Serie A Betano Matchday 17, Sunday, 07/27/2025, 9:00 p.m.
Registering with Betano is an absolute must for all fans of the Brazilian Serie A. After all, the bookmaker is the official sponsor of the league and also offers an extensive range of bets on all league matches.
Meanwhile, I have decided on a Sao Paulo Fluminense tip for Sunday, according to which the visitors will not come away empty-handed in terms of points.
Fluminense put in a convincing performance at the FIFA Club World Cup, but things are currently far from smooth sailing in their domestic Serie A campaign. Three defeats in a row – most recently a 1-2 loss to Palmeiras – are causing unrest.
Nevertheless, the team is still just one point ahead of its next opponent, São Paulo, and in a position that qualifies it for the Copa Sudamericana. That makes the upcoming direct duel all the more exciting.
São Paulo will do everything it can to overtake Fluminense, while the visiting team desperately needs to get back on track. There is a lot at stake – prestige, points, and international participation.
Sao Paulo is on a bit of a roll: After a 2-0 win in the classic against Corinthians, they followed up with a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Juventude. However, the growing injury list threatens to put a damper on the positive trend.
With Jonathan Calleri, Lucas Moura, Lucca Marques, Luiz Gustavo, Oscar, and Ryan Francisco all out, six players are missing, including key performers. This could prove costly, especially against a struggling but individually strong team like Fluminense.
Coach Crespo will therefore have to be creative to compensate for the absences and still aim for the three points to stay on course for the Copa Sudamericana.
Home advantage could once again be the deciding factor in the duel between Fluminense and São Paulo. In the last eight meetings between these two sides, the away team has never won – a remarkable trend!
Even more striking: the home team has won all of the last five direct encounters.
Fluminense has won three times in front of its home crowd, while São Paulo has won twice at Morumbi. This fact clearly favors Tricolor Carioca, who desperately need a breakthrough after three consecutive defeats.
With a long list of injured players, São Paulo will therefore have a really tough task to get something out of the game against the old masters from Rio.
As far as the Sao Paulo Fluminense odds are concerned, the figures point to a fairly even match – with a slight advantage for the hosts. A home win for Sao Paulo is currently rated at 2.30 on average.
A draw will get you around 3.00, while an away win for Fluminense seems slightly less likely at odds of 3.25.
The pendulum is therefore swinging slightly in favor of Hernan Crespo’s team, which is probably due in no small part to their home advantage.
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I have two interesting tips for this thrilling Brazilian Serie A match: First, “Both teams to score” at 2.00 – São Paulo FC has conceded at least one goal in 8 of its last 10 games. The defense currently looks anything but stable.
If you prefer to go for a result, I recommend the “Double Chance X2” option at odds of 1.62 on average.
Reason: São Paulo is currently struggling with many absences, which will certainly affect their performance!
Conclusion: Fluminense has too much individual talent to lose their fifth competitive game in a row. The team has shown that it can perform at a high level, especially in decisive moments.
São Paulo, on the other hand, is currently without several key players, which is likely to be noticeable against an opponent like Flu.
Although the odds slightly favor the home side, despite their home advantage, it is unlikely that the visitors will leave empty-handed. At least one point for Fluminense seems realistic – perhaps even more is possible.
My tip: Double chance X2
