Major League Soccer 2025 Matchday 24, Saturday, 07/26/2025, 4:30 a.m.
While many of you are still waiting for the Bundesliga to kick off, soccer betting on American Major League games offers an alternative for several reasons.
A Los Angeles FC Portland Timbers tip is particularly interesting this Saturday because the game will not only be exciting, but could also easily tip in favor of the home side.
Things are really heating up in the MLS – the race for the playoffs has entered its decisive phase. Saturday will be particularly exciting in the Western Conference, where there could be a direct change of position between 5th and 6th place.
The Portland Timbers have the chance to overtake Los Angeles with an away win, putting themselves in a better position for the final round.
But caution is advised: LAFC are traditionally difficult to beat at home and have also remained unbeaten in eight of their last nine MLS home games against Portland.
That clearly favors the Californians, especially since Portland did not look good in their last game, a 1-1 draw with Minnesota. So this is a real six-point game in which home advantage could be decisive.
Los Angeles FC has been in strong form recently: They won three games in a row before having to settle for a draw in the prestigious city derby against LA Galaxy.
In total, the team picked up 10 out of a possible 12 points – a more than respectable haul that shows that LAFC has hit form just in time for the crucial phase of the season.
However, a long injury list is dampening the mood ahead of the important clash with Portland.
LAFC are missing four key players through injury: Chanot, Dellavalle, Long and Raposo. Coach Cherundolo will also have to do without defensive stalwart Segura, who is suspended after picking up a red card.
This raises questions about the stability of the defense, especially with Portland arriving with a lot of confidence and offensive power.
The personnel situation could therefore be the deciding factor, even if LAFC traditionally has the upper hand in direct home matches.
In this match, the Los Angeles FC Portland Timbers tip for over 1.5 goals is an obvious choice. In eight of the last nine direct league matches between the two teams, at least two goals were scored – an almost foolproof statistic.
However, the corresponding odds on the betting markets are only 1.10 on average, which makes this tip more interesting as an additional option for combination bets. Consequently, I looked around for more suitable alternatives for a single selection.
A more exciting option, for example, is a win bet on LAFC, which is currently available at odds of around 1.45. The hosts are strong at home, while Portland Timbers have lost their last three away games in the league.
LAFC also has a lot of quality in attack, so for me it’s a solid single bet with manageable risk and realistic winning potential.
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Conclusion: Segura’s absence will weaken LAFC defensively, but overall the quality in the squad should be enough to defend fifth place in the table.
Los Angeles is traditionally a force to be reckoned with, especially at home in BMO Stadium – and that’s exactly where Portland has always struggled.
The Timbers generally score significantly fewer points away than at home and have hardly ever taken anything away from their previous away games at LAFC.
Therefore, there is a lot to suggest that the home side will pick up three important points despite personnel worries and continue to hold their own in the playoff race.
My tip: LAFC win & over 2.5 goals
