Premier League 30th matchday, Wednesday, 02.04.2025 at 9:00 PM
The first Merseyside derby of the season was already a thriller: sending offs, a last-minute equalizer and a few goals in the 2-2 draw. The second meeting will take place on Wednesday at Anfield Road.
The Reds had to deal with two setbacks during the international break. In my Liverpool Everton betting tip, I expect brave hosts, but they could also easily concede one or two goals again.
That’s why I’m going for the classic “Over 2.5 goals” at the traditional betting provider Oddset this time.
In the eighth minute of stoppage time, James Tarkowski made Goodison Park tremble when he scored the equalizer against Liverpool in February. Just two months later, he wants to set the next highlight against Liverpool with his Toffees.
And I definitely think they’re capable of doing so on Wednesday evening, despite the enormous underdog odds against a LFC team that has recently had to take two bitter defeats, the elimination in the Champions League and the final defeat against Newcastle in the EFL Cup.
The betting providers’ prediction
And then we had a two-week international break. Neither Everton nor Liverpool played on the FA Cup weekend, so we don’t yet know how the teams are currently doing.
Liverpool have a win rate of 1.37, Everton are at 8.25 and a draw at 5.00. The “double chance X2” still allows a 3.00, which I can recommend to all users who have not yet taken advantage of the free bets offered by our betting providers.
Analysis: Liverpool vs. Everton
Because Everton have not been beaten in the Premier League for nine games, scoring in all matches during that time. But recently, we have lost some points because we saw a draw four times in a row.
Three 1-1 draws against Brentford, Wolverhampton and West Ham and a 2-2 draw against Manchester United. The last win came at Crystal Palace after the point was won against the league leaders (2-1). The change of coach has paid off. Sean Dyche was followed by David Moyes.
Under the Scotsman, Everton have only lost the opening game against Aston Villa. Since it was a home game, it is clear that the Toffes are still completely unbeaten under the new manager away from home, which of course makes the 3.00 for “X2” look even better.
At the same time, they have only kept a clean sheet twice in 11 competitive games, and that was against the defensively desolate Foxes and in the 1-0 win against Brighton. Therefore, I have also put both teams on the slip of paper. With this bet, the stake can be doubled if it is successful.
I have to admit, it was almost a 50/50 decision whether to choose the goal of both teams or “Over 2.5 goals”, but in the end I decided on the second choice, because I can imagine a reaction from the best attack in the league, a 3-0 or 4-0 at home.
Odds Analysis
This is exactly the kind of situation where registering with NEO.bet pays off. There you have the option of placing a kind of “double chance” bet from both odds.
While most betting providers only allow you to bet on both teams scoring AND “Over 2.5 goals”, here you have the option of betting on one or the other happening. Sure, the odds are lower, but at just under 1.50 for Liverpool against Everton, they’re still great!
In the end, all outcomes are covered except for the 0-0 and the 1-0, 2-0 outcomes.
I don’t expect a boring game that remains goalless for a long time, especially not in a derby. In the first game, we saw the first goal as early as the eleventh minute.
Liverpool vs. Everton: Defenseless in the back
And I’m not really convinced by the league leaders’ defense in recent games. PSG had a number of dangerous chances and in the last league game against Southampton, they kept a clean sheet as they did in the 1-2 defeat to Newcastle recently.
On paper, Liverpool have the better defense, with 27 goals conceded and 280 shots allowed over the entire season, but current form is much more interesting to me.
In addition, Arne Slot is missing several players at the back: Joe Gomez, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Ryan Gravenberch.
However, the visitors also have to make do without Vitaliy Mykolenko, Orel Mangala, Dwight McNeil, Iliman Ndiaye and Dominic Calvert-Lewin.
Everton score the fewest away goals
Let’s take a look at the results of the duels last season. Last season, both teams won their home games 2-0.
Liverpool have not lost to Everton at home since 2021, and that was actually their only home defeat in the new millennium.
After 216 games, the record is still fairly even. Liverpool have won 85 derbies and Everton 60. The other 71 have ended in a draw.
At home, Liverpool have had a strong start to the Premier League season, winning 11 of their 14 matches and drawing two. Only Nottingham has managed to take full points from the legendary stadium.
And Everton away from home? They are still unbeaten this year, but have only managed three wins in the entire season. Only Ipswich, Leicester and Southampton have had less success away from home. What’s more, their eleven away goals are the joint-lowest total!
How do I know? At Winamax, I can see which odds are trending and the percentage of users who have decided to place a bet in a market. For example, 95 percent of users in the 1X2 market have opted for the Liverpool odds.
By the way, at Winamax all odds are free of betting taxes. What’s more, an outstanding new customer bonus awaits you here. You can get up to €100 in free bet credits.
The amount depends on your first deposit, and PayPal is also an option. The winnings from the free bets can be withdrawn directly. At the same time, you can convert the loyalty points you have collected into further free bets or cash credits.
My Liverpool – Everton Tip:
I am not as confident as the masses when it comes to Liverpool’s victory. The elimination from the Champions League, the final defeat in the EFL Cup – it’s sand in the works.
I am curious to see how the Reds will return after the two-and-a-half-week international break. They already had a tough time in the first duel and Everton have now gone nine league games unbeaten.
I expect a turbulent Merseyside derby from the first minute, with the various absences in the defensive ranks also resulting in a high-scoring game overall! If you want to take advantage of the odds, you can be happy that registering with Oddset is super easy and quick!
My Liverpool Everton prediction: Over 2.5 goals!
