Israel – Italy Tip World Cup Qualifier, Group I, Matchday 6, 08.09.2025 at 8:45 p.m.
Coach Gennaro Gattuso’s successful debut alone, as promising as it may have been, does not guarantee success in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers! If the Azzurri return from Debrecen, Hungary, without any points, it’s all over!
The two opponents scored a total of nine goals on Friday, and since five goals were scored in their last match, you should have a clear idea of what my Israel vs. Italy prediction will be.
I suspect that we will see at least three goals in an epic showdown.
My Israel vs. Italy prediction: Over 2.5 goals
Here are the reasons for my prediction:
- Both nations scored a total of 9 goals on Friday!
- In their last direct duel, a total of 5 goals were scored!
- Italy desperately needs 3 points with a view to the table!
Israel vs. Italy AI predictions:
Placing a simple home win bet at dream odds of around 7.00 is the risky suggestion that our AI model warmly recommends.
However, this Israel vs. Italy AI prediction does make sense. After all, the hosts beat both Belgium and Slovakia 1-0 in neutral Hungary last year. So the Azzurri have been warned!
Predicted chance of winning:
| Israel win |
Draw |
Italy win |
| 13.6% |
19.8% |
66.6% |
In the Bet365 app, you can also try out the second computer-generated suggestion if you want. This is “Asian Handicap Israel +1.0” and, in my opinion, does indeed have a positive expected value at odds of around 2.15.
However, I strongly reject the suggestion of Italy scoring the first goal. With odds averaging 1.40, this is not really high given the very real danger of an early 1-0 lead for the hosts.
What you need to consider when betting on Israel vs. Italy
- None of Israel’s last 12 World Cup qualifiers ended in a draw (8 wins, 4 losses).
- Israel has had at least ten shots in each of its last six games.
- Italy has failed to score in its last three World Cup qualifying away games (2 draws, 1 loss).
- Only three of Italy’s last 21 World Cup qualifying games have seen both teams score.
