Hoffenheim – Gladbach Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 17 on Wednesday, 14/01/2026 at 20:30 CET
Well, I don’t know about you, but I was impressed by TSG’s pre-Christmas performance in neighbouring Swabia. Taking a point there was not a matter of course in view of VfB’s recent performance.
Meanwhile, I have an exciting Hoffenheim Gladbach tip for you for the 17th round of the 2025/26 season, which is as simple as it is ingenious – and that is a home win, without any additional conditions!
In the event of success, there are already interesting odds of around 1.90. But that doesn’t mean that you can’t add something to it at any time thanks to the “additional conditions” sweetened by the Merkur Bets odds boosts!
Because TSG could actually win big in view of their strong run and a little luck. Especially since Christian Ilzer’s team only came away empty-handed in terms of points in the duel against BVB during the last nine matchdays and averaged an impressive 2.2 goals per appearance during this period.
I trust my Hoffenheim Gladbach prediction, but it’s also clear that the Foals are anything but a favourite opponent for the Kraichgau team. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won five of their last seven Bundesliga meetings against Hoffenheim (D1 L1).
Since the start of 2022, Gladbach have collected 16 points against Hoffenheim than against any other Bundesliga team – only against VfL Bochum (18) have they picked up more!
For Hoffenheim, Dortmund and Leverkusen are the only opponents they have lost to more often in this period (six defeats each).
Hoffenheim – Gladbach Prediction & Betting Tips
Ich vertraue der Ilzer-Elf, zumindest in dieser Englischen Woche. Folglich habe ich noch den einen oder anderen Hoffenheim Gladbach Tipp im Hinterkopf, den ihr als Zusatzbedingung der vorgeschlagenen Heimsiegwette problemlos anfügen könnt.
Halbzeit/Endstand 1/1 zu Quoten um die 3,00 bei Interwetten mittels Boost ist nämlich ein mögliches Szenario, dem ich sowohl eine hohe finanzielle Einträglichkeit als auch hohe Eintrittswahrscheinlichkeit beimesse.
Hoffenheim: über 2,5 Tore zu 2,92 schafft es ebenfalls in die engere Auswahl lohnenswerter Wettangebote, die ihr neben einem attraktiven Sportwetten Bonus jederzeit nutzen könnt, um die potenzielle Auszahlungssumme zu steigern.
Ich rechne einfach fest damit, dass die Kraichgauer an ihre meist sehr furiosen Auftritte im eigenen Stadion anknüpfen werden. Denn 3+ TSG-Tore und 3 Punkte gab es in jedem der letzten vier Bundesliga-Heimspiele.
What you need to know about Hoffenheim vs. Gladbach betting
- Hoffenheim have lost only one of their last nine Bundesliga games (against Borussia Dortmund).
- In this period, Hoffenheim conceded only eight goals – the best in the Bundesliga.
- Gladbach have won five of their last eight Bundesliga games and thus have the second-best record in the league (behind Bayern Munich) since the beginning of November.
- Hoffenheim scores an average of 1.29 goals in the first half, which is only surpassed by FC Bayern in the league.
- Gladbach failed to score in four of their seven away league games before the break.
- Haris Tabaković has already scored four header goals this season, which is the highest number in the Bundesliga.
- Tabaković is responsible for nine of Gladbach’s 22 goals this season.
Hoffenheim – Gladbach: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
I trust my gut feeling, while our data model as part of the specially devised Hoffenheim Gladbach AI forecast prefers to place its trust in statistics and balance sheets.
Let’s see together whether these assessments can convince an experienced betting professional!
In any case, the betting recommendation “TSG scores in both halves” at odds of around 2.40 is quickly shown a thumbs up by me in this context.
None of the Kraichgau team’s last nine home games in the Bundesliga have ended 0-0, and it was usually the hosts themselves who scored the goals before and after the break. That should be the case again this time.
Furthermore, our data model also recommends the scenarios Win TSG with HC -1 at values of around 3.10 as well as Win TSG to nil at minimally higher Hoffenheim Gladbach betting odds and the 3.70.
I was a bit skeptical about the latter suggestion at first, but actually it could actually be 2-0 or 3-0 for the host in the end – that wouldn’t be the first time anyway!
After all, only two teams in the league have conceded fewer goals within the first 45 minutes than the Ilzer eleven (9). If they go into the break with a 1-0 lead this time as well, I expect that the clean sheet could easily hold until the end in view of this favourable starting position.
The best odds for Hoffenheim vs. Gladbach
Let’s take a look at the best Bundesliga odds of the matchday and especially the current Hoffenheim Gladbach odds together!
It is immediately noticeable that TSG are highly regarded by the bookmakers at home in the Kraichgau. The markets are rewarding the home strength and consistency of recent months.
A home win for the Kraichgau team is rated 1.84. The bookmakers clearly show that they rely on the structured playing system, home advantage and tactical stability. Hoffenheim are listed as slight favourites, although the odds signal that a close game is not ruled out.
The draw is 4.00. The markets are calculating a scenario in which Gladbach acts cleverly defensively and puts Hoffenheim under pressure at times. A shared point win is quite conceivable, but not the main scenario of the bookmakers.
An away win by Gladbach is traded at 3.85 in the end. The Foals are considered outsiders, but they could keep the game open through counterattacks, set-pieces and individual moments. The quota shows: possible, but risky.
Hoffenheim vs Gladbach Match Analysis:
Hoffenheim are expected to be dominant in their own stadium, as they have been since autumn 2025.
The hosts also want to continue the fight for the Champions League places and will therefore in all likelihood put pressure on from the start to take control.
Christian Ilzer can build on the self-confidence from the strong phase before the winter break, and we can expect a fast, aggressive first period.
Hoffenheim scores an average of 1.29 goals in the first half, only Bayern are better in this discipline – so that definitely speaks for an early dominance of the Kraichgau team!
Gladbach, on the other hand, often seem hesitant, especially in the early stages of the game, especially on a foreign pitch.
Hoffenheim will certainly want to try to take advantage of this, control possession and tempo and put the visitors’ defence to the test early on.
The game should offer many chances and quick transition moments for Gladbach if TSG move forward too briskly!
Nevertheless, the home strength of the hosts is a decisive factor: With high quality in midfield and dangerous finishes near the penalty area, Hoffenheim should dominate the game for long stretches and create the most top-class scoring chances.
Hoffenheim form check
The Kraichgau side have won only one of their last three league games, but with 27 points from 15 games, they are on course for the best Bundesliga in nine years and thus reach the points target of the 2016/17 season.
Hoffe are particularly strong at home: they have all won their last four home games, scoring at least three goals in each game. Only against Cologne did they remain goalless in seven home games (0:1).
In the last nine Bundesliga games, TSG have conceded just one defeat – against Borussia Dortmund – and have the best defence in the league in this period with only eight goals conceded.
For the upcoming game, however, Hoffenheim will have to do without the suspended Albian Hajdari.
The midfielder leads the club in touches per 90 minutes (79), and Hoffenheim have not won a league game this season (1 defeat, 1 draw) if Hajdari was not in the starting line-up. His absence could put a strain on the team’s otherwise strong record.
Gladbach form check
Haris Tabakovic scored twice, while Joe Scally and Kevin Diks also scored. Together, they led Gladbach to a clear 4-0 home win against Augsburg last weekend.
After initial difficulties at the beginning of the season, Gladbach have already recorded a clear upward trend under coach Eugen Polanski before the winter break and are now in tenth place in the table, seven points above the relegation zone.
Borussia have won five of their last eight Bundesliga games (D1 L2) – the second-best record in the league since the beginning of November, only behind Bayern Munich’s six wins.
Since the beginning of November, Gladbach have also not conceded a goal in five of their eight league games, making them the strongest defensive team in the league in this period (only 6 goals conceded).
Nevertheless, I think they will come away empty-handed against a rested Kraichgau team in the PreZero Arena
