Cardiff – Chelsea Tip EFL Cup 2025/26, quarter-finals on Tuesday, 16/12/25 at 21:00
No matter how this game ends, the blatant underdog can be proud of itself. The Welsh have already managed to knock two higher-class clubs out of the competition.
But in my Cardiff Chelsea forecast I leave the church in the village. Because the Blues will not miss the opportunity to reach the semi-finals of the EFL Cup within 90 minutes in view of their playing potential.
After all, Chelsea have already won each of the five duels together since the turn of the millennium. However, I trust the home side to score, especially since the possible payout at football betting providers becomes much more interesting.
Cardiff vs. Chelsea AI Predictions:
Over 2.5 goals at odds around 1.60 is a computer-generated suggestion that knocks on open doors for me. Seven of the last eight games involving Cardiff have cracked this mark.
In addition, the Welsh will want to build on their EFL Cup success over Burnley and also want to knock Chelsea out of the cup with a lot of self-confidence. In any case, the underdog will not hide – even if it is not quite enough in the end!
I therefore like this part of our Cardiff Chelsea AI prediction very much, as I myself expect a 2-1 or even 3-1 for the Londoners.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Cardiff |
Draw |
Win Chelsea |
| 7.9% |
13.5% |
78.6% |
The selection Win Chelsea in regular time promises “only” odds around 1.30, but is a statistically bombproof tip on just about every sports betting app.
Since the 2008/09 season, the Blues have not lost to a club outside the Premier League in this competition.
1st goal: Last but not least, Marc Guiu is a really excellent suggestion for odds around 5.40, which the AI throws out there.
All seven goals Guiu has scored for Chelsea have been scored in cup competitions and all in the first half.
What you need to know about Cardiff vs. Chelsea betting
- In seven of Cardiff’s last eight games, over 2.5 goals have been scored.
- Both teams have scored in five of Cardiff’s last six home games.
- Chelsea have not been eliminated in this competition (EFL Cup) against an opponent from a lower league since the 2008–09 season.
- In just one of Chelsea’s last six away games, the Blues have scored a goal after the 60th minute.
