Naples – Bologna Tip Supercup Italy, final on Monday, 22.12.25 at 20:00
Are you looking for a promising Naples Bologna tip that you can even further enhance with tax-free betting or a suitable Bet365 odds boost?
Then I advise you to make a simple but effective “under 2.5 goals” bet. Because already at the last meeting in Serie A at the beginning of November, the combined xG value was only 1.16.
Yes, Bologna won 2-0 at the time, but that is precisely why it could be a very tough Supercup final.
SSC coach Antonio Conte is now finally warned, and Napoli wants to put this trophy back in the cupboard for the first time since 2014. Consequently, mutual respect could be particularly strong from the start.
Naples vs. Bologna AI Predictions:
The Naples Bologna AI forecast of my digital betting friend confronted me with some recommendations, which I only recommend to you because they perfectly match my own expectations.
The suggestion “Under 3.5 goals” is well-intentioned, because both teams should indeed be defensively oriented. In addition, none of the last five joint duels cracked this mark.
It’s just a shame that you can’t expect a significant payout with Napoli Bologna odds of only 1.24. That’s why I prefer to stick to my preferred under-2.5 goals bet.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Napoli |
Draw |
Victory Bologna |
| 44.8% |
30.4% |
24.8% |
“1st Half: Under 1.5 Goals” provides for odds of around 1.40, while the somewhat more aggressive variant, the 0-0 result bet at half-time, promises slightly higher values around 2.67.
Both good suggestions, and I’m honestly torn. In 5 of the last 6 games in which the SSC was involved, however, it was always 1:0 or 0:1 at the break.
“Napoli doesn’t score a goal” sounds a bit risky in the end, but the odds of about 3.50 are disproportionately high. After all, Bologna have proven several times this season that they can defend strongly even against top teams.
And in this context, don’t forget the 2-0 mentioned at the beginning, where SSC looked pretty old on the way forward.
What you need to know about Napoli vs. Bologna betting
- Napoli could win the Supercoppa for the first time since 2014.
- Under 3.5 goals have been scored in each of the last five head-to-head matches.
- In the last meeting, Napoli had an xG of only 0.24.
- In each of Bologna’s last six competitive games, the Rossoblu have conceded 1-0 instead of scoring it themselves.



