Chelsea – Everton Tip Premier League, Matchday 16 on Saturday, 13.12.25 at 16:00 CET
You know, the Blues’ last two Premier League home games against this opponent were exactly the same: a strong first half of the game by the hosts and over 90 minutes completely harmless toffees.
This is one of the reasons why I have focused exclusively on football bets in my Chelsea Everton tip, which revolve around a repeat of this pattern on Saturday.
After the Champions League defeat, the Londoners will start this game with anger in their stomachs anyway, while this opponent at Stamford Bridge rarely found its way into their own penalty area.
In fact, Everton did not even manage to score a consolation goal in five of the last seven away games with the Blues.
Chelsea vs Everton AI Predictions:
Our data model has some ingenious betting suggestions in store, but also some less ingenious ones. I will highlight and evaluate some of them because I would take them into account myself.
The 1-0 result bet at half-time, for example, is in my eyes a truly excellent suggestion of our Chelsea Everton AI prediction, which I will implement in exactly the same way if I were you.
In the Londoners’ last home game against Everton, it was already 1-0 at the break. In addition, the Londoners have conceded six of their seven Premier League goals at Stamford Bridge this season only after the restart.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Chelsea |
Draw |
Win Everton |
| 58.3% |
23.6% |
18.1% |
Of course, the guests have collected points eagerly in recent weeks, but remain a team that struggles offensively far too often in vain.
I would have the computer-generated pick “Chelsea wins to nil” on my radar at odds around 2.75 because the Toffees have only fired 45 Premier League shots so far. League-wide, only three other clubs undercut this value.
“1st half: Most goals” I would also select for 3.05. The Blues usually provide the best entertainment in the stands at Stamford Bridge, especially in the first half of the game.
What you need to know about Chelsea vs. Everton betting
- Everton failed to score in 27 Premier League games against Chelsea, including the last three head-to-head duels. Only against Man United and Liverpool (28 each) did the Toffees remain goalless more often.
- Chelsea have gone winless in their last three Premier League games (D2 L1) after winning five of their previous six games. There has been a longer winless streak under coach Enzo Maresca for the time being.
- Everton have won four of their last five Premier League games, keeping a clean sheet in each of those wins. Only Man City, Arsenal and Chelsea have won more Premier League victories without conceding a goal than Everton (10) since David Moyes took over.
- Chelsea made 46 changes to the starting XI in the Premier League this season (11 more than at the same time in 2024/25). There have been 4+ changes in each of the last four games.
