Bundesliga, match day 27, Saturday, 29/03/2025 at 3:30 pm
Tim Kleindienst proved his value to a team again during the international break. The attacker worked hard for the German national team and also collected his scorers along the way.
The striker has already scored 15 goals (4th) and collected 20 scorer points (3rd) for the foals this season. The hosts’ game has been increasingly tailored to the attacker’s qualities.
The question for the coming weekend and thus also this Gladbach RB Leipzig tip is only: what solutions will the hosts find without their top striker on the field?
Due to his yellow-red card in the duel with Werder Bremen, Kleindienst is not available for the game against the Red Bulls.
I’m taking advantage of this absence in the Gladbach RB Leipzig betting tip and playing odds of 1.74 for “Gladabch under 1.5 goals” at Winamax.
The betting providers’ prediction?
The Borussia Park is hungry for the foals’ next three points. There have been very few of those lately. BMG have not won at home in three games. This trend also affects the odds.
The Foals are giving up the role of favorites to RB Leipzig despite playing at home. A win for the guests is available in the best sports betting apps at odds of 2.35.
On the other hand, you will receive just over three times the winnings for a successful bet on a home win for Gerardo Seoane’s team.
AI prediction Gladbach vs RB Leipzig: That’s what ChatGPT tips
Fortunately, ChatGPT also made it out of the international break. Just in time for the weekend, you will be provided with the Gladbach Leipzig AI prediction. In view of the selected tips, however, it is debatable whether this is really a reason to be happy.
The high-risk tip is where the teeth grinding begins. Here the AI selects “Gladbach win with handicap -1”. That’s a bit too daring for my taste, considering that the Foals will have to manage without Tim Kleindienst.
The medium risk bet is “Leipzig to win” – so no frills. I can agree with this to an extent. The odds are noticeably above 2.00 and at least justify the risk. However, I don’t feel comfortable with it.
The situation is different for the low-risk tip. ChatGPT opts for the “double chance 1X” bet here. However, since I can also imagine a Leipzig away win, the odds are much too low for me.
Analysis: Gladbach vs RB Leipzig
Cross, header, goal. This is how Seoane envisages his team’s attacking play. The home side have scored nine headers so far – no Bundesliga team has more.
It will be difficult if the best attacker is missing up front and the team loses its aerial dominance in the opponent’s box.
The Red Bulls manage to regularly keep a clean sheet with a mixture of a bit of luck and good defense. Peter Gulacsi has already collected a total of 13 clean sheets – the best in the German top flight.
In the Gladbach RB Leipzig betting tip, I have nevertheless built in a buffer to be on the safe side, so that you can easily integrate a sports betting bonus.
Odds Analysis
I would steer clear of a simple win bet in this pairing for miles around. Even the best sniffer dog can’t detect any real tendency towards the favorite with me.
Leipzig prefer to agree on a fair point share and let six of the nine previous Bundesliga games pass by without producing a winner.
Marco Rose’s players are particularly keen on drawing away from home, preferably without any goals at all. After the last three Bundesliga away games of the Red Bulls were each ended in a 0-0 draw, I can’t help but philosophize about another 0-0.
With this bet-at-home bonus, you could certainly try it and address odds of 16.0.
Gladbach vs. RB Leipzig: Limited options
Time and again, I have to refer to the loss of Tim Kleindienst for this analysis. The attacker (15 goals, 5 assists) has been involved in almost 50 percent of the foals’ goals (43).
The home side have their striker to thank for the fact that they have been able to get so much out of one of the weakest field tilt percentages in the German top flight (42.38 percent – 16th).
Without Kleindienst, Borussia’s cross-based offensive play is not worth half as much. In addition, the Red Bulls win 52.11 percent of their defensive aerial duels – a top-5 figure.
Furthermore, in Peter Gulacsi, a goalkeeper is keeping the Red Bulls’ goal clean, to whom the white vests seem to stick (13 – top figure in the German top flight).
After some temporary difficulties, RBL has found its preferred style of play again this season and has recently ended five of seven Bundesliga matches without conceding a goal. This trend of defensive stability would be welcome to continue next weekend.
However, the commendable performances of the RBL defense are not nearly as significant as they could have been.
It remains a mystery to me how Leipzig, with an offensive line peppered with top attackers like Lois Openda, Benjamin Sesko and creative player Xavi Simons, can offer so little.
Among all Bundesliga teams, RBL, with only 36.61 expected goals, ranks in the lower half of the table (10th) and well behind Gladbach (40.64 xG).
A victory in football can only be achieved if your own team scores at least one goal. However, Leipzig are finding this extremely difficult this season.
At least the history speaks for the guests. Gladbach only collected 0.76 points per comparison against RBL in the German top flight and did not score a single goal in the last four encounters.
My Gladbach RB Leipzig Tip:
Given the circumstances, it could be a tough game with not too many scoring chances. Gladbach have scored fewer than two goals in four of their last five Bundesliga home games.
Without their best attacker, I don’t see the home side in a position to break this trend. I could even imagine a repeat of BMG against Leipzig without the foals scoring. My Gladbach RB Leipzig betting tip is as follows:
Gladbach under 1.5 goals!
