Arsenal – Aston Villa Tip Premier League, Matchday 19 on Tuesday, 30/12/25 at 21:15
While the Bundesliga tips are taking a break for another week for obvious reasons, the Premier League is once again launching a real top game shortly before the turn of the year.
On Tuesday evening, league leaders Arsenal will host the form monster from Birmingham, who only a few days ago elegantly got rid of a direct pursuer with a win at Stamford Bridge.
If I had resorted a little too conservatively to Double Chance X2 before that 2-1 victory, this time I’m trying to get a lot more out of the guests’ flight of fancy for my football bet with a little more courage.
For a remarkable H2H quota, I reach for “Tip 2” in my Arsenal Aston Villa prediction this time – and at least get my stake back in the event of a point split.
Arsenal vs Aston Villa AI Predictions:
Unbelievable eleven competitive wins in a row by the Villans have of course also made a powerful impression on my AI tool. In contrast to me, however, the Arsenal Aston Villa AI forecast chooses the safety variant – and takes a look at the Double Chance X2, which I spurn.
At odds of 2.50 – offered by the German betting providers, for example – this restraint still turns out to be quite lucrative in the event of success.
And a little caution seems to be appropriate despite all the enthusiasm: In the nine PL home games of the current season, the Gunners have only conceded a single draw to their opponents.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Arsenal |
Draw |
Victory Aston Villa |
| 65.8% |
21.2% |
13% |
Also in terms of defensive performance in the Emirates, the Gunners are unsurprisingly absolute top in the league comparison with just four goals conceded – which is why the AI tip “Both teams score” is worth it a little more than usual.
If the Gunners, who almost certainly also net themselves, cannot avoid conceding a goal by the Villans, bettors can easily double the stake.
Since such in-form teams like to neutralize each other in a direct comparison, our AI still assumes a rather low-scoring event overall.
If the predicted final score of 1:1 actually occurs after 90 minutes, this will be rewarded by the best bookmakers with odds of around 7.8.
What you need to know about Arsenal vs. Aston Villa betting
- Arsenal have lost three of their last five Premier League games to Aston Villa (W1 D1) and could suffer two defeats against Villa for the third time in six seasons (including 2020-21 and 2023-24), which has only happened once before in the league, in the 1992-93 season.
- Aston Villa remained unbeaten in their last two away games against Arsenal, winning 2-0 in April 2024 and drawing 2-2 in January last year. The last longer unbeaten streak at the Emirates Stadium was between 2006/07 and 2008/09 (3).
- Arsenal have won their last league game in four of the last five calendar years, with the exception of a 2-1 defeat at Fulham on New Year’s Eve 2023.
- Aston Villa have won their last league game in just two of the last 13 calendar years (D6 L5), with wins over
- Middlesbrough in 2017 (1-0) and Burnley in 2023 (3-2).
