Hoffenheim – Union Berlin Prediction Bundesliga, Matchday 20 on Saturday, 31.01.2026 at 15:30 CET
TSG Hoffenheim’s flight of fancy in the Bundesliga is slowly taking on sinister features. Since the Kraichgau team also kept themselves clean in the make-up game in Bremen during the week, the third-placed team is still without dropping any points in the current calendar year.
At home, the Sinsheimers have even won each of their last six games, which now finally speaks for a better end against the Irons. In the last two home games against Union, TSG had not even scored a goal of honour (0-4, 0-1).
However, the fact that things are going a little differently this season was already foreshadowed by the away win in Köpenick in the first series, when they hijacked a 4-2 win at the An der Alten Försterei stadium.
This time, too, the signs seem to point to “victory”. However, I found even better arguments in my Hoffenheim Union Berlin prediction for going to the ever-popular “BTS” on Saturday afternoon.
Although the Iron had come away empty-handed in the recent 3-0 defeat against Dortmund, it had been enough for the Köpenickers to score at least one goal in each of the last five away games.
On top of that, it is known that FCU particularly likes to turn up the offensive against teams that are rated stronger. It was no coincidence that the Berliners had already won 4-3 in Frankfurt this season with refreshing counter-attacking football.
So I now expect at least one guest goal in Sinsheim as well. And the fact that the home side will score a goal in the PreZero Arena should be as certain as the amen in church in TSG’s current condition!
Hoffenheim – Union Berlin Prediction & Betting Tips
If you want to take a little more risk, I have another Hoffenheim Union Berlin prediction for you. A home win for TSG is quoted at 1.80 at bet365, which is an option more than worth considering in view of the current form of the hosts.
The Kraichgau team have won all of their last six home games and achieved an impressive goal difference of 19-4. This home strength is a pound with which coach Christian Ilzer’s team can proliferate.
Another exciting bet is that Hoffenheim will score in the first half and Union won’t. TSG are known for their fast starts at home, while the Irons often don’t get up to speed until after the break. In each of their last six home games, TSG have kept a clean sheet at half-time.
A clean sheet for the Kraichgau team at half-time is currently quoted at around 2.7 by old and new bookmakers, which in my opinion is an absolutely recommendable offer.
After TSG won five of their last six home games with a handicap, I have also picked out a suitable offer for that. For the bet Hoffenheim -1 to win, there is currently around 3.2 times the stake back.
What you need to know about Hoffenheim vs. Union Berlin betting
- Hoffenheim’s home strength is brutal: Five wins in the last five home games with 16-3 goals speak for themselves.
- Union is in a results crisis: The Berliners are winless in four league games (three draws, one defeat).
- Goals on both sides are likely: Both teams have scored in six of Hoffenheim’s last nine home games, while Union have scored in six of their nine away games.
- Alexander Prass scored his first goal of the season in his 50th appearance for Hoffenheim, proving himself to be another attacking option.
Hoffenheim – Union Berlin: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
I took a look at the figures from our AI tool, and they confirm the impression that the hosts are ahead here. The computer-aided analysis sees the probability of victory for Hoffenheim at a strong 52.2%, while Union only comes to 24.0%.
Against this background, one can certainly speak of value for one or the other bet in the direction of the guests. For example, the Double Chance X2 is currently quoted at around 2.00 at most betting providers with PayPal.
The expected goals are 1.58 for Hoffenheim and 1.03 for Union Berlin, for a total of 2.61 goals in the match. This prediction supports both the bet on a home win and our main bet that both teams will score the goal.
According to the AI forecast, over 2.5 goals on Saturday afternoon are also not an unsolvable problem, for which odds of just under 1.80 can be expected in the event of an actual success.
In handicap betting, the Asian Handicap Line is set at -0.5 for Hoffenheim. This means quite simply: Hoffenheim must win for your bet to go through. A draw or a win for the guests – and the stake is gone.
The Asian Handicap Line for over-goals is 2.5. This is an attractive limit by Bundesliga standards, as the league average is 3.21 goals per game. The statistics also point to a high-scoring encounter here.
It is also interesting to take a look at the goalscorer market. Here, nine Hoffenheim players are traded with a lower odds for a goal than the most likely goalscorer on the Berlin side. This shows the enormous offensive depth of the Kraichgau team.
At odds of currently 2.75, the AI recommends a goal scorer bet on Fisnik Asllani, who is also considered the most dangerous weapon by the bookies alongside Andrej Kramaric.
The best odds for Hoffenheim vs. Union Berlin
In view of the winning streak, it is of course no surprise that the Hoffenheim Union Berlin odds for the game on Saturday afternoon show a quite clear bias in favor of the home side.
However, considering that the Kraichgau team’s points average since Matchday 7 has been the same as that of the indestructible FC Bayern, favourite odds of around 1.80 are of course still quite comfortable.
Under very similar conditions, however, the Irons had recently already snatched a point from Stuttgart in their stadium. Anyone who sees a draw on the way on matchday 20 of the Bundesliga will therefore be rewarded with odds of around 3.75.
This time, however, the draw odds – unlike in most other Bundesliga games – are not yet at the upper end of the flagpole, after all, in the event of an away win, they even return around 4.3 times the stake.
Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin Match Analysis:
Hoffenheim goes into this duel with a whopping lead of 15 points over the guests. The Kraichgau team have made an impressive comeback after a season in the relegation battle and are now in a sensational third place in the table.
Without major investments in the summer, coach Christian Ilzer has formed a powerful squad that can now even dream of the Champions League. Of course, the fans expect the impressive home winning streak against Union Berlin to continue.
Tactically, we should expect an interesting game. Hoffenheim is one of the strongest pressing teams in the league and allows the opponent the fewest passes per defensive action. Union, on the other hand, is more in the bottom quarter in this statistic.
Therefore, I expect the home side to dominate the game and have a lot of possession. For Union Berlin, a defeat would be another setback in the race for the European places, which is why they will certainly throw everything into the balance.
Steffen Baumgart’s team is in a better position than last season, but the current form curve is pointing downwards. Nevertheless, the Irons have the quality to keep up here, even if the role of favourites is clearly with Hoffenheim.
In the end, two teams with different omens meet here. While Hoffenheim are brimming with self-confidence, the Irons have to get back on track. This makes the game and the Hoffenheim Union Berlin bets particularly appealing.
Hoffenheim form check
TSG underlined their ambitions for the Champions League with a 2-0 win in Bremen during the week. Even being outnumbered for almost 40 minutes could not stop the team from achieving their fourth win in a row in the new year 2026 – a new club record.
With 39 points from 19 games, Hoffenheim are playing the best Bundesliga season in the club’s history, on a par with their debut season in 2008/09. The current number of points even exceeds that of the seasons in which they qualified for the Champions League.
In the last five games, only Borussia Dortmund have picked up as many points as the Kraichgau team (13). Since Matchday 7, only FC Bayern have collected as many points as TSG (32). These figures prove the outstanding condition of the team.
A win against Union Berlin would mean a new season record of five wins in a row. The current home record of six consecutive wins is also impressive. The club record here is seven home wins in a row.
In the win in Bremen, Alexander Prass shone with the opening goal in his 50th appearance. But Hoffenheim’s goal threat is spread over many shoulders, which makes them unpredictable and relevant for our Hoffenheim Union Berlin betting odds.
Currently, four players, Grischa Prömel, Andrej Kramaric, Fisnik Asllani and Tim Lemperle, have six goals to their name this season. This broad offensive base is one of the keys to success this season.
Union Berlin Form Check
Union Berlin suffered a bitter 3-0 home defeat against Dortmund last weekend. The Irons are in ninth place in the table and still have a comfortable cushion of nine points on the relegation zone.
Nevertheless, the team is currently going through perhaps its most difficult phase of the season. For the first time this season, Union is without a win in four Bundesliga games.
However, the direct comparison speaks for the guests, who have won three of the last four duels. However, the first leg in Berlin went 4-2 to Hoffenheim, which shows that the cards have been reshuffled this season.
Against BVB, despite some good set-pieces from Josip Juranović, there was a lack of clear scoring chances. With an expected goals value of 1.1, however, they would have deserved at least a goal of honour, which underlines the offensive efforts.
The biggest shortcoming of Steffen Baumgart’s team is the conversion of chances. With only 24 goals scored, they have the weakest offense of the top ten teams in the league, which at best makes the ambitions for a secure midfield place seem realistic.
Nevertheless, the Irons have been difficult to beat away from home recently. They have not lost in their last three Bundesliga away games (one win, two draws) and have always found the back of the net in their last five away games.
