RB Leipzig – VfB Stuttgart Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 9 on Saturday, 11/01/2025 at 3:30 p.m.
There is no way around the record champions in the 2025/26 Bundesliga season title race – just as there is no way around the Bet365 offer code, which currently outshines all other bookmaker offers.
But if you interpret my Leipzig Stuttgart tip correctly, then the Saxons could still finish as runners-up. They should be able to prevail in the duel between their closest rivals.
There is plenty of evidence to support this theory. For example, after their 6-0 defeat to Munich on Matchday 1, RBL made several changes to their defense, which have borne fruit.
Since then, Ole Werner’s team has conceded an average of only 0.43 goals per 90 minutes. But there are many more facts and figures of this kind that should please the fans of the Saxons!
Sports betting with Paysafecard is also possible for this match. In any case, I am confident in my RB Leipzig vs. VfB Stuttgart prediction because I have some meaningful data to support it.
The Red Bulls have already won 7 of their 8 Bundesliga home games against the Swabians at their home stadium.
The only drawback: VfB won 3-2 in Leipzig for the first time on their last visit in May.
RB Leipzig – VfB Stuttgart Prediction & Bets
Objectively speaking, there is no difference between my RB Leipzig vs. VfB Stuttgart tip and the Asian HC: RB Leipzig (-0.5) at odds of around 1.91.
At Bet365, however, this is just one of many popular Asian handicap bets that are so sought after by sports betting fans!
I would also put my faith in an RB Leipzig win & both teams to score at odds of around 3.00. And since, according to this assumption, the Swabians will also score, I already have the right candidate for a VfB goal for you: Undav to score at odds of around 2.50.
The national player has been more effective against RBL than against any other opponent in the Bundesliga, with a total of six direct goal contributions (4 goals, 2 assists) to his name.
In the 3-2 away win in Leipzig in May, he was directly involved in two goals (one goal, one assist), and in January 2024, he even scored his only Bundesliga hat trick to date in the 5-2 home win against RB.
What you need to know when betting on RB Leipzig vs. VfB Stuttgart
- Leipzig has the second-highest xG (expected goals) in the Bundesliga with 15.2, just 0.06 more than Leverkusen.
- VfB Stuttgart has the third-best defense in the Bundesliga with seven goals conceded in eight games (two fewer than Leipzig, which has the fourth-best defense).
- The bet on ‘Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals – Yes’ has been successful in the last six direct duels (average: 4.67 goals per game).
- David Raum has created the most chances in the Bundesliga with 23. In the last twelve months, Raum has averaged 3.81 shot-creating actions per 90 minutes.
RB Leipzig – VfB Stuttgart: AI tip & odds analysis
My personal betting tips are primarily based on my gut feeling, whereas our RB Leipzig VfB Stuttgart AI prediction relies primarily on data and facts.
For example: Only FC Bayern (4) and Borussia Dortmund (5) have conceded fewer goals than VfB Stuttgart (7) and RB Leipzig (9) in this Bundesliga season so far.
In terms of clean sheets, the Swabians and Saxons are also just behind the two top teams, each with four “clean sheets,” while the top two teams have each played five games without conceding a goal.
The above data input has led our AI to recommend Under 3.5 goals and Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.75 and 2.75 respectively – depending on how much risk you are personally willing to take.
In addition, Both Teams to Score – No at 2.82 is also worth considering due to its disproportionately high odds for this type of bet. Especially since it allows you to trust both proven defenses at the same time.
Don’t forget that with so much at stake, both teams could actually take a more cautious approach on Saturday.
The best odds for RB Leipzig vs. VfB Stuttgart
The top of the Bundesliga seems firmly in Bayern’s hands – but behind the giants, an exciting duel for second place is heating up.
RB Leipzig welcomes VfB Stuttgart and has the chance to make a clear statement in the race for the runner-up spot with a convincing victory.
Leipzig is relying on momentum, quick transitions, and home advantage, while Stuttgart is playing its solid defense and skillful transition game as its trump card.
The average odds for RB Leipzig vs. VfB Stuttgart across all providers reflect the relative balance: 2.00 for the Saxons, 3.85 for a draw, and 3.60 for Stuttgart.
Whoever wins this match could secure second place in the long term – Bet365 offers the most exciting odds and plenty of thrills for your bets.
RB Leipzig vs. VfB Stuttgart match analysis:
As the Leipzig VfB Stuttgart betting odds just discussed suggest, we can expect a close match.
Leipzig is only one point ahead of the visitors in the table, but is going into the match with plenty of confidence after its convincing win against Augsburg.
Coach Ole Werner has brought new stability to his team – without changing Leipzig’s DNA of fast transitions.
Instead of aggressive pressing, Werner is focusing on a more controlled balance: with 15.53 passes allowed per defensive action, Leipzig ranks fifth in the league.
This has paid off – despite the 6-0 defeat to Bayern, the team has conceded the fourth fewest goals in the Bundesliga so far.
Stuttgart, on the other hand, is similarly strong defensively: with an xGA of 7.9, VfB currently has the second-best defensive record in the league.
Both teams know how to defend, which is why the early stages of the game are likely to be tactical and cautious.
However, as the game progresses, the attacking qualities of both sides are likely to come to the fore – so expect an intense duel with chances at both ends, especially in the closing stages.
RB Leipzig form check
RB Leipzig have been in absolute gala form recently – the 6-0 win against Augsburg was a statement victory, with six different players scoring. The Saxons also showed themselves to be confident and hungry for goals in their 4-1 win in Cottbus.
Antonio Nusa, Romulo, and Yan Diomande stood out in particular, underlining how broad RBL’s offensive lineup currently is.
The numbers also prove Leipzig’s offensive strength: with an expected goals value of 2.4 per game, the club has the third-best attack in the league.
Set pieces are another plus – 0.41 xG per game from set pieces means second place in this category.
Castello Lukeba provides stability in defense, and the record of only three goals conceded in the last six games underlines the team’s defensive maturity.
Despite all the euphoria, however, the Saxons should be warned: according to expected points, Leipzig is currently overperforming by 5.32 points.
This suggests that the upcoming tasks could be more challenging – especially if their efficiency slips.
Nevertheless, with this combination of pace, flexibility, and team unity, RB Leipzig is currently one of the most dangerous teams in Germany.
VfB Stuttgart form check
VfB Stuttgart is currently enjoying its best run in two years – five Bundesliga wins in a row speak for themselves.
Under Sebastian Hoeneß, the team is particularly impressive in terms of defensive stability: with only 11.2 shots on goal conceded per game, VfB is one of the four best defensive teams in the league.
The system is also working offensively: Stuttgart creates an average of 1.8 expected goals per game – clear evidence of their efficiency and determination in attack.
Despite these strong figures, the expected points (1.74 per game) show that Stuttgart is slightly overperforming – albeit less significantly than Leipzig.
Chris Führich and Deniz Undav in particular are shaping the attacking play. Führich’s dream goal against Mainz was symbolic of the confidence that the Swabians are currently exuding.
However, the coming weeks will be a test of endurance: seven games in 22 days will require clever rotation and good resource management. But so far, Hoeneß has proven to have exactly the right touch for this.
It is noteworthy that Stuttgart has won all four league games that followed a cup game, whether national or international.
This combination of form, depth, and tactical maturity currently makes VfB one of the most exciting teams in the Bundesliga.
