San Marino – Bosnia Tip World Cup Qualifiers 2026, Matchday 5 on Saturday, 06.09.25 at 8:45 p.m.
Who would have thought that Bosnia would be at the top of the World Cup qualifying group right from the start, after the team failed to win a single international match in the entire 2024 calendar year?
However, betting the Betano bonus on a slip-up by the Balkan kickers on Saturday would still be tantamount to a suicide mission in terms of sports betting.
The small country, ranked 210th in the FIFA world rankings, has virtually no chance – especially with regard to qualifying for the 2026 World Cup.
Nevertheless, I urge caution in my San Marino vs. Bosnia prediction. The visitors “only” won the first leg 1-0 and will probably have to struggle again this time to bag the three important points in the end.
My San Marino Bosnia prediction: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2 or 0-3
These are the arguments for my prediction:
- BOS hasn’t scored more than 3 goals in a game for over 4 years!
- San Marino only lost the first leg against Bosnia 0-1!
- Bosnia will need time to get going away from home!
San Marino vs. Bosnia AI predictions:
Admittedly, ChatGPT is a little bold. The first suggestion that the AI reveals to me in its very own San Marino Bosnia prediction is: 0-0 at halftime.
In the last 10 years, there have been very few major nations that have not been in the lead against the soccer minnows at halftime – and yet I would not want to completely dismiss this suggestion.
In the last direct duel in June, it took a full 66 minutes for Dzeko to score the only goal of the game…
Predicted chance of winning:
| San Marino win |
Draw |
Bosnia win |
| 1.4% |
6.3% |
92.3% |
Under 3.5 goals at odds of around 2.00 is a suggestion that has better chances of success than the 50:50 scenario might suggest at first glance. After all, Bosnia has not scored more than 3 goals in any of its last 45 international matches.
Without an additional odds boost, you will ultimately receive odds of around 1.30 for the third computer-generated suggestion: Bosnia to win to nil.
San Marino has scored at least one goal in four of its last five home international matches, but that was exclusively against footballing minnows, which I would not necessarily count the visitors among.
What you need to consider when betting on San Marino vs. Bosnia
- San Marino conceded an average of 4.6 goals per World Cup qualifying game
- San Marino conceded a goal in both halves in 4 of their last 5 home games
- 5 of Bosnia’s last 7 away wins were celebrated without conceding a goal
- 6 of Bosnia’s last 8 international goals were scored after the break
