Benfica – Fenerbahce Tip Champions League, Qualification, Playoffs, Second Leg on Wednesday, 08/27/25 at 9:00 p.m.
After the goalless draw in the first leg, betting providers expect the Portuguese to make the most of their home advantage and advance to the league phase.
My Benfica Fenerbahce prediction is that this will indeed be the case.
This is because the Turks usually disappoint in similar situations, whereas Benfica regularly surpasses itself in front of almost 68,000 fans at the Estádio da Luz.
In addition, the “Canaries” had an xG value of only 0.40 last week, which was far from a strategically important opening goal.
My Benfica Fenerbahce tip: Win & 1st goal: Benfica
These are the arguments for my tip:
- Benfica is euphoric after its 3-0 win over Tondela!
- Fenerbahce had an xG value of only 0.40 in the first leg.
- Fenerbahce has not won any of its last 3 away competitive games!
Benfica vs. Fenerbahce AI predictions:
Before placing soccer bets, I always check ChatGPT for an independent prediction. However, I wasn’t really satisfied with its Benfica Fenerbahce AI prediction.
1. Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis at odds of around 5.50 in the Bet365 app is not a suggestion that excites me. After all, the Greek player has not even contributed to an assist in his last 3 Champions League appearances for Benfica.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Benfica win |
Draw |
Fenerbahce win |
| 61.8% |
24.7% |
13.5% |
Half-time/Full-time 1/1 at an average of 2.37 is much better than the previous suggestion in my opinion. Against Nice, the Portuguese were already 2-0 up after 30 minutes at home. With their own fans behind them, they are much more aggressive!
Both teams to score, on the other hand, is a supposedly “safe” AI tip, but one that doesn’t really appeal to me. The odds are solid at around 1.80, but Benfica could still easily win this game 2-0 or 3-0.
What you need to consider when betting on Benfica vs. Fenerbahce
- Benfica has not conceded a goal in six competitive games.
- Fenerbahce’s European record against Portuguese clubs is negative: five wins, two draws, six defeats.
- In the first leg, both clubs had a combined xG value of only 0.72.
- Note: Benfica has won all three of its European home games against Fenerbahce.
