Frankfurt – St. Pauli Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 8 on Saturday, 10/25/2025 at 3:30 p.m.
Things are no longer running smoothly for Eintracht Frankfurt. After recent setbacks in the league, the Hessians were soundly beaten 5-1 by Liverpool FC in the Champions League during the week and now face a decisive match against FC St. Pauli on the 8th matchday of the Bundesliga.
The fact that I am opting for a home win in my Frankfurt vs. St. Pauli prediction at odds of around 1.65 at NEO.bet is not least due to the weakness of the opponent.
In fact, St. Pauli are now in a nosedive towards the bottom of the table and could prove to be the right opponent for struggling Eintracht at the right time.
However, anyone who is also predicting a Frankfurt victory should not assume that it will come without conceding a goal. Although St. Pauli has scored only one goal in its last four matches, the SGE defense is simply not to be trusted these days.
Frankfurt has conceded at least two goals in each of its last six games. In five of these games, they conceded at least three goals.
Frankfurt – St. Pauli Prediction & Betting
Since Frankfurt’s defense currently resembles Swiss cheese, I would like to suggest the combination “Frankfurt win & both teams to score” as my first betting alternative. The odds at sports betting providers are around 3.00, which is a lucrative range.
In my opinion, the option “Frankfurt over 1.5 goals” at odds of around 1.60 is also strong. St. Pauli is struggling and is likely to face an SGE team that will be playing with a lot of anger in their stomachs.
And don’t forget: Eintracht has the second-best offense in the Bundesliga (19 goals) after the all-powerful Bayern (27 goals).
If you’re looking for a safety-first approach, you could consider betting on “St. Pauli under 1.5 goals.” Despite Frankfurt’s defensive problems, I think Hamburg will score a maximum of one goal.
What you need to know about Frankfurt vs. St. Pauli betting
- Eintracht Frankfurt’s 19 goals this season are surpassed only by league leaders Bayern Munich (27). The hosts have scored at least twice in six of their seven Bundesliga games – and three or more times in five of those games.
- Games involving St. Pauli have averaged 2.86 goals per 90 minutes so far. This makes the Hamburg team one of six in the league whose games have averaged less than three goals after seven matchdays.
- Eintracht striker Can Uzun leads the Bundesliga in goals scored (5) among all players aged 21 or younger. With a rate of 0.90 goals per 90 minutes, he also has the best goal ratio in the league.
- Frankfurt’s overperformance of 8.14 xG – 19 goals with an expected value of 10.86 – suggests that the offense has also benefited from luck so far. Interestingly, the Asian goal line is 3.0 goals, which should be attractive for both “over” and “under” players on matchday eight.
Frankfurt – St. Pauli: AI tip & odds analysis
After the European Cup week, our AI model is also ready for the 8th Bundesliga matchday and provides you with its very own Frankfurt St. Pauli AI prediction.
I have to grit my teeth at the digital brain’s first tip. “Frankfurt win with a handicap of -1” has excellent odds (approx. 2.80), but for me it’s more of a risky bet. I consider a 2-1 win for Frankfurt to be a realistic result.
The second tip is the classic “both teams to score.” Here, everyone simply has to decide for themselves what they want to weigh more heavily—Frankfurt’s defensive weakness or St. Pauli’s offensive problems. With odds of around 1.60, however, it’s easy to be tempted.
Finally, the AI throws “draw at halftime” into the ring. The odds at Interwetten Mobile (approx. 2.40) are more than solid, especially when you consider that SGE will probably need some time to recover from their crushing home defeat against Liverpool.
The best odds for Frankfurt vs. St. Pauli
The odds of 1.65 in the classic 1×2 market for the hosts highlight the difference in quality and performance between Frankfurt and St. Pauli.
The defeat in the Champions League against Liverpool during the week has not deterred bookmakers from clearly backing Eintracht. Nevertheless, bettors should take this into account when assessing the odds for Frankfurt vs. St. Pauli.
The oddsmakers have given Frankfurt an Asian handicap of -0.75. This means that if Eintracht wins by one goal, half of the stake will be paid out as winnings and half will be returned to the stake. If they win by more (two goals or more), the full winnings will be paid out.
It is to be expected that Frankfurt will score again and cause St. Pauli problems in the final third.
After all, the team has scored 19 goals in seven Bundesliga games – only league leaders Bayern Munich (27) have been more successful. In six of these seven games, Eintracht scored at least twice, and in five they scored three or more times.
However, the strong overperformance of 8.14 xG (19 goals with an expected value of 10.86 xG) suggests that Frankfurt has also benefited from luck in front of goal so far. Will this continue, or will the coming weeks see a return to statistical normality?
The Asian goal line is set at over/under 3.0 goals. Given Frankfurt’s high-scoring games, this mark almost automatically appears to be an “over” candidate.
St. Pauli’s games, on the other hand, average 2.86 goals per 90 minutes – making the Hamburg team one of six in the league whose games have averaged less than three goals so far.
Frankfurt vs. St. Pauli match analysis:
Ahead of the clash, Frankfurt is aiming to move up into the Champions League ranks, while St. Pauli is hoping to pull away from the relegation zone. Neither team is in top form at the moment, which promises an exciting and unpredictable game.
Frankfurt’s games have been a guarantee for goals so far: on average, 5.29 goals have been scored in Eintracht’s Bundesliga games.
Despite the departures of Hugo Ekitike and Omar Marmoush in the past twelve months, Dino Toppmöller’s team still has enormous offensive power.
The Hessians’ game is designed for quick transitions and straightforward wing play – and that is unlikely to change in this encounter.
Although St. Pauli are the underdogs going into the game, Blessin’s team can be expected to have a lot of possession in dangerous areas.
Coach Alexander Blessin is uncompromising in his focus on high pressing and game control – so much so that St. Pauli ranks second in the league in the so-called field tilt statistics, which measure territorial dominance.
Only Bayern Munich performs better. However, this very approach could play into Frankfurt’s hands: the hosts will try to play through the pressing and open up space for their attackers.
Eintracht go into the game with a slight advantage, but spectators can look forward to an offensive spectacle. St. Pauli, on the other hand, hope to capitalize on possible tired legs from Frankfurt, who played Liverpool in the Champions League during the week.
Frankfurt form check
Few teams lose two Champions League games in a row 1-5 and still go into the next league game as favorites. If Eintracht Frankfurt is one of them, it is mainly due to their offensive strength in the Bundesliga.
The Eagles have already scored 19 goals in their first seven games – only leaders Bayern Munich have been more accurate in front of goal. But do the numbers tell the whole story?
Luck has played a big role so far, as Frankfurt’s goal tally is well above the expected value (xG) of 10.86. This suggests a possible correction in the coming weeks.
Defensive weaknesses, in particular the lack of a single clean sheet this season, could make the situation even more difficult.
So far, Frankfurt has lost both Bundesliga games after a Champions League appearance – 3-4 against Union Berlin and 0-3 against Bayern.
Dino Toppmöller’s team will try to control the game and keep the ball in their own ranks, but the visitors’ aggressive pressing is likely to severely disrupt Eintracht’s rhythm.
St. Pauli form check
FC St. Pauli travels to Deutsche Bank Park in a difficult phase: The Kiezkickers have lost their last four Bundesliga games.
With seven points and in 14th place, little remains of their strong start to the season – seven goals in the first three games. They have scored just one goal in their last four games.
After comfortably avoiding relegation last season, the Hamburg club is struggling more than expected this season. Offensively, St. Pauli is one of the most harmless teams in the league, averaging just 1.14 goals per game.
At least the defense is solid: 72 shots on goal conceded in seven games is the second-best record in the Bundesliga – only Bayern Munich has conceded fewer.
Alexander Blessin’s team often dominates possession, but this superiority results in too few dangerous chances. Only four Bundesliga teams (Bremen, Augsburg, Freiburg, and Dortmund) have recorded fewer shots on goal than St. Pauli so far.
Apart from their early derby win, St. Pauli have been waiting for an away win since April, when they won 2-1 at Holstein Kiel, who were later relegated.
