England – Andorra Tip World Cup Qualifier, Group K, Matchday 5, Saturday, 09/06/2025 at 6:00 p.m.
The 2026 World Cup is looming large, and of course my England Andorra tip is right in the thick of it. On Saturday, the Three Lions will be eager to make amends, as their away game against the world number 174 ended in an embarrassing 1-0 defeat.
Due to the expected superiority of the English, England Andorra betting requires a little creativity to achieve a level of odds that is acceptable to me.
That’s why I’m betting on a goal from Newcastle left winger Anthony Gordon, securing myself Interwetten odds of currently 1.95.
My England vs. Andorra tip: Gordon to score at least 1 goal
Here are the reasons for my tip:
- Anthony Gordon has an xG value of 1.1 in the Premier League.
- England is predicted to score at least five goals.
- Gordon will form a three-man attack alongside Kane and probably Eze.
Team manager Thomas Tuchel and the English media have given the national team stars a proper dressing down.
After an embarrassing 1-0 away win against Andorra, they suffered a historic defeat against Senegal (the Three Lions’ first ever against an African team, note).
Therefore, the hosts will pull themselves together and not give the underdogs a chance. Several goals are likely to be scored, and the chance of Gordon scoring at least one of them is very high. In the league, the Newcastle striker has an xG value of 1.1.
England vs. Andorra AI predictions:
The starting position is more than clear; according to our AI tool’s calculations, an English victory is considered a virtual certainty.
The European Championship finalists’ predicted chance of winning is 99 percent, and even a home win with a -3 handicap has an implied probability of winning of 78 percent.
Predicted chance of winning:
| England win HC -3 |
Draw -3 |
Andorra win +3 |
| 71.43% |
18.18% |
20.41% |
Our in-house AI does not expect the English to achieve a similarly meager goal tally as in the 1-0 win in the summer.
Instead, it predicts with a probability of over 60 percent that the Three Lions will score five or more goals.
Betting on a goal from Harry Kane, who scored the winning goal for England three months ago, is likely to be a particularly safe bet. The betting odds for this are around 1.25.
That’s why I’ve decided to use Gordon, another player who is less in the spotlight, for my goal bet, as the Interwetten odds of 2.15 promise value.
What you need to know about England vs. Andorra betting
- In the away game, England had 83% possession and six big chances. However, Harry Kane’s goal in the 50th minute was the only goal of the game.
- Among European nations, only Gibraltar, Liechtenstein, and San Marino are behind Andorra (174th) in the FIFA world rankings.
- Andorra has been given an Asian handicap of +4.5 by the bookmakers against England. Since their 6-0 defeat to Portugal in 2016, they have lost only two competitive games by a margin of five goals: against Latvia (5-0) in 2020 and against England (5-0) in 2021.
- The Three Lions have played Andorra seven times, winning all seven games and scoring 26 goals. The visitors have never scored in these games.
- Ruben Loftus-Cheek has been called up to the England squad for the first time in six years. He has played ten times for England but has not played for his country since November 2018, when he appeared against the United States.
