque team winning a point, without assuming a win.
In bookmaker-speak, this means a safe Hellas Verona Atalanta Bergamo tip of the type “Double Chance X2 & Under 3.5 Goals” at a nice combined odds of 1.70 on average.
Atalanta can forget about a crushing 6-1 victory like in the first half of the season, because Ademola Lookmann, who scored twice and drove the team forward in that game, is out this time.
By the way, don’t forget that Bergamo didn’t face a challenge until Tuesday’s Coppa Italia clash against Bologna – a feat that is likely to have left its mark.
Atalanta have won five of their last six league games directly after a Champions League or cup tie during the week, but the only exception during this period was last weekend, when they drew with Turin. Coincidence?
Conclusion: Atalanta look drained, and without Lookman, the offense lacks the necessary punch. Against a deep Verona, “La Dea” should be the dominant team, but getting a goal will be a tough feat.
The home side know that they can only score through compact defending. Their penalty area will become a fortress in which they will keep Atalanta waiting for a long time. An early goal is unlikely – instead, expect a game of patience with few highlights.
Will Bergamo find the gap in the end or will Hellas drive the favorites to despair? One thing is clear: goals are likely to remain in short supply here.
My Hellas Verona v Atalanta Bergamo prediction: Double chance X2 & Under 3.5 goals.
