Serie A, Sunday, 09/02/2025 at 3:00 PM
Since Lazio have already qualified for the last 16 in the Europa League, they can relax and concentrate on the Serie A. However, they must not take it too easy, even if only the current bottom-placed team is visiting on Sunday.
If the “Biancocelesti” tighten up, however, it should be a one-sided affair. In my opinion, placing a Lazio Monza tip on the away team would be a waste of money.
These are exactly the kind of games in which Lazio thrives. I will therefore not miss out on the Interwetten free bet on Sunday, nor on the opportunity to profit from a home win for the “Biancocelesti”.
Marco Baroni’s team delivers reliably in its own stadium and against teams from the bottom of the table.
After all, the only three Serie A wins since December have all come against opponents of the caliber of the upcoming guests: a 2-1 win against Lecce, a 3-0 win over Verona and, most recently, a 2-1 win against Cagliari.
These games have shown that Lazio is on the ball when the going gets tough – even if it doesn’t always look great.
Home advantage is a decisive factor anyway. Lazio was hard to beat at the Stadio Olimpico for much of 2024. It suffered a heavy 6-0 defeat to Inter and, more recently, a 2-1 loss to Florence – two bitter prestige duels within the space of a month.
But Monza will not be able to perform at this level. The Laziali have shown that they struggle against top teams, but have significantly more control over the game against weaker opponents.
Another argument in favor of a home win is the Romans’ defense. It has been seen in many games that Lazio is stable defensively and allows little against individually weaker teams.
Particularly in their own stadium, they have often relied on their defensive organization this season. That could be the difference against Monza.
While the home side reliably score points in home games, almost nothing is coming together for Monza at the moment.
They have lost eight of their last nine Serie A games – and not against top teams, but also against direct competitors in the relegation battle.
The recent 2-0 loss to Genoa and the subsequent 1-0 loss to Verona speak volumes. If you can’t even score against teams in the bottom third of the table, the outlook for avoiding relegation looks bleak.
Monza’s attack seems to lack ideas, with no real target man in the center to create danger. Without a clear plan and with dwindling self-confidence, it will be difficult to pull off an upset at the Stadio Olimpico, of all places.
Lazio have already won the first leg 1-0, and I expect them to keep a clean sheet again this time. The ACM have only scored at least twice away from home once this season.
A landslide victory, on the other hand, is not to be expected, as that does not fit with Coach Baroni’s philosophy. Did you know that the Romans have not scored more than three goals in a competitive game since November 2024?
A bet on “Lazio to win 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0” as part of Bwin sports betting is currently being offered at odds of 3.65 – and could therefore prove to be the smart choice.
In summary, everything points to a confident but by no means spectacular home victory. Those who bet on a strong defensive performance by the home side and a harmless guest team could be on to a good thing. By the way: If you want to place your Lazio Monza tip, betting providers with fast payouts are a real advantage. Winnings end up in your account at lightning speed, so you stay flexible and can continue betting directly.
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Conclusion: Since Lazio have qualified directly for the Europa League knockout stage, they can fully concentrate on the league.
It would be disastrous to drop points against Monza – especially since the opponent is currently not doing very well and seems completely harmless in attack.
I would be surprised if the Romans score more than three goals, but I would be even more surprised if Monza scored at all.
My Lazio Monza betting tip: The capital city team win without conceding a goal.
