Algeria – Sudan Africa Cup, Group E, 24.12.25 at 16:00
At the World Cup next summer, Algeria will have to deal with the football superpowers Austria and Argentina, among others. Before that, however, the Desert Foxes would like to win the Africa Cup of Nations for the third time after 1990 and 2019.
With Sudan, the favorite of Group E (group win odds 1.40) has caught the great lightweight of the preliminary round quartets at the start. For example, when comparing the respective market values – 235 million euros to 2.8 million euros – there is a gap that is supposedly almost impossible to close.
But the devil may have been hiding in the details here. After all, Sudan, which has been shaken by civil war, has qualified for the finals under the most adverse circumstances, and should now be expected to be a tough nut to crack in this tournament as well.
My Algeria Sudan tip is therefore based on a difficult birth in Rabat: In the end, the big favorite should win – if at all – with only one goal lead.
Algeria vs. Sudan AI Predictions:
Although, think of Egypt, for example, some title contenders have already had to learn that such a start to the Africa Cup is not a walk in the park, artificial intelligence attaches decisive importance to individual qualitative differences here.
The football bet to win Algeria with a handicap of -1 necessarily provokes my contradiction here, especially since the direct clash three weeks ago in preparation for the Africa Cup of Nations only saw a goalless draw.
Nevertheless, a clear opening victory for the Desert Foxes would admittedly be anything but a sensation, which is why this Algeria Sudan AI prediction is certainly okay – especially since the odds of around 2.25 seem passable to me.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Algeria |
Draw |
Victory Sudan |
| 69.9% |
20.7% |
9.4% |
Even with the goal scorer bet for this game, I don’t necessarily hit the AI tip. Riyad Mahrez’s predicted goal at odds of around 3.40 is probably mainly due to his great prominence.
Of course, the 34-year-old wants to do it again at the big tournaments this year and next year – but as potential goalscorers I have Adil Boulbina and Mohamed El Amine Amoura on the list here – both at odds of about 3.00.
After the first experiences of the still young tournament, I am therefore only part of the last AI prediction. Since the games often only gain momentum after a start-up period, at odds of 2.15 at the German bookmakers, most goals could easily be scored in the 2nd half between Algeria and Sudan.
What you need to consider when betting on Algeria vs. Sudan
- Algeria is part of the extended crisis of the favorites for the Africa Cup, currently the bookmakers pay out odds of around 7.50 for the tournament victory.
- For Sudan, surviving the preliminary round would already be a sensation, with a win rate of 17.0, the team is listed as the weakest team in Group E behind Algeria, Burkina Faso and Equatorial Guinea.
- Sudan has not been able to win any of the 4 direct mandatory duels so far, but was at least good for two easy point wins.
- 15 players in Algeria’s squad each have a higher market value than the entire Sudanese national team combined.
