Stuttgart – Bayern Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 13 on Saturday, 06/12/2025 at 15:30 CET
On matchday 13 of the Bundesliga, Bayern want to get another win and put VfB Stuttgart, the next supposed top team, in their place. However, the recent performances of the Munich team give reason to doubt a clean sheet in Swabia.
In fact, Bayern’s ideal world has recently begun to crack. The 3-1 defeat in the Champions League against FC Arsenal and above all the noticeable stumbles in the defence make my Stuttgart Bayern tip “Win FCB & Both Teams Score” quite attractive. The odds around 2.40 at Betano are impressive.
Of course, Stuttgart’s home strength is priced in. In fact, VfB have won the first five league home games and can go into the duel with Bayern with confidence. But I don’t believe in a point against the Bundesliga super-team.
When Bayern compete in the Bundesliga this season, the only question is how exactly Munich’s success comes about. With 11 wins and one draw, the lead over “pursuers” Leipzig has already grown to eight points. From today’s perspective, defending the title appears to be a mere formality.
What also speaks against Stuttgart: With Leipzig, Leverkusen and Dortmund, Bayern have already beaten their fiercest competitors in the first half of the season and should therefore not freeze in awe in view of Stuttgart’s home strength.
Stuttgart – Bayern Prediction & Betting
I firmly believe that the game between Stuttgart and Bayern will develop into a high-scoring affair. One can assume that VfB will not barricade itself and want to play – probably with moderate success.
As a first tip alternative, I therefore bring the bet “Bayern over 2.5 goals” at odds around 2.00 at bookmakers without tax into play.
I also have the bet “Win Bayern with handicap -1” in my sights. The odds at around 2.18 are strong. In fact, I see the game in Stuttgart as the perfect opportunity for FCB to set an example after the last rather shaky performances.
My third suggestion “Bayern leads at half-time” takes the same line. If Bayern are serious from the start, Stuttgart will simply not be able to keep up. In my view, the odds of about 1.95 justify the risk.
What you need to consider when betting on Stuttgart vs. Bayern
- Stuttgart’s home strength is a key success factor: For the first time since the 1992/93 season, VfB won the first five home games of a Bundesliga season – only in 1988/89 did they manage to win the first seven home games.
- With 44 goals in the domestic competitions, Bayern Munich has the highest number of goals of all five top leagues in Europe. Vincent Kompany’s team also leads the Bundesliga in expected goals (xG), with 32.02 xG.
- Seven Bayern players are rated shorter in the bet on “anytime goalscorer” than Stuttgart’s most likely goalscorer Denis Undav. The striker has scored eight goals in the last six games in all competitions.
- Harry Kane has already scored 25 times for Bayern this season and averages one goal every 69 minutes played. The England international is also the biggest xG overperformer in the league, scoring 14 goals from an xG of 7.96 – a testament to his tremendous efficiency in front of goal.
Stuttgart – Bavaria: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
“Safety First” is the motto of our AI model for the duel between Stuttgart and Bayern. In fact, the digital brain in its Stuttgart Bayern AI forecast delivers two football bets with low odds.
First, the AI goes for the bet “Harry Kane scores”. The odds are “only” 1.65, but offer enough value.
After all, the Englishman has already made 25 appearances for FCB this season and recently scored in the 3-2 cup win against Union Berlin. The “crisis” in view of two games without a goal is already over.
In the second tip, the AI leaves any bells and whistles aside. “Sieg Bayern” can also be played without an addition at odds of about 1.50. If you have 34 points after 12 matchdays, you won’t get any more moon odds even in an away game against the sixth-placed team.
Since Stuttgart basically thinks offensively, the bet “Over 3.5 goals” also makes sense. The odds of about 1.80 are even rather generous. Isn’t a 3-1 or 4-2 win realistic for Bayern given the starting position? I think so.
The best odds for Stuttgart vs. Bayern
In the betting odds for VfB Stuttgart against Bayern, Vincent Kompany’s team is set as the away favourite. Bayern Munich will start as the most favoured team in most, if not all, of this season’s Bundesliga games.
For the away game in Stuttgart, Bayern will receive an Asian handicap of -1.25. This line requires a win with at least a two-goal difference. If Bayern wins by only one goal on matchday 13, half of the stake will be refunded when betting on the -1.25 handicap.
The Asian goal line in the VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayern odds is over/under 3.5 goals. Interestingly, more than 2.5 goals have been scored in all twelve Bayern games this season – no other team has a 100 per cent record in this market.
For more than 3.5 goals, however, the scoring rate drops slightly: In eight out of twelve games, four or more goals were scored. In the bet on “anytime goalscorer”, Harry Kane is the player with the lowest odds.
Luis Díaz and Nicolas Jackson share a narrow second place, followed by Michael Olise and Serge Gnabry. Seven Bayern players are rated shorter in this market than Stuttgart’s most likely goalscorer Denis Undav. The striker has scored eight goals in the last six games in all competitions.
Stuttgart vs Bayern Match Analysis:
Stuttgart is a strong team and could well cause Bayern problems. Nevertheless, Vincent Kompany’s players are in outstanding form this season and should enjoy long periods of possession as well as numerous scoring opportunities.Bayern has the highest “field tilt” in the Bundesliga – a figure that measures territorial dominance – with 71.1 points (50 would mean an even game). Kompany’s team should therefore again have a lot of possession in the opponent’s half.
Bayern won 2-1 in the Supercup clash at the beginning of the season, but the underdogs were also able to create chances. Stuttgart had 14 shots on goal and created three big chances – two fewer than the winners.
Sebastian Hoeneß hopes that his team will again be able to create numerous scoring opportunities.
Bayern are extremely efficient in front of goal, which gives them the advantage even if they don’t dominate for the entire game.
Kompany’s team is the biggest xG overperformer in the Bundesliga, five teams ahead of Stuttgart in this figure. For the hosts to cause a surprise, Bayern would have to have a weak day in front of goal.
In the last meeting in Stuttgart, there were eight yellow cards. This time, too, numerous cards could fall if the home side put Bayern under pressure with aggressive pressing.
Stuttgart Form Check
VfB Stuttgart have recently experienced a slight slump in form: In the last two Bundesliga games, the team has remained winless (one draw, one defeat), and in total there has been only one win in the last four league games (one draw, two defeats).
From the last four games, the Swabians took seven out of twelve possible points.
Nevertheless, Sebastian Hoeneß’s team is in sixth place in the Bundesliga with 22 points from twelve games – a significant improvement compared to the previous season, when only 17 points were on the account at that time.
Stuttgart’s home strength is a key success factor: for the first time since the 1992/93 season, VfB won the first five home games of a Bundesliga season, surpassed only in 1988/89, when they won their first seven home games.
Stuttgart have a perfect record at home – comparable to Leipzig and Bayern – and have only conceded three goals in their own stadium in the league so far.
Since the 3-2 home win against Augsburg on 9 November, however, Stuttgart has not played in the MHP Arena. VfB have lost only one of their last four games away from home and have also reached the quarter-finals of the DFB Cup.
Only Stuttgart, Bayern and Borussia Dortmund have scored in every game this Bundesliga season.
Striker Deniz Undav is currently in top form and scored VfB’s most recent six Bundesliga goals single-handedly. In November, Undav was directly involved in a total of nine goals in all competitions – with seven goals and two assists.
Bayern Form Check
FC Bayern continue their winning streak in Germany, but are showing worrying signs defensively. In the last six competitive games, the team has conceded eleven goals.
Four of those goals came in the Champions League away games against PSG and Arsenal, but the fact that Union Berlin scored four goals against Bayern in the space of a month is a serious warning sign.
Offensively, Bayern remains the measure of all things: With 44 goals, they have the best attack in the Bundesliga and thus have the ability to dupe almost any opponent.
The defeat against Arsenal was the only game this year in which Vincent Kompany’s team scored just one goal in 90 minutes. Bayern have only narrowly won three games this season – most recently the 3-2 win in the DFB Cup against Union Berlin on Wednesday evening.
Last weekend, the record champions needed two goals in injury time to defeat bottom-of-the-table St. Pauli – another feat of strength after the 6-2 win against Freiburg a week earlier.
With 34 points from twelve games, Bayern continue to have the best start to the season in Bundesliga history.
Recent performances may indicate that Bayern is losing momentum, even if the league championship remains out of reach of the competition.
According to the AI model, Bayern is expected to finish the season with at least 86 points – around 20 points ahead of the second-placed team – and will probably have to accept at least two more defeats in the process.
