RB Leipzig – Augsburg Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 25 on Saturday, 07.03.2026 at 15:30 CET
It’s unbelievable what’s going on in Augsburg at the moment. In any case, “Red and White” plays like a contender for the Champions League, who seems to have deleted the word “losing” from the vocabulary.
But every strand, no matter how beautiful, ends at some point! My Leipzig Augsburg tip for matchday 25 assumes that it will be on Saturday.
Why I rely on it, meanwhile, should be clear. Leipzig have already won at home seven times this season across all competitions by at least two goals.
The attack around coach Ole Werner can therefore really turn up the heat once it gets rolling – and then even the currently strong FC Augsburg should get a lot of damage.
Argumentatively, my RB Leipzig Augsburg tip can also be derived very well. For Leipzig, a slip-up against Augsburg would be an extraordinarily bitter setback in the fight for the coveted Champions League places.
Because from their last six Bundesliga trips to the Red Bull Arena, the Fuggerstädters have not been able to take anything countable with them (6 defeats).
RB Leipzig – Augsburg Prediction & Betting
Of course, I haven’t forgotten the 6-0 win from the first half of the season!
But even if the Fuggerstädters are not hit quite so hard this time, they will probably not be completely spared one or two goals on Saturday – especially not in the first half.
Because this is the primary Sturm und Drang phase of the Saxons. League-wide, only BVB (21) has scored more Bundesliga goals in the first half than Ole Werner’s team (19).
Consequently, in my opinion, this results in two promising betting options: 1st half: RBL over 1.5 goals and Leipzig/Leipzig, for which you can expect odds of about 3.15 and 2.10 respectively on any reputable sports betting app.
What you need to know about RB Leipzig vs Augsburg betting
- Leipzig have only picked up twelve points in the last eight games and have only kept one clean sheet.
- Augsburg are the most in-form team in the league and have won five of their last six Bundesliga games (15 points).
- The Red Bulls are unbeaten in 18 games against Augsburg. The last victory of the Fuggerstädter dates back to 2017.
- Augsburg striker Alexis Claude-Maurice is in top form. The Frenchman has been directly involved in seven goals in the last eight games.
RB Leipzig – Augsburg: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
While I’m focusing on a strong first half of the Saxons on Saturday, which should tip the match in their direction early on, our RB Leipzig Augsburg AI prediction prefers to focus on the total number of goals instead.
It seems that this will not be distributed entirely one-sidedly. The bet Both teams to score is recommended, for which you can expect odds of about 1.60 at German bookmakers.
This computer-aided suggestion is by no means nonsensical, as each of the last five direct duels has already met this condition and the Fuggerstädters are demonstrably in the best scoring mood.
Win RBL & Romulo scores can be selected with just one click at many bookmakers and, with a bit of luck, multiply your stake instantly by a factor of 2.75.
Actually a pretty interesting suggestion. Six of the Brazilian’s last seven Bundesliga goals have all come in games that the Saxons have actually won – including the 6-0 win over FCA in the first half of the season.
Over 3.5 goals is also recommended to me by our digital bettor, but I would make a correction here.
This is because the otherwise somewhat meagre odds of around 2.10 for this type of bet can at least be raised to 2.50 by the low-risk additional condition “BTS”.
If 4+ goals are scored, it is unlikely to be in the context of a one-sided 4-0 victory for the Red Bulls.
The best odds for RB Leipzig vs. Augsburg
The bookmakers are clearly betting on the home side in their respective RB Leipzig Augsburg odds and leave no doubt that they are firmly assigning the role of favourites.
Augsburg’s spectacular form of the last few weeks hardly seems to impress the markets – the Saxons should take the three points.
A home win for RBL is 1.42, which corresponds to an implied probability of about 70%. The bookmakers therefore firmly expect Ole Werner’s team to control the game early on and win the game confidently.
The draw is traded at 5.30, which is just under 19% probability. This odds reflect a scenario in which Augsburg stabilises the course of the game in the short term and Leipzig does not score consistently.
An away win for the Fuggerstädter is finally at 6.00, i.e. about 17 %. The bookmakers see a victory for the guests as an outsider chance – possible, but anything but likely. And I would personally agree with this assessment on the whole …
RB Leipzig vs Augsburg Match Analysis:
Leipzig have an impressive home record against Augsburg and regularly score a lot of goals. However, Ole Werner’s team has had a hard time at the Red Bull Arena recently, which should give the guests hope for a close game.
Interestingly, both teams are not among the strongest pressers in the league. Because both Leipzig and Augsburg are in the lower half of the table in terms of allowed passes per defensive action (PPDA). This promises a lot of time on the ball for both teams in the build-up to the game.
Even though Leipzig have been more passive in the game against the ball recently, the offense remains a real weapon. They have the second-highest xG value in the Bundesliga, while Augsburg is one of the weaker teams in terms of expected goals conceded (xGA).
Therefore, I expect the home team to create a whole series of scoring chances. The question will be how efficiently it uses it. If they succeed, nothing stands in the way of a clear victory and my Leipzig Augsburg prediction works out.
For Ole Werner’s team, this game is, as already mentioned, an absolute must-win in order not to lose touch with the top 4. Augsburg, on the other hand, is in the secure midfield.
RB Leipzig form check
Last Sunday, Leipzig ended HSV’s winning streak and came from behind to win 2-1.
Goals from Romulo and Yan Diomande secured the first win of the Bundesliga season, in which they had to chase a deficit. That should give self-confidence.
After a strong start to the season, however, RBL have stumbled a bit recently and are only in fifth place, two points behind Stuttgart and Hoffenheim. In the last eight games, the team has collected only twelve points and kept a clean sheet only once.
With a points average of just 1.50 in the last two months, Leipzig is in danger of missing out on European competitions for the second year in a row. That would be a bitter disappointment for the ambitious club and its fans.
Nevertheless, the team is unbeaten in four league games and has scored two goals in each of these games. That shows that the offense works. However, the defence remains the Achilles’ heel, as they have conceded goals in seven of the last eight games.
The only exception was the sovereign 3-0 victory in Heidenheim. Meanwhile, against Augsburg, the defence must be more stable again if they want to win a clear victory and increase the pressure on the competition in the fight for the Champions League.
Augsburg Form Check
After only three wins and ten points from the first twelve games, FCA were initially deep in the relegation battle. Since the return of coach Manuel Baum, who replaced Sandro Wagner, however, the tide has turned impressively and the team is rushing from victory to victory.
The Fuggerstädter are now in ninth place in the table with 31 points and have a comfortable cushion of nine points on the relegation zone. It is their second-best Bundesliga season since 2018, which underlines the impressive development.
The most notable result of this season was the victory against FC Bayern, who inflicted their only defeat of the season in the Bundesliga so far. This success was the starting signal for a strong phase for Augsburg.
The 2-1 victory over the Munich team was one of a total of five victories in the last six matchdays. With 15 points scored in this period, Augsburg is the most in-form team in the entire league. A record that is really impressive.
The transfers made in January have had a full impact. Arthur Chaves scored on his debut, Michael Gregoritsch scored three goals in eight games and loanee Rodrigo Ribeiro has already scored twice. They have significantly increased the quality in the squad.
However, the key player remains striker Alexis Claude-Maurice. The Frenchman is in outstanding form and has been directly involved in seven goals in his last eight appearances (four goals, three assists). He is the man the Leipzig defence has to get to grips with.
