Premier League, Tuesday, 01.04.2025 at 21:00
The Tricky Trees are shaking up the Premier League table this season. Nottingham have gone from relegation candidates to Champions League contenders just as quickly as Nuno Espirito Santos’s team have counter-attacked.
The mood is different for the Red Devils, who are 13th and have 17 points fewer than the hosts. For my Nottingham Manchester United betting tip, I have picked out a special bet at Betano. At odds of 1.87, I’m playing “Nottingham to score the first goal”
Manchester United have not been one of the top clubs in the Premier League for some time now. But an underdog role against Nottingham should still scratch the Red Devils’ ego.
Away from the gates that lead to Old Trafford, you’ll get odds of 3.10 for a win for the thirteenth-placed team in the table, while the Tricky Trees are calling for 2.35 times profit with a home win. It’s not without good reason that the odds are so close together, which is why I see a three-way bet most likely in conjunction with a free bet.
In December last year, the Tricky Trees celebrated a 3:2 win at Old Trafford. The hosts have won two head-to-head meetings in a row ahead of their next clash with Manchester United.
How far Manchester United have slipped this season can be seen in various statistics. One statistic shows that the 20-time English champions are one of only three teams this season still waiting for a run of two consecutive trebles.
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Daily league life is no longer of too much importance for Ruben Amorim and his team. The relegation places are a long way away, as are the international ranks.
Participation in next season’s Champions League can only be achieved by winning this year’s Europa League. Nottingham, on the other hand, are currently third in the Premier League and are hoping to qualify directly for the top flight.
To put it simply, the home side’s system of play is based on a deep defense and quick transition play after winning the ball.
In addition, the Tricky Trees scored significantly more goals (49) than expected (37.5 xG) from their opportunities. No other team in England’s top flight is outscoring its expected goals (+11.5) by a greater margin.
In addition, Nuno Espirito Santos’ side find the right timing to score incredibly often. Nottingham have scored the first goal of a match in 22 Premier League games this season.
Nine of those goals have gone on top attacker Chris Wood’s tally – best ever! The attacker is still questionable for a game, but the trend seems to be getting better by the hour.
Manchester United got a little stronger again before the international break. In the last two competitive games against Real Sociedad (4:1) and Leicester (3:0), Amorim’s side have scored a total of seven goals.
I therefore don’t want to remove “Manchester United over 1.5 goals” from my shortlist. If you open the Bet365 app, you will find suitable odds of 2.62.
Six of the seven previous meetings between the Red Devils contained goals for both teams. “Both teams to score” is also an option for my Nottingham Manchester United betting tip.
You can catapult the perhaps slightly too low odds of around 1.72 to an acceptable level with this odds boost.
Tendentially, however, I give the home side a slight advantage. Nottingham are unbeaten in eight Premier League home games (6S, 2U).
The opponents they have faced have been much more than just run-of-the-mill. Even Liverpool and Arsenal have not managed more than a draw at the City Ground.
The Red Devils are one of the teams with an average defense (40 goals conceded), with the expected goals conceded (45.5 xGA) being even more critical.
We are used to a certain overperformance from Nottingham this season, which is not least due to favorable game sequences.
I can well imagine a Tricky Trees lead against an error-prone Red Devils defense.
My Nottingham Manchester United tip is: Nottingham score the 1st goal!
