Heidenheim – Dortmund Prediction Bundesliga, Matchday 3 on Saturday, 09/13/2025 at 3:30 p.m.
If you think that “Red-Blue” got off lightly with 3 goals against Wolfsburg in their last home game, then you should definitely check out my Heidenheim Dortmund prediction.
Because Dortmund’s offense could easily score between three and five goals if everything goes according to plan – I’m willing to bet the magnificent Interwetten bonus on it!
Especially since they already had 0.41 xG more offensive output per game than Heidenheim last season. Now that Niko Kovac has brought his ideas to the table, BVB could be even more dangerous in front of goal than usual on Saturday!
Why this tip?
- Heidenheim has never beaten Dortmund (4 games)
- Only Bayern had more big chances than BVB on matchdays 1 & 2
- Heidenheim conceded 2 goals to FCK in a test match
An away win bet is almost implied in my Heidenheim Dortmund tip. After all, the “Red and Blue” are still winless after four Bundesliga matches against BVB (2 draws, 2 losses).
After two draws in their debut season, the club from Brenzstadt lost both games against Dortmund last season. Only against RB Leipzig have they played more often in the top flight without securing a win.
Heidenheim – Dortmund prediction & bets
I have a Heidenheim Dortmund tip for you that I think is worth entering into any good betting app!
Serhou Guirassy to score at average odds of 1.72 is almost an absolute must for me, as he could score on Saturday in his eighth Bundesliga appearance in a row!
BVB scoring in both halves is another promising suggestion at 2.07 because the “Black and Yellows” are currently posing an extreme goal threat.
In terms of big chances, only the almighty FC Bayern has surpassed them in this category on the first two matchdays – Borussia has a total of 8 top-class chances!
What you need to know about Heidenheim vs. Dortmund betting
- Heidenheim scored only 1.19 goals per game last season and conceded 1.69 goals – the fourth worst record in the Bundesliga in both categories.
- Niko Kovac’s team has been one of the most creative in the league so far, with 2.04 xG per game, surpassed only by Bayern and Frankfurt.
- Borussia Dortmund has scored at least three goals in nine of its last ten Bundesliga games, with the exception of the 2-2 draw at Bayern.
- Serhou Guirassy has scored four goals in three competitive games for Dortmund and is among the top 10% of strikers in Europe in terms of non-penalty goals per 90 minutes over the last year.
Heidenheim – Dortmund: AI tip & odds analysis
Our Heidenheim Dortmund AI prediction recommends the following selection to all our daring sports betting fans who fear neither death nor the devil: BVB win with HC -2 at odds of around 4.30.
Personally, I am quite taken with this suggestion, as the black and yellow offense can indeed catch fire if Heidenheim is unable to stop them. In my opinion, a 0:3 or 1:4 are two very likely final scores!
Our AI model also recommends a goal bet on Samuele Inacio at Heidenheim Dortmund odds of around 1.90, which I would not necessarily recommend. I like my bet on Guirassy much more!
The suggestion of both teams scoring at odds of around 1.57 is also not an offer that I absolutely must have on my betting slip. After all, FCH is extremely harmless in attack and could easily lose to nil.
The best odds for Heidenheim vs. Dortmund
Heidenheim vs. Dortmund – not a Bundesliga classic, but a duel that could still be exciting!
Meanwhile, Bet365, Merkur Bets, and LeoVegas offer the most exciting odds: 5.00 for a Heidenheim home win, 4.50 for a draw, and 1.60 for a Black and Yellow victory.
It is precisely this mix that makes the game so appealing to me: While BVB are the clear favorites, the higher odds for the underdogs Heidenheim Dortmund offer enormous potential.
If you’re feeling brave or want to go for value bets, you can really spice up your betting slip here. It’s a match that will be exciting on the pitch – and thanks to the odds, it will also be a real thrill for your bets.
Heidenheim vs Dortmund match analysis:
Dortmund has found defensive stability under Niko Kovac, especially since switching to a 3-4-2-1 system. BVB also used this basic system in the first two games of the season, with Kovac naturally hoping that the defense will become even more stable.
Despite the additional defender, the Black and Yellows remain aggressive without the ball.
Last season, they were among the strongest teams with the fourth-highest defensive line in the Bundesliga and the third-best pass-under-pressure rate. At the start of this season, the intensity was slightly lower, but that should change as they gain more playing experience.
Heidenheim has little to offer offensively so far and has the third-lowest xG value in the league. Dortmund will take advantage of this, applying pressure early and forcing the visitors onto the defensive.
The Black and Yellows clearly have the better players, will control the ball and create many chances.
For Heidenheim, only set pieces are likely to offer a real chance of scoring points – so far, their only league goal has come from a free kick, and two of their three goals against Dortmund last season came from the penalty spot.
Heidenheim form check
Heidenheim narrowly avoided relegation last season after winning the relegation play-off against Elversberg. The start of the new season also suggests that the team will once again finish at the bottom of the table.
Coach Frank Schmidt is focusing on defensive stability, as he lacks the players for an offensive game.
Since the start of last season, Heidenheim has scored an average of only 1.06 goals per Bundesliga game. Top scorer Marvin Pieringer scored only seven goals in 2024/25.
Although defense is a priority, the low quality means that Heidenheim regularly concedes chances.
In the 2025 calendar year, the club conceded an average of 1.70 goals per game. With two defeats from their first two games and only one goal scored, another difficult year in the Bundesliga looms.
Dortmund form check
Dortmund has made a solid start to the Bundesliga season, picking up four points from its first two games.
Niko Kovac was unlikely to have been satisfied with the draw on the opening day. BVB led 3-1 until the 85th minute, but after Filippo Mané was sent off, St. Pauli fought back to force a draw.
Before the international break, however, Dortmund put in a strong performance in their 3-0 win over Union Berlin.
Serhou Guirassy is continuing his good form from last season and has already scored three times in two Bundesliga games. His goal threat will be crucial to Dortmund’s success.
Kovac’s team has been one of the most creative teams in the league so far. With an xG average of 2.04 per game, Dortmund is only behind Bayern Munich and Eintracht Frankfurt.
However, the high offensive power comes at the expense of the defense. Union failed to score at the Westfalenstadion, but created two big chances and achieved an xG of 1.14.
After two games, Dortmund is in eighth place in terms of expected goals against. Kovac will be hoping to improve this record in the coming weeks.
