Osasuna – Real Madrid Tip La Liga, Matchday 25 on Saturday, 21/02/26 at 18:30 CET
Would you rather speculate on an Osasuna Real Madrid bet on the guests or on a low-scoring point split? This is exactly the question I have recently dealt with intensively!
But since you are offered draw odds of about 4.25 even on the best sports betting apps, I, as an old value hunter, simply have to give preference to this 1X2 bet with the condition Under 2.5 goals as an appendage.
Madrid drew 1-1 on their last visit to Pamplona, and between two very intense Champions League play-off duels, this league game does not come in handy for coach Arbeloa. This aspect definitely plays into the hands of the Basques, who are strong at home!
Osasuna vs Real Madrid AI Predictions:
Our Osasuna Real Madrid AI prediction knows the tense schedule of the guests and that’s why I recommended the special bet Madrid not to score in both halves.
I almost classify the 1.52 traded at Betano Germany in this context, for example, as generous. Because new coach Arbeloa will certainly have to rotate a little in view of the second leg in the Champions League.
In addition, the “Los Blancos” only managed a very laborious 1-0 victory over the Basques in the first half of the season, which would not have deserved a brace with their own xG value of 1.64. There should definitely be fewer chances for them to visit the Basque Country!
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Osasuna |
Draw |
Victory Real Madrid |
| 20% |
23.5% |
56.5% |
A 0-0 result bet at half-time at a generous 3.15 is the second AI suggestion that was served to me. The risk is not without its challenges, but the same applies to the aforementioned Osasuna Real Madrid betting odds! Definitely worth a try!
In the 2025/26 season, the Whites have only gone into the break with a lead in 2 of their 9 La Liga away games so far – and especially after the intense first leg against Benfica, they should take it particularly easy at the beginning of Saturday.
The option based on this under 3.5 goals at values around 1.47 appeals to me for similar reasons. Because even if the favorite actually increases the tempo in the second half, it should still remain a manageable score as in the first half of the season.
What you need to know about Osasuna vs. Real Madrid betting
- In five of Osasuna’s last six games, both teams have scored.
- All or nothing: Osasuna is not known for narrow defeats this season – in ten defeats this season, the northern Spaniards managed to score a goal of their own in just three games.
- Real Madrid are a force to be reckoned with on the road as soon as they take the lead – all eight away games of the current La Liga season, in which the Whites scored the 1-0, were won in the end.
- Royal teething problems: Despite the dominance, the Arbeloa team often starts cautiously away from home. In only two of the last nine away games, the league leader was already leading at half-time.
