Arsenal – Manchester United Tip | Premier League, Matchday 23 on Sunday, 25.01.2026 at 17:30 CET
If the bookmakers have their way, then you are on the safe side with an Arsenal Man United bet on a home win, but I have put my focus – not least because of the recent appearances – on goal betting.
In my Premier League prediction for the cracker of the 23rd matchday, I expect goals from both the Gunners and the Red Devils. The tip “Both teams to score” brings odds of 1.77 at Oddset.
With this Arsenal United bet, not only our bookmakers deliver with PayPal odds that are a little higher than the 1×2 bet. A victory of the Gunners is provided with a 1.60, which I even find a bit too low.
Manchester United made an impressive statement with the recent 2-0 triumph over Manchester City on the debut of interim coach Michael Carrick. That’s why I’m rather cautious with a home win.
For a United threesome in the Emirates, our bookies make an average of about 6.00 times the stake easy. A draw reaches odds around 4.20.
Arsenal – Man United AI predictions:
I once fired up our AI tool to get a data-based forecast. The numbers clearly support the Londoners’ role as favourites, but there are also interesting details that are relevant to your Arsenal Man United bets.
This results in a 60.4% probability of victory for the Gunners. A win against the Red Devils could be Arsenal’s next important step towards winning the championship title.
If the fight for the English football championship is still a little too long for you, you can turn your attention to a rapidly approaching American football highlight.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Arsenal |
Draw |
Victory Man United |
| 29.6% |
22.7% |
47.7% |
But back to the Premier League and the AI prediction for the hit game: A draw is 21.0%, while an away win by United is considered rather unlikely at only 18.6%.
The most likely outcome according to my analysis is a 1.87 to 0.85 for Arsenal. This shows that a goal for the guests is absolutely within the realm of possibility and underpins my Arsenal Manchester United tip that both teams will score.
What you need to know about Arsenal – Man United betting
- Top defence: Arsenal have the best defence in the league with only 14 goals conceded in 22 games, underpinned by the lowest xGA value in the league.
- United’s Arsenal curse: The Red Devils have not won their last five league games against the Gunners (four defeats). The last league victory in the Emirates dates back to 2017.
- Despite the table situation, United has the second-highest value in expected goals (xG) in the Premier League.
- In 16 of United’s 22 PL games, both teams have scored, in Arsenal games it was ten of 22.
