Serie A, Saturday, 03/29/2025 at 08:45 PM
In the Serie A, my focus is on a great sports betting bonus and on my Lecce AS Roma tip. Because on Saturday, my hopes as a betting pro rest on the latter.
Yes, the Romans have an extremely steep upward curve, but that doesn’t mean that they will win the upcoming game in passing.
Claudio Ranieri will surely curse his luck. The master coach has done wonders with this team, but fate has not been kind to him.
First the lapse by Mats Hummels in the Europa League round of 16 against Athletic Bilbao, then Paulo Dybala’s injury a few days ago.
It is now clear that the Argentine will not only miss the game against Lecce, but will also have to sit out the rest of the season after a successful operation.
This is truly bad news for the capital city team, who didn’t exactly have the best offense in Serie A even before his injury.
Lecce, on the other hand, is a struggling Serie A club that suits the Romans just fine.
The “Salentini” have not won in six games and simply cannot create a dangerous offensive game that also causes the opponent serious problems (2 draws, 4 defeats).
They have now even lost each of their last four games, but at least they have always lost by only one goal – even against teams of the caliber of Fiorentina (0:1) and AC Milan (2:3).
Roma have won six Serie A games in a row, four of them ended 1:0.
Incidentally, I can also imagine exactly this result in the return leg against Lecce.
The “Giallorossi” are betting on minimalism, and without Dybala in the center of the attack, that’s exactly how it could turn out in the end.
The odds for this result bet, available in every decent football betting app? Somewhere between 7.00 and 8.50 – depending on the betting provider.
There are various options here that come to mind. But precisely because Dybala is the missing link in the offensive play, it wouldn’t be a bad idea to temper his personal football bet a little.
A more moderate suggestion would be, for example, to combine the tipable events “double chance X2” and “under 3.5 goals” with each other to get a not unsightly current odds of 1.55.
Incidentally, that would also be a proven Lecce AS Roma betting tip, as these two conditions would have been successful in four of the last five direct duels.
Ultimately, my tendency for a successful Lecce AS Rome betting tip is more towards the “safety first approach” just suggested.
After all, in addition to Dybala, the Dutchman Rensch and Abdulhamid are also out. By contrast, the appearances of Celik and Kone are uncertain until kick-off.
In short, there is little to suggest a comfortable victory for the Romans.
The fact that the game could tend to be low-scoring should be obvious anyway.
This is because two teams are meeting that are simply not known for scoring goals on the fly.
Only seven of the 20 Serie A clubs have played fewer than 14 matches in which the famous 2.5-goal mark has been reached.
Among them are Roma and Lecce – with 13 matches each.
But while we’re on the subject of the “scoring trends” of both teams: Did you know that the Romans are extremely stingy with goals away from home?
No other Serie A club has had so few matches in which the 2.5-goal mark was reached (4 out of 14).
Consequently, it is clear that even if the “Giallorossi” were in full possession of their strength, this trip to southern Italy would not be a walk in the park.
A brief word about the first leg: This ended with a 4-1 victory for the Romans, in which Ranieri’s coaching skills played a major role.
Nevertheless, the conditions are completely different this time, as Lecce is still holding its own above the line and is prepared for the relegation battle.
I would therefore not be shocked if it ended 0-0 or 1-1.
Conclusion: This match would have been a challenge for Roma even if all the key players had been fit.
But they are missing several key players, while Lecce is a team that will fight tooth and nail to avoid defeat, especially at this stage of the season.
In my opinion, the Romans can therefore count themselves lucky if they can somehow get the three points in the end.
My Lecce AS Roma: Double chance X2 & Under 3.5 goals.
