Netherlands – Poland Prediction World Cup Qualifiers 2025, Matchday 1 on Thursday, 04.09.25 at 8:45 p.m.
Is there a bigger blockbuster than this on the first match day of the World Cup qualifiers? In any case, betting providers with a US license all agree that their focus should be on this match!
Meanwhile, I’ll tell you what a successful Netherlands vs. Poland tip might look like. I take a lot of data and facts into account and also trust my gut feeling to a certain extent.
I’ve also read the fine print of the Merkur Bet bonus and can tell you with certainty that there is probably no better bonus offer that you can redeem for this match.
My Netherlands vs. Poland prediction: NED win with HC -1
Here are the reasons for my prediction:
- The Netherlands has nominated a top selection!
- The Netherlands has lost only 3 of 20 international matches against Poland!
- Since mid-June 2024, Poland has only beaten Scotland as a notable opponent!
Netherlands vs. Poland AI predictions:
A Netherlands win with HC -2 at odds of around 3.00 may sound risky, but it makes perfect sense. In any case, I can’t disagree with ChatGPT.
The Poles were unable to field all their key players and have conceded more than one goal in five of their last eight international matches – against Portugal last November, they conceded five.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Netherlands win |
Draw |
Poland win |
| 74.6% |
17% |
8.5% |
Half-time/Full-time 1/1 also strikes me as a good bet. The odds are fair at an average of 1.78, especially if the Oranje take control from the start at De Kuip as usual.
1st goal: The Netherlands should ultimately be considered a certainty. However, I would have expected a more profitable suggestion from ChatGPT. The average of 1.27 does not promise a significant payout without an additional odds boost.
What you need to consider when betting on Netherlands vs. Poland
- The Netherlands are unbeaten in nine home games (7W, 2D), scoring at least 3 goals six times.
- In the Netherlands’ last four games, one goal was scored in the first ten minutes.
- Poland has lost only two of its last eleven World Cup qualifiers (8W, 1D).
- Poland has conceded multiple goals in five of its last eight games.



