Premier League, Wednesday, 26.12.2025 at 21:15
Liverpool are still heading for the Premier League title in the first year after the Jürgen Klopp era. They have an eleven-point lead over Arsenal. Although the Londoners have played one game less, they are still in a comfortable position.
A tough match awaits the Reds on Wednesday. The Magpies are the visitors. I expect a very competitive, attacking game and therefore opt for the goal of both teams in my Liverpool Newcastle betting tip and add the “Over 2.5 goals” at AdmiralBet.
27 Liverpool have already played 27 games in the Premier League and have only one defeat so far, which was against Nottingham Forest in mid-September 2024.
Apart from the surprising FA Cup exit against Plymouth, an insignificant first-leg defeat in the EFL Cup and an irrelevant loss to PSV in the Champions League, Arne Slot’s side have not allowed themselves to lose again.
And the current form? Three wins from the last five league games, 2-1 against Wolves, 2-0 against Bournemouth and most recently in the top game of the week against a stumbling Manchester City side.
After the away win against their perennial rivals of the past few seasons, they now return to Anfield Road to face Newcastle at home. Let’s take a look at the 1X2 odds:
Liverpool are ahead and the odds are still respectable at 1.52. United are classified as underdogs. However, the 5.10 and the 4.70 for the draw also show that losing a point would not really knock the bookies off their feet. The double chance X2 stands at 2.45.
I don’t really see any value in any of the selections here. Like the bookmakers, I expect better hosts, but the odds are simply not high enough for that. Newcastle have also lost just one in three matches away from home.
What’s more, Eddie Howe’s team scored an average of two goals per game in the second half of the season. Generally speaking, the Magpies have scored the third most goals when they have been on the pitch.
I can well imagine another 2-2 or a close 2-1 for Liverpool. I can also imagine an escalation of results or a thumping for the visitors. I can probably rule out a low-scoring evening of soccer
This is not only due to the recent results, but also to the teams’ styles of play and the personnel situation. Newcastle are missing two key central defenders in Sven Botman and Jamaal Lascelles.
Liverpool, meanwhile, are currently without Joe Gomez, Conor Bradley and Tyler Morton.
For over 2.5 goals we get just 1.40, it only gets interesting in this area with individual odds from the over 3.5 mark, for which 2.00 odds are advertised.
Since I definitely want to cover the 2:1 outcomes, which statistically are still the most frequent results in soccer, the combination of over 2.5 goals with the goal of both teams is ideal.
Liverpool have also conceded goals in four of their last five games, with a total of six. At Premier League level, the Reds have now gone five home games without a clean sheet.
And United? Have scored in 14 of their last 15 matches, but have failed to keep a clean sheet five times in a row. The scoreline of both teams with over 2.5 goals has also repeatedly been the right choice in recent duels.
We saw a 3-3 draw in the first leg, a 4-2 win in the pre-season and a 2-1 victory for Liverpool.
I spotted another hot odds at NEO.bet. Mohammed Salah’s goal is being advertised at a whopping 1.70 odds. The Egyptian confirms that he is in top form week after week.
In his last eight star appearances, he has always scored! Incidentally, the odds at NEO.bet are free of betting tax. New customers are also welcomed with a free bet without deposit.
Conclusion: Newcastle have scored in 14 of their last 15 matches, averaging twice per game in the second half. Liverpool have rarely managed to keep a clean sheet recently.
I’m therefore confident that we’ll see a very high-scoring duel, as the defensive line will play to our advantage. We’ve already seen a 3:3 in the first encounter.
I can imagine anything from a 2:1 to a completely outlandish result!
My Liverpool Newcastle tip is therefore: Both teams score & over 2.5 goals
