Bundesliga matchday 21, Saturday, 08.02.2025 at 15:30
Niko Kovac is back in the Bundesliga – and with him a whole host of challenges! The former FC Bayern Munich coach is the new boss at Borussia Dortmund, and he wants to make a fitting introduction with a win against the reigning runners-up on Saturday.
In my Dortmund VfB Stuttgart betting tip, I will of course quickly come to the fact that the Swabians are Borussia’s opponents from the last two years, so Black & Yellow have a lot to make up for in front of their own fans.
I’ve taken a very close look at the season so far and would now like to tell you why I’m going for double chance 1X at under 4.5 goals here.
So I’m definitely letting BVB score and even see a good chance of a win. The Kovac effect? Certainly not only, because things aren’t going as planned for the visitors. That’s why I believe Dortmund can definitely end their losing streak against Stuttgart.
And who knows, maybe we’ll be saying that in three months’ time: Do you remember that home game against Stuttgart on February 8? It was the start of our great race to catch up. But maybe things will turn out very differently and BVB will continue to wait for a win in the double-header!?
The betting providers’ forecast?
The Dortmund team is favored for this home game, but you can see odds in our sports betting apps that are defensively profitable. You want to place bet 1? Then you’ll certainly like the value of 1.90.
The Swabians are definitely not one of the best teams in the league away from home and have 90 minutes in the cup in their bones. As a result, they are “equipped” with average odds of 3.80.
Dortmund would certainly not be satisfied with a draw. I have to say that there hasn’t been a draw when these two teams have met at Signal-Iduna-Park since September 2014. Nevertheless, I’ll tell you that the draw odds are estimated at 3.80.
KI prediction Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart: ChatGPT
What are ChatGPT’s betting suggestions this time? Of course, the AI cannot include the possible emotional effect of a change of coach in its tips, but one of the three tips is very bold!
If you want to place a risky bet, you can try a Dortmund win at 0:2 HC according to the AI. Three goals ahead? That’s definitely too euphoric for me. Only once in the entire season did BVB win by more than two goals, so I would definitely be more cautious here.
Serhou Guirassy will face his former club, he’s probably in with a chance of scoring. Since his form is basically right and he will certainly be highly motivated, I think a goal is quite likely.
The classic “BTS” is once again being called as a low-risk bet. One team has scored three times in the 2024/25 season, the other four times – so it definitely doesn’t look like a defensive line will be able to hold their own on Saturday!
Analysis: Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart
It’s game number four after Nuri Sahin and also game number one for Niko Kovac – BVB want a turnaround! Last weekend he won 2:1 in Heidenheim, it was a real bombshell.
Why? Quite simply because it was only the second away win ever this season! Of course, Dortmund also have their weakness on the road to thank for the fact that they have never managed to win twice in a row
The result is a mid-table finish. But: As many other teams are also weakening, fourth place, which would be necessary to reach the Champions League, is only four points away.
So anything is still possible in these last 14 match days, and Kovac should get the team back on track. His appointment has not been without controversy, so it would of course be all the more important if his new club gets off to a really strong start.
Odds Analysis
In the last 15 games, VfB Stuttgart have failed to score eleven times before the break! In view of this fact, it is only logical to say: It won’t work on Saturday either. After registering with Betano, you will be offered odds of 1.70.
At the same time, Dortmund have only missed a goal twice in the first 45 minutes at home. So I turn the bet from just now around and say: BVB goal in the first half! Now the value goes down slightly to 1.65.
A result bet for this game is incredibly difficult to set, but that’s exactly why it appeals to me so much. I can imagine that BVB will quickly internalize Kovac’s tactics and Stuttgart will be tired from the cup. Therefore, I think a 1:0 is not wrong, with odds of 10.5 this bet pays off in any case.
Dortmund vs. VfB Stuttgart: The BVB defense in focus
The Black & Yellows have only lost once at home – and a 2:3 against the champions from Leverkusen really happened quickly. At the same time, however, the Westphalians have not won in four home games.
They drew against Bremen, Hoffenheim and Bayern, but always failed to hold on to their lead. TSG equalized in stoppage time, FCB a few minutes before the end and Werder even turned around a 2-0 deficit.
Dortmund have failed to keep a clean sheet in 17 of their last 18 games, meaning they urgently need to improve their defence. However, Nico Schlotterbeck will have to watch again on Saturday, when his red ban expires.
Does VfB remain the current opponent to fear?
Niklas Süle won’t be back for a few weeks, so others will have to defend. VfB is one of those things, the Swabians were considered the absolute favorite opponent for many years.
Two defeats between 2010 and 2022, that was really strong. But then the streak broke, and how! 3:3, 1:2, 0:2, 0:1 and a disastrous 1:5 in this first half of the season – someone is developing into a fearful opponent!
At least I have to give the Dortmund team credit: Four of these five games took place on the Neckar, and now Borussia can play at home again. Stuttgart, of course, arrive with a historic tailwind
After reaching the DFB Cup semi-finals (they won 1:0 against Augsburg), they have regained their courage after losing three competitive matches in a row for the first time this season.
On the one hand, there was the 1:4 against PSG, which resulted in the team’s elimination from the Champions League, and on the other, the defeats against Mainz (0:2) and Gladbach (1:2). It is above all the first half that VfB misses.
In five of the last six games, they failed to score in the first half and went into the break 1-0 down on four occasions. Interesting in any case: In seven of nine away games, the score was drawn after the first 45 minutes.
If this also happens on Saturday, you could secure Betano odds of 2.35. After the cup win over Augsburg, the mood was not as exuberant as expected, because: Enzo Milot had to be carried off the field! It seems unlikely that a trip to Dortmund will be possible.
The Swabians have lost three times away from home so far, but have never suffered two defeats in a row. Given the recent 0:2 loss in Mainz, they should get some points this weekend.
My Dortmund Stuttgart tip:
How will Niko Kovac’s debut in Dortmund go? The Bundesliga is eagerly awaiting the manager’s comeback, and VfB Stuttgart, the fearsome opponents of the last two years, are about to arrive.
Dortmund are generally comfortable in their stadium, but have also failed to win here four times in a row. Nevertheless, I expect BVB to be highly motivated, which is why I’m sending the double chance 1X into the race.
The Swabians struggled to a 1-0 win against Augsburg in the cup and will probably have to do without Milot. I don’t see a very broad chest on either side. That’s why I’m limiting the scope for a spectacle a little and betting on the total:
The BVB scores under 4.5 goals!
