Atletico – Atletico Tip Supercopa, semi-finals on Thursday, 08.01.26 at 20:00
After four competitive wins in a row, the situation for Xabi Alonso at the Whites had recently eased somewhat. However, the truce could quickly prove to be fragile if Real lose their chance of winning the title in the Supercopa.
For the White Ballet, a semi-final exit against their local rivals would be extremely bitter, especially since Bellingham & Co already lost 5-2 in the last league duel with the Rojiblancos in September.
There have been frequent problems with the city rivals in La Liga in recent years, but at least in the regular knockout duels, Real could be relied on for the most part.
Despite the exciting odds, a bet on the Spanish diva is too hot for me in the end, which is why I speculate on goals on both sides in my Atletico Real tip!
Atletico vs. Real Madrid AI Predictions:
In a certain sense, our in-house AI tool is probably also looking forward to one of the first footballing highlights of the new year with the appropriate anticipation – but this does not lead to clear results in the Atletico Real Madrid prediction.
On the contrary: After there was already no winner in the last 3 Supercopa comparisons within regular time, the artificial intelligence has now once again opted for the “Tip X” – which leads to the payout of around 3.6 times the stake by the German bookmakers, for example.
With the combination of “BTS & Over 2.5 Goals”, a few quota tenths are added to my tip. Currently, this football bet is available for values of around 1.90
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Atletico |
Draw |
Victory Real |
| 34.3% |
26.3% |
39.4% |
The fact that Real Madrid made it clear in their first appearance in 2026 with a 5-1 win against Real Betis that they had set themselves a lot of goals for the coming months has also been benevolently registered by the AI.
The tip “Real Madrid Over 1.5 goals” believes that the Whites can now score at least two goals in the Super Cup, which has been “moved” to Saudi Arabia, to exactly double the stake.
However, since the same also applies to the Colchoneros, according to the result tip, it comes down to a lively 2:2 in the end – at bookmakers without tax, this score is now odded at around 11.5.
What you need to know about Atletico vs. Real Madrid betting
- In 4 of the last 6 La Liga duels, both teams had drawn 1-1.
- The last 3 Supercopa comparisons between the two teams also ended in a draw after 90 minutes.
- Atletico Madrid have scored at least 2 goals in 4 of their last competitive matches – 3 as many as 3.
- In the last 7 Copa duels (including extra time), the record of both teams is completely balanced – 1 draw and 3 wins each.
