Roma – Genoa Tip Serie A, Matchday 17 on Monday, 29/12/25 at 20:45
With the exception of the defeat against the Sardinians, the Giallorossi have only lost their Serie A games in 2025/26 to absolute top teams. And that’s precisely why German bookmakers don’t want to ban them from the circle of possible Scudetto contenders.
According to my AS Roma Genoa tip, just before New Year’s Day, you have the perfect opportunity to successfully end 2025 with a minimalist victory bet on the capital.
The combination bet I have in mind promises odds of about 1.75, which can be made even more attractive by a selected odds boost.
Incidentally, my suggestion is promising because Roma have already won three of their last four home games against the Genoese 1-0 in all competitions.
Roma vs Genoa AI predictions:
Our AS Roma Genoa AI forecast does not parrot me, but does its own research.
Nevertheless, our data model has come to the conclusion that the 1:0 result bet in favor of the home side, which I already hinted at at the beginning, promises a great reward-risk ratio.
Personally, this is a bit too much risk for me, but with odds of about 5.10 in the event of success and in view of the promising data, I can at least not raise any objections.
Because 8 of Roma’s last 18 competitive games have ended with exactly one goal scored, not infrequently this – as for example in the last Serie A home game against Como – fell in favor of the capital.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory AS Roma |
Draw |
Victory Genoa |
| 60% |
25.5% |
14.5% |
The second computer-generated recommendation is to select “Win Roma & Under 3.5 Goals”. At odds around 2.02, this is quite acceptable, as the Giallorossi rarely let it rip.
They usually defend excellently and do the minimum necessary up front. It is therefore no coincidence that their Serie A games this season have averaged only 1.69 goals.
After all, the variant “Roma wins to nil” at odds around 2.27 is only reserved for those of you who have a little more courage. But this could well pay off.
I expect Genoa to concentrate on defending for 90 minutes anyway. Many players are injured, Onana is suspended at AFCON and Leali is suspended. This does not bode well for the prospects of the guests from Liguria to score a goal themselves!
What you need to know about AS Roma vs. Genoa betting
- Prior to this matchday, Roma’s matches have the lowest value in the entire Serie A with an average of 1.69 goals per game.
- Roma have won all nine league games in the 2025/26 season in which they have taken the lead.
- In all seven of Genoa’s away games this season, both teams have scored at least once.
- Genoa have picked up the most points (six) in the league this season with goals scored after the 75th minute.
