Lech Poznan – Mainz Tip Conference League, Matchday 5 on Thursday, 11.12.2025 at 21:00 CET
Hang the role of favourites around the neck of the zero-fivers? Courageous, on the part of the German betting providers. Haven’t they seen that M05 can’t do anything without the still suspended midfield engine Dominik Kohr?
In my Lech Poznan Mainz tip I help you not to make a wrong decision here. It is much more likely than the bookies think that the Poles will be able to beat a German Bundesliga team for the first time after four unsuccessful attempts.
Although I don’t go quite as far in my prediction, I don’t think it’s wrong to at least use a free bet on this quite realistic scenario.
Lech Poznan vs. Mainz AI predictions:
Our Lech Poznan Mainz AI forecast is reasonable. Because the betting suggestions submitted to me by the data model can be used wonderfully for promising football bets in my eyes, because they all sound logical.
1st goal: Lech Poznan at odds around 2.05, for example, is almost a must, given the current home strength of the Poles and the fact how difficult M05 is currently without Dominik Kohr. Very sympathetic as well as convincing suggestion!
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Lech Poznan |
Draw |
Win Mainz |
| 32% |
27% |
41% |
Sieg Lech Poznan turns one euro into almost exactly three and is another suggestion that you must at least have on your radar.
Especially since the hosts have already won 6 of their last 8 Conference League home games and could easily continue this strong trend on Thursday against the currently weakening zero-fives.
Mainz: After all, I think less than 1.5 goals is probably the best suggestion in terms of the pure risk-reward ratio. If you win, you won’t receive an XXL payout, but M05 has only scored a single goal in his last five competitive games …
What you need to know about Lech Poznan vs. Mainz betting
- This is the first European duel between Lech Poznan and Mainz 05.
- Lech Poznan have won six of their last eight home games in the Conference League (without qualifying).
- Mainz 05 lost 1-0 to Universitatea Craiova on Matchday 4, ending a run of four wins in major European competitions.
- Four of Lech Poznan’s nine goals this Conference League season have been scored by substitutes.
- Paul Nebel (Mainz) has already created ten chances this Conference League season. He creates an average of 4.3 chances per 90 minutes (the second-best value of all players with 200+ minutes).
