Premier League 29th matchday, Wednesday, 16/04/2025 at 20:30
It sounds like a real battle of attrition at St. James’ Park – Newcastle v Crystal Palace is traditionally not a game where the gloves come off.
Particularly striking: the Magpies have kept a clean sheet against Palace in six of their last eight Premier League home games, including the last three in a row. This clearly speaks for a stable defense of the home side, at least when it comes to the “Eagles”.
The big question that my Newcastle Crystal Palace betting tip tries to answer: Can the guests make a difference this time or will Palace once again be unable to score in the north?
The first leg was a real curiosity: Newcastle only needed one shot to score the 1:1 at Crystal Palace – and even that goal was an own goal from Marc Guéhi.
Such games are rare: since records began in 2003/04, this was only the eighth time that a team has not lost with one or fewer shots on goal.
Will it be different this time? Quite possible. The Magpies are usually much more dangerous at home, and with the crowd behind them, they should be able to do more offensively.
There is much to suggest that Newcastle will finish more often this time – and that Palace will be more challenged defensively than in the first meeting.
The betting providers’ forecast?
The current Newcastle Crystal Palace odds from most betting providers show a clear tendency in favor of the Magpies: a home win is priced at 1.68 – a solid favorite quote with a trustworthy undertone.
A draw is valued at 4.00 and is therefore noticeably outside the main direction. It gets really lucrative with an away win for the Eagles: 4.90 is on the slip of paper, which makes the Palace tip an outsider bet.
So if you look at the Newcastle Crystal Palace odds, you have to decide between security, risk – or the hope of a big win.
Analysis: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace
Newcastle United underlined their ambitions for a Champions League place with an impressive 4-1 win over Manchester United.
Despite the absence due to illness of coach Eddie Howe, who sent his congratulations from the hospital, the Magpies celebrated their fourth consecutive Premier League win.
Another win, against Crystal Palace, would see them jump to third and extend their lead over fifth-placed West Ham to five points.
The home form is particularly impressive: in their last nine league games at St. James’ Park, there have been over 2.5 goals in each game – a clear sign of entertainment value and offensive power.
Crystal Palace were recently beaten 2-5 by Manchester City despite taking an early 2-0 lead. This ended their previously strong run of five unbeaten league games.
The team has secured its place in the league, but Oliver Glasner’s team is now aiming for a place in the top half of the table. The reaction to a similar debacle against Arsenal in December – which was followed by a streak of five unbeaten games – is encouraging.
Palace are currently scoring goals away from home: they have scored exactly two goals in five of their last six away games. This means they have an offensive edge, even though the north of England has not been a good place for them in recent years.
Odds analysis
Draw at 3.90 – a solid value tip! With 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams ending in a draw, this tip is quite realistic. Good odds, especially considering that there have often been close matches between the two.
My second suggestion is to bet on “Newcastle to win both halves” in the Betano app at odds of 4.00.
This is also an interesting tip! Newcastle, in their current form, definitely has the potential to be dominant throughout the entire game. If they can keep their performance consistent, this tip could lead to an attractive payout.
Newcastle v Crystal Palace: High-scoring home win?
If you are betting on this game, don’t underestimate the home bonus. Since December 14, no other Premier League team has won more competitive games than Newcastle United (18 wins in 23 games).
And they are among the top scorers too, with 53 goals in that period, just behind Liverpool (61) and Manchester City (58). The Magpies are also dangerous at home, which should definitely be taken into account when placing your bets.
And don’t forget the day of the week: it definitely plays a role in this game! Newcastle have only lost one of their last twelve midweek home Premier League games (8 wins, 3 draws) – and that was against Nottingham on Boxing Day, of all days.
Things are going well on Wednesdays in particular: the Magpies have won five of their last six Premier League home games on a Wednesday, with one ending in a draw. So if you like statistics, you should definitely take this midweek bonus into account when placing your bet.
Coach Howe and the Eagles …
A home game on Wednesday evening at St. James’ Park – so the atmosphere at Newcastle is likely to be as intense as ever.
Crystal Palace, however, is not one of Eddie Howe’s favorite opponents. In his coaching career, the Newcastle coach has only won five of 21 duels against the Eagles (D9 L7). He is only doing worse against Man City, Liverpool and Watford.
In addition, Palace are in good form offensively: they have scored in each of their last 13 Premier League games.
A streak that has only been surpassed twice in their history as a club.
My Newcastle – Crystal Palace betting tip:
This should be a goal-filled game that should be in stark contrast to the first leg.
Newcastle fight and toil and should not let it be taken away from them at home, to keep the three points. However, due to the high potential for a draw in this encounter, I would also like to see a 1-1 or even 2-2 covered.
My Newcastle Crystal Palace tip: Double chance 1X & Both teams to score.
