Newcastle – FC Barcelona Tip Champions League, Matchday 1 on Thursday, 09/18/2025 at 9:00 p.m.
Weakened by substitutions, but still the favorites! Even without notable absences such as Lamine Yamal, Hansi Flick’s team is the favorite going into Matchday 1 of the Champions League.
My Newcastle Barcelona prediction is therefore a win for the Catalans.
I’m going for an away win for Barca and getting odds of 2.38 at VBET.
Newcastle vs. FC Barcelona AI predictions:
But now back to the Newcastle vs. Barcelona predictions. Our AI has calculated that FC Barcelona’s probability of winning at St. James’ Park is almost 50 percent.
A home win for the Magpies would be a huge surprise, which would almost triple your bet. If there is no winner, Newcastle Barcelona odds of almost 4.00 are on offer.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Newcastle win |
Draw |
Barcelona win |
| 30.7% |
20.2% |
49.1% |
Goal bets – for example, according to our AI tool, a bet on over 2.5 goals promises good chances of success. The hosts are predicted to score 1.42 goals, while the Catalans are predicted to score 1.85.
Adding the two xG values together, there should be 3.27 goals on Thursday. A corresponding Asian handicap bet on under 3.25 goals should come in with a probability of 52.4 percent.
Our AI spit out a well-known name as the most likely goalscorer. A goal from Robert Lewandowski, who scored eleven goals in his 12 Champions League games last season, brings odds of around 2.15 at our bookmakers, topped off with a top new customer bonus at Bet-at-Home.
What you need to know about Newcastle vs. Barca betting
- Newcastle’s games so far have averaged just 1.5 goals per game, the third lowest in the Premier League.
- The Magpies have kept three clean sheets, with the only exception being their 2-3 defeat to Liverpool.
- Barcelona has scored an average of 3.25 goals in La Liga, with only Bayern Munich having a better goal ratio in Europe’s top five leagues.
- Last season, both teams scored in six of Barcelona’s seven games.
- Raphinha came off the bench to score twice in the recent 6-0 win over Valencia. Over the last 12 months, the Brazilian has been involved in an average of 1.09 goals per 90 minutes.
