Everton – Liverpool Tip Premier League, Matchday 33 on Sunday, 19.04.26 at 15:00 CET
On Sunday at 3:00 p.m., the newly renovated Hill Dickinson Stadium will be electrified! While the “Toffees” want to take advantage of the euphoria of the new venue, Liverpool under Arne Slot is fighting against a frightening away weakness.
The defensive values of the “Reds” are alarming: With 42 goals conceded in the current Premier League season and a series of 6 competitive games without a clean sheet away from home, the defense resembles Swiss cheese.
Everton vs. Liverpool AI Predictions:
According to our Everton Liverpool AI forecast, an excellent move for your bet slip is the draw-no-bet: Everton, which is available on top at odds of 2.25.
Since LFC is weakening away from home and only scored 25 of their 52 points away from home, while the “Toffees” should be buoyed by their first appearance in their new stadium, I can’t dismiss this idea as nonsensical.
Liverpool will be a bit exhausted and dejected anyway after losing the Champions League second leg …
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Everton |
Draw |
Victory Liverpool |
| 29.2% |
25.2% |
45.6% |
Our data model has another one in its quiver for you: Under 3.5 goals at about 1.40. Statistically speaking, Merseyside derbies rarely degenerate into goal festivals; eight of the last ten duels have remained below this mark.
And since the Reds should be exhausted and the home side often turn up the heat in the final phase anyway. However, I can’t completely ignore the fact that the Toffees have already scored a massive 33% of their goals within the final quarter of an hour this Premier League season. That’s exactly why I’m trying my luck with it!
What you need to know about Everton vs. Liverpool betting
- Everton’s record hunt: The “Toffees” are experiencing a renaissance under David Moyes; with currently 47 points, the best haul in years is within reach, and for the first time since 2013, Everton could finish the season ahead of their city rivals in the final table.
- Liverpool’s away weakness: The “Reds” are unusually vulnerable away from home; only six wins from 16 away games and already 25 goals conceded on foreign ground make Arne Slot’s team vulnerable to the strong local rival at home.
- Derby tradition of close results: Anyone hoping for a goal festival is often disappointed historically; fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in eight of the last ten meetings, highlighting the tactical intensity and defensive discipline in this prestigious clash.
- Beto in top form: Everton’s attacker has found his rhythm just in time for the derby; with three goals in the last two games and a total of five goal involvements from the last five appearances, he is the hope for a home win at Goodison Park.
