Inter Milan – Arsenal Tip Champions League, Matchday 7 on Tuesday, 20/01/2026 at 21:00 CET
For me, there is no way around an Inter Milan Arsenal tip on Tuesday that aims for “Under 2.5 goals”. With a compatible Winamax odds boost, even higher values than the 1.84 estimated by the bookie can be achieved.
Meanwhile, the conditions for a tough number simply couldn’t be better. After all, the two best defenses in Europe will meet and Arsenal will not want to take any unnecessary risks anyway in view of the already certain participation in the round of 16.
In fact, in no other match on this 7th Champions League matchday do I think a tired clean sheet is more likely than on Tuesday evening at the San Siro. If you expect a fireworks display here, you are unfortunately most likely on the famous wooden path!
My Inter Milan Arsenal tip for you was already clear early on, rather I used the time at the weekend to examine betting providers with PayPal for the best odds offers that interested me.
Statistically speaking, there is simply too much to be said for an almost goalless affair. Because the Milanese themselves have only allowed an average of 0.67 goals per appearance in this edition of the Champions League.
At the same time – and their tired 0-0 draw against Liverpool proves this – their attack is not exactly the most powerful when it comes to Premier League teams. The own xG value in the aforementioned duel with the Reds was only 0.44 xG.
Inter Milan – Arsenal Prediction & Betting
I have already hinted at it indirectly, but in this section I will be very specific. I would choose a combination bet of the type Draw & Under 2.5 goals to cover a 0:0 or 1:1 equally.
The odds of around 4.25 traded on the markets for this Inter Milan Arsenal tip are incentive enough for me to really put this idea into practice without hesitation.
Goal in both halves – No to odds around 1.98, on the other hand, is a somewhat safer option for me. At least one of the two periods of the game should actually end goalless.
At the very least, I estimate the probability of this event to occur as high enough to declare the bet in question as a value bet.
What you need to consider when betting on Inter Milan vs. Arsenal
- Inter have recently lost two games in a row, but have not suffered three defeats in a row in the Champions League since 2011.
- Arsenal could set a new club record run of seven wins in a row with a win at San Siro.
- The bookmakers see the duel as an absolutely balanced encounter with almost identical winning odds as last year.
- Goalkeeper David Raya has statistically prevented the most safe goals conceded in the competition since the beginning of last season.
Inter Milan – Arsenal: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our Inter Milan Arsenal AI prediction has revealed results that I have subsequently evaluated and that do not fundamentally contradict my own betting ideas for this match.
In fact, they are just a touch more aggressive! For example, the bet Under 1.5 goals at odds around 3.50, which makes it very clear how poor in events this game should actually be according to my digital betting friend.
Basically, this bet makes sense despite the increased risk, as Arsenal have only conceded a single goal in the entire league phase so far – and that was from the unstoppable Bayern!
Our AI has also only identified a single player who could be worth speculating on the probably only goal of the game – and he plays for the Gunners.
For the success of the selection 1st goal: Gabriel Martinelli at odds around 5.00 you may have to be patient, as the goal could come late.
However, the Brazilian can usually be relied on, as he has surprisingly already been able to sink at least one goal into the opponent’s goal in all five of his Champions League appearances for the Londoners.
The best odds for Inter Milan vs. Arsenal
Looking at the Inter Milan Arsenal odds reveals a market that deliberately relies on restraint. For both teams, it’s not about bare survival, but about positioning – and that’s exactly what is reflected in the bookmakers’ assessment.
A home win for the Nerazurri is offered at 2.50. Markets respect the Nerazzurri’s home strength, tactical maturity and ability to approach big games in a controlled manner. At the same time, from the bookies’ point of view, this is not enough to push Inter clearly forward.
The draw is 3.60. This rate fits into a scenario in which both teams do not take full risks, prioritize game control and neutralize each other over longer phases. A point for both sides seems absolutely realistic from a market point of view.
An away win for Arsenal is rated 2.60. The bookmakers trust the Gunners with their speed, dynamism and flexibility at least as much as Inter. Arsenal are not favourites, but clearly on an equal footing.
The Inter Milan Arsenal odds thus paint a clean 50:50 picture: no clear favorite, no polarizing market inclination.
Inter Milan vs Arsenal Match Analysis:
This duel already took place in the last league phase – and at least the starting position on the markets seems very similar at first glance. Because back then, the ratings were almost identical.
In the end, Inter won a hard-fought game 1-0 after a penalty kick that was well worth discussing. Arsenal clearly had more of the ball, with 63% possession, 20 shots and 1.80 xG, while Inter had seven shots and 1.19 xG, of which 0.79 came from the penalty spot alone.
This time, however, the course of the game is likely to be completely different. The stakes are much lower, with both teams comfortably in the top eight on matchday seven.
Inter would accept a draw without hesitation and Arsenal should not want to take a high risk either. That’s exactly why I expect a lot of skirmishes in midfield, careful ball circulation and a clear focus on defensive stability.
Top-class chances could remain scarce – maybe we will even see a game without a real big chance!
Inter Milan Formcheck
Inter have made a strong start to the Champions League season, winning their first four games, conceding just one goal.
However, this was followed by two defeats in a row, away at Atletico Madrid and most recently at home against Liverpool FC.
Despite this small setback, Inter remains one of the most defensively stable teams in the competition, with only four goals conceded so far – only Arsenal have allowed less this Champions League season!
Inter’s controlled approach is also underlined by their playing culture, with their Champions League games averaging just 2.67 goals, one of the lowest in the competition, with only six other teams beating them.
The course of the two defeats is also striking, as both were scored by late goals – Liverpool’s winning goal in the 88th minute, Atletico even scored in the 90th.
Inter will accordingly attach great importance to keeping their concentration high until the last minute and avoiding another late goal at all costs.
Arsenal Form Check
Arsenal have delivered an almost flawless Champions League season so far. Six games, six wins and just one goal conceded underline how stable and mature the Gunners are on the European stage.
Offensively, they are also among the absolute top, as only three teams have scored more goals in the league phase so far. The balance between control and penetration is perfectly calibrated, which was also noticeable against a wide variety of enemy types.
The starting position before this game is correspondingly comfortable. With Kairat Almaty, who have already been eliminated, an easy task awaits them on the last matchday, so that Arsenal would perfectly prepare to win the league phase with a point against Inter.
The previous victories against Athletic Club, Olympiakos, Atletico Madrid, Slavia Prague, Bayern Munich and Club Brugge also show the quality of the opponents who have already been defeated.
Another success would even write club history, as Arsenal could equal their own record for the most Champions League wins in a row. But I maintain that the Londoners will not go for it at the San Siro.
