Serie A, Sunday, 16/03/2025 at 20:45
What a game, what emotions! Of course, every betting provider of distinction wants to offer you the best Atalanta Bergamo Inter Milan odds this Sunday.
This game could be decisive for the championship, as it takes place so close to the finish line. However, I have a bad feeling in my Atalanta Inter betting tip that there might be no winner after 90 exhausting minutes.
This could be the top game of the weekend, with just three points separating the top three teams – Napoli, Inter and Atalanta.
Bergamo lost 4-0 to the “Nerazzurri” in the first leg – a memorable result, but one that was recently made up for with an equally impressive 4-0 win over Juventus.
But this success does not hide the fact that the Bergamaschi have only won four of their last eleven league games (6 draws, 1 defeat). If they really want to be in the title race, they will have to perform much better.
At least the Bergamasque defense is in impressive form – they have kept a clean sheet in five games. A sixth clean sheet in a row would be a rare milestone for the club.
But that is precisely the crux of the matter: in their own stadium, Gian Piero Gasperini’s team are still waiting for their first league home win in 2025 (4 draws, 1 defeat).
And now, of all teams, comes the dreaded side from the fashion capital, who have always had the upper hand in the last seven direct duels – including two wins this season.
The Nerazzurri are on a roll in this fixture anyway: Simone Inzaghi’s side have not lost to Atalanta in 14 competitive games (9 wins, 5 draws) – that’s truly record-breaking!
With the 2-1 win against Feyenoord on Tuesday, the Lombards also secured their place in the Champions League quarter-finals against Bayern.
Now they first have to continue their own streak and go into the international break at the top of the table with another win before trying to take the famous lederhosen off the Munich team.
However, there is a problem from the visitors’ point of view: in the league, things are currently not going well away from home. Inter have not won away from home in four games (2 draws, 2 defeats) – something they last experienced in 2018.
To stop this negative run, the offense has to sparkle again.
Although the Nerazzurri, along with Juventus, are the most dangerous team in the league in terms of scoring goals, they have only managed to score two goals in these four winless away games. So they could face a tough task in Bergamo.
Consequently, you may now better understand why I have oriented myself towards a low-scoring 0-0 or 1-1 as a result tip – even if I would not fundamentally rule out a victory for the Milanese either!
By the way: Even if Inter actually manages to score the 1-0 in this top game, it would by no means be a preliminary decision – not against this opponent!
Atalanta go into this 29th Serie A matchday as the team with the most league points bagged after falling behind (4 wins, 3 draws, 1 defeat).
Incidentally, the sports betting providers with Apple Pay have no desire to assign the role of favorite to any team here.
And in fact, I too find it difficult to pick a winner in this top match.
What I can tell you, though, is that Bergamo “normally” fail in such top games, even if the shocking victory over Juve just under a week ago naturally makes me suspicious in this regard.
I am tipping a 1-1 draw, which you can even place as an outcome bet at a remarkable odds of around 6.50. In this case, Napoli would probably come out on top!
If, on the other hand, you are looking for an even better risk/reward ratio, then you could also speculate directly on an away win.
Inter winning at odds of 2.70 is a good value proposition considering the head-to-head and the current form of the Milanese team.
Conclusion: Atalanta have stabilized after a minor slump at the beginning of the year, but they have traditionally fared poorly against Inter. After all, the Nerazzurri have not been beaten in 14 meetings against them for nothing.
Nevertheless, I don’t expect a goal festival here. A 0-0 or 1-1 seems the most likely result given the current form of both teams.
The fear of making mistakes in such a crucial game is just too great.
My tip: 0:0 or 1:1
