Burnley – Liverpool Tip Premier League, Matchday 4 on Sunday, 09/14/25 at 3:00 p.m.
The defending champions are rolling – and they want to keep rolling. Ahead of the fourth matchday of the Premier League, Liverpool FC have nine points to their name and are the best offense in the league with eight goals scored. Accordingly, the latest betting providers also see the Reds as favorites against Burnley.
However, I must point out a blemish on LFC’s record in my Burnley vs. Liverpool prediction. Liverpool have already conceded four goals in the new PL season and have been anything but solid in defense.
In my opinion, the “LFC win & both teams to score” bet at Bet365 offers top odds of around 2.75. Liverpool’s 3-2 win in their last away game against Newcastle sets the tone.
Burnley vs. Liverpool AI predictions:
As you know, this is where our AI assistant comes in. With its Burnley Liverpool AI prediction, it helps us with our tip selection – or at least it tries to.
To start with, the model gives us the bet “Over 2.5 goals.” The odds at Winamax Germany are “only” around 1.55. Overall, however, this selection should be seen as a safe bet. A hint: the bet would have worked in eight of Liverpool FC’s last nine games.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Burnley win |
Draw |
Liverpool win |
| 11% |
17% |
72% |
The AI is taking a much greater risk with its tip of “draw at half-time.” With odds of around 2.60, underdogs Burnley will have to keep the favored Reds at bay until half-time. However, Burnley were 1-0 down against Manchester United at half-time in their last game.
The AI is taking an absolute risk with its selection of “Burnley to score in both halves.” For odds above 6.00, Liverpool must once again show vulnerability in defense. That’s not unrealistic, but on the other hand, Burnley has only scored four goals in three match days.
What you need to consider when betting on Burnley vs. Liverpool
- Burnley is the team that has interrupted the most opponent pass sequences after three or fewer passes with a defensive action. These are called “pressing sequences,” and the Clarets have completed 40 of them.
- In the 2024/25 season, Liverpool won all three away games against the newly promoted teams—Leicester, Southampton, and Ipswich—with a total score of 6-2.
- The average betting odds for a Liverpool away win (1.30) have been lower only once since the start of the 2024/25 season – in the 1-0 win over Leicester.
- Liverpool’s Virgil van Dijk is the player with the most clearances per 90 minutes played this season – 11.3 on average.
